Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FNUS75 KFGZ 311213
FWSFGZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR TUSAYAN EAST...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
513 AM MST FRI OCT 31 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 MST ON OCTOBER 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE WESTERN UNITED STATES
RESULTING IN INCREASINGLY BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS LATER TODAY AT
THE BURN SITE. THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE STATE OVER THE
WEEKEND BRINGING WINDY AND UNSETTLED WEATHER WITH COLDER
TEMPERATURES. THE STRONGEST SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE FORECAST FOR
SATURDAY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........NEAR 27 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH...INCREASING TO
                    SOUTH AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH BY THE LATE AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MAX VENT RATE.......EXCELLENT (142800 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......1428.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL IN THE MORNING...INCREASING TO 5400
                    FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 KNOTS...INCREASING TO SOUTH
                    20 TO 25 KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.
MAX HUMIDITY........85 TO 95 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......SOUTH WINDS 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR (1000 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......10.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING...DECREASING
                    TO 200 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 KNOTS.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MIN HUMIDITY........NEAR 35 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
                    45 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
MAX VENT RATE.......EXCELLENT (165000 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......1650.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL IN THE MORNING...INCREASING TO 4900
                    FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS...INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST
                    25 TO 35 KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$

FORECASTER...DANIEL
REQUESTED BY...TUSAYAN RD
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141031.TUSAY.01/FGZ







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