Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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000
FNUS74 KFWD 241557 AAA
FWSFWD

Spot Forecast for Gus Engeling Comp 19&14N...UPDATED
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
957 AM CST Fri Feb 24 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CST on February 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front has moved to the southeast of a line from Tyler to
Hearne line as of 9 AM. Mostly cloudy conditions are occurring
immediately behind the front, but these clouds will move off to
the southeast this afternoon leaving partly cloudy skies by 3 pm.
Winds have shifted to the northwest at 10 to 15 mph behind the
front and some gusts over 20 mph are possible through early
afternoon. Drier air is filtering into region behind the front. No
precipitation is expected.


.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 69.
Temp............60  63  61  63  65  66  68  69  68  65
RH..............90  75  70  58  50  43  39  35  36  38
20 FT wind dir..SW  W   W   NW  NW
Min humidity........35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 6 mph shifting to the
                    northwest 8 to 14 mph with gusts to around 25
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......600-2400 ft AGL increasing to 2900-3700 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 21 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CST)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........56  82  76  69  63  56  50  43  34  26
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............60  63  61  63  65  66  68  69  68  65
RH..............90  75  70  58  50  43  39  35  36  38
20 FT wind dir..SW  W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..6   12  13  14  14  14  14  13  10  8
20 FT wind gust.    20  20  25  25  25  20  20  15  10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.4 2.9 3.3 3.7 3.4 3.2
Transp wind dir.W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.16  17  18  20  21  21  21  20  18  17
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 38.
Max humidity........76 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 6 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......1500-2900 ft AGL decreasing to 300-800 ft AGL
                    in the late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........18  17  16  15  12  10  7   5   5   6   6   6
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............62  58  54  52  50  48  47  46  44  42  40  39
RH..............43  49  54  59  61  65  65  65  70  73  76  76
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..8   7   6   6   6   6   7   7   8   8   8   7
20 FT wind gust.10  10                  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...2.9 2.2 1.5 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.16  14  12  10  10  10  12  13  14  15  15  15
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 59.
Min humidity........27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 8 mph becoming light.
Mixing height.......200-1700 ft AGL increasing to 4200-5300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 7 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........6   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   8   8   9   10
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............38  38  39  41  45  48  52  55  57  59  59  58
RH..............76  73  64  57  49  42  36  32  29  27  28  32
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..7   7   8   8   8   8   7   6   6   6   5   3
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  10  10  10                  5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.2 0.7 1.2 1.7 2.4 3.1 3.8 4.3 4.8 5.3 4.7 4.2
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   N   NE
Transp wind spd.15  15  16  16  16  15  14  13  12  10  9   7
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

$$
Forecaster...Moore
Requested by...Kyle Hand
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1702793.0/FWD
.EMAIL kyle.hand@tpwd.texas.gov


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