Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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000
FNUS72 KJAX 301058
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR FD-16...FPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
658 AM EDT MON MAR 30 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MARCH 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...HIGH DISPERSIONS TODAY...

.DISCUSSION...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA WILL
MOVE SOUTH AS A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO SOUTHEAST GEORGIA BY THIS
AFTERNOON. OCCASIONAL BREEZY SOUTHWEST TO SOUTH WINDS TODAY
OVER COASTAL NORTHEAST FLORIDA. WIND GUSTS TODAY BETWEEN 15
AND 20 MPH...WITH A POTENTIAL FOR A GUST TO 25 MPH. THINK THE
ATLANTIC SEA BREEZE WILL BE PINNED NEAR THE COAST THIS
AFTERNOON...THOUGH IT COULD BE JUST 2-3 MILES EAST OF THE
BURN SITE. LVORI VALUES TUESDAY MORNING AROUND 6 TO 8.

THE FRONT WILL BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY
ACROSS THE REGION. MIXING HEIGHTS NEAR 4500 FEET AND HIGH
TRANSPORT WINDS WILL LEAD TO ELEVATED DISPERSION VALUES TODAY
AND TUESDAY.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...SOME PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE
TUESDAY MORNING AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY MORNING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 5 TO 11 MPH
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-4500 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    AROUND 15 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 75.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........9      12     18     24
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............60     69     73     74
RH..............62     45     41     46
20 FT WIND......SW 6   SSW 9  S 9    S 7
20 FT WIND GUST.       14     16     15
DISPERSION IDX..36     56     76     75
LVORI...........1      1      1      1
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-3400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-1400 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 16 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
DISPERSION INDEX....58 DECREASING TO 7.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........32     40     39     38     37     38
WEATHER COV.....                            S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........
TEMP............72     67     63     61     60     59
RH..............53     65     75     81     84     87
20 FT WIND......S 8    SW 6   W 6    W 6    W 7    W 7
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     10
DISPERSION IDX..58     6      7      8      8      7
LVORI...........1      3      4      4      4      5
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      10     10     10     20     20

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-4200 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 13
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 57.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........40     41     42     43     44     44
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............58     57     65     72     76     77
RH..............90     93     81     68     60     58
20 FT WIND......W 5    W 3    NW 2   N 2    E 2    SE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.       5      5      5      5      5
DISPERSION IDX..5      4      9      25     53     58
LVORI...........6      6      4      3      1      1
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     20     10     10     10

$$
FORECASTER...SHASHY
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL ORLANDO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150330.FD16_.01/JAX


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