Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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992
FNUS73 KEAX 051445
FWSEAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR UTZ PRAIRIE...MODNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
845 AM CST FRI FEB 5 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON FEBRUARY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS THIS AM SHOULD TREND TO A LIGHT SOUTHERLY
WIND THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WINDS MAY BACK TO THE SOUTHEAST
TONIGHT BUT THE ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN LIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 9 MPH.

TIME (CST)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........72  75  74  73  73  76  79
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............34  37  40  41  41  41  40
RH..............58  52  46  46  46  46  48
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  S   S   S   S   SE
20 FT WIND SPD..5   5   6   6   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.
HAINES INDEX....5   4   4   4   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 27.
MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 17
                    TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........82  84  86  87  88  89  90  83  77  71  67  63
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............39  37  35  34  32  32  31  31  31  30  30  29
RH..............52  56  64  66  72  75  78  81  81  85  85  88
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   SW  W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD..5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   3   3   3

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........59  57  56  54  47  41  34  26  19  11  10  10
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............28  28  28  30  32  36  39  42  44  45  44  42
RH..............92  92  92  88  81  72  67  60  55  55  57  60
20 FT WIND DIR..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..6   7   7   7   7   7   7   8   8   8   8   6
20 FT WIND GUST.                            10  10  10  10

$$
FORECASTER...BOWMAN
REQUESTED BY...LEE WILBECK MSP
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160205.UTZPR.01/EAX



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