Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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000
FNUS75 KGJT 281950
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR MILK FIRE...CRAIG DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
150 PM MDT THU JUL 28 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1225 MDT ON JULY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK WAVE IS MOVING ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON CAUSING SOME
SHOWERS TO FORM.  THESE SHOWERS MAY MAKE IT OVER THE WILDFIRE THOUGH
PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WILL BE VERY LOW.  THE BIGGER CONCERN WILL BE
SOME DOWNDRAFT WINDS OF 20 MPH...MAYBE A BIT HIGHER.  THESE WILL ALSO
BE VERY SHORT-LIVED.  MODELS SUGGEST MOST ACTIVITY WILL BE WELL TO THE
SOUTH THOUGH A CHANCE DOES EXIST.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).  ISOLATED AFTERNOON
                    SHOWER.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........9-14%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 15 TO 20 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.
CLEARING INDEX......900 INCREASING TO 1050 IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 16200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........44-49%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR AFTER 2200L.
CLEARING INDEX......1050 DECREASING TO 50 AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......15800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...TOM RENWICK
REQUESTED BY...IC T  GEERDES
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160728.MILKF.02/GJT



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