Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Green Bay, WI

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FNUS73 KGRB 030050
FWSGRB

SPOT FORECAST FOR WINNEBAGO COUNTY PARK...WINNEBAGO COUNTY PARKS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
750 PM CDT MON MAY 2 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MAY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN GREEN BAY.

.DISCUSSION...
...A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BRING A GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. BEFORE THE FRONT
ARRIVES...DEEP MIXING WILL ALLOW GUSTY WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS...LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND MILD TEMPERATURES TO DEVELOP.

THE GUSTY WINDS TO 25 MPH WILL LIKELY START SHORTLY AFTER IGNITION
TIME AND CONTINUE FOR MUCH OF THE AFTERNOON.  ESTIMATE OF THE COLD
FRONT PASSAGE AND WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST IS AROUND 6 PM.

SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON MAY ALSO CONTAIN GUSTY
WINDS WITH ERRATIC WIND DIRECTION.  HAIL IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH SOME OF
THE STORMS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 43.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 79 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WIND BECOMING SOUTHWEST AT 3
                    TO 7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............57     52     48     46     44     43
RH..............38     46     54     58     65     73
20 FT WIND......W 2    W 1    W 3    SW 4   SW 5   SW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5             5      5

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. A
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. A CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MIDDLE TO LATE AFTERNOON.
                    SHOWERS LIKELY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF
                    RAIN 70 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........59 AT IGNITION...MAX 66.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY...49 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 33 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS WEST AT 10 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    WEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25
                    MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MIDDLE TO LATE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4100 FT AGL EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 7700 FT AGL AT
                    IGNITION...THEN 9400 FT AGL MID-DAY DECREASING
                    TO 6800 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING
                    TO 4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AT AROUND 22 MPH AT IGNITION...THEN
                    SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO WEST 26 TO
                    31 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....31100 /GOOD/ INCREASING TO 142300 /EXCELLENT/
                    AT IGNITION...THEN 165100 /EXCELLENT/ DURING
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 234200
                    /EXCELLENT/ EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING
                    TO 169400 /EXCELLENT/ LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 91900 /EXCELLENT/.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....                            CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............44     52     59     64     66     65
RH..............78     65     49     35     33     34
20 FT WIND......W 5    W 7    W 9    W 10   W 12   W 12
20 FT WIND GUST.       10     15     20     25     25

$$
FORECASTER...TDH
REQUESTED BY...KEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160503.WINNE.01/GRB


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