Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FNUS75 KFGZ 170032
FWSFGZ

Spot Forecast for Bar M...USFS
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
532 PM MST Mon Oct 16 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 MST on October 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ

.DISCUSSION...High pressure will lead to light winds, dry conditions
and above normal temperatures. Winds should be quite light during
the day, with directions averaging from the southwest by the
mid-afternoon. Overnight, expect poor ventilation rates, with smoke
largely staying in place. Overnight drainage wind should be very light
and from the east, but smoke along Interstate 17 cannot be ruled out
for operations close to the roadway.

Tomorrow`s weather observations, and any info you could provide
regarding tomorrow night`s conditions would be useful in dialing in
any additional forecasts - especially since there are no RAWS stations
in the area.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 77 at 2 pm.
Min humidity........17 percent occurring around 2 pm.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds will start out light and variable,
                    becoming southwest 3 to 6 mph after noon.
Lal.................1.
Haines Index........3 very low.
Max Vent Rate.......Good (44500 knot-ft).
Clearing Index......445.
Mixing height.......3200 ft agl late in the morning increasing to
                    6300 ft agl after 11 am.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph shifting to the west in
                    the afternoon.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 43.
Max humidity........53 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable winds from 1 to 3 mph. Direction
                    will likely average from the east.
Lal.................1.
Haines Index........3 very low.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor (200 knot-ft).
Clearing Index......2.
Mixing height.......2200 ft agl early in the evening decreasing to
                    200 ft agl in the late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph shifting to the north early in
                    the morning.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........20 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest 3 to 6 mph.
Lal.................1.
Haines Index........3 very low.
Max Vent Rate.......Good (51700 knot-ft).
Clearing Index......517.
Mixing height.......1500 ft agl in the morning increasing to 5500
                    ft agl in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southeast late in the morning, then shifting to
                    the southwest 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...RICKEY
Requested by...Corey Wilson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1717325.0/FGZ
.EMAIL flagstaff.dispatch@gmail.com


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