Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000
FNUS73 KJKL 251146
FWSJKL

SPOT FORECAST FOR PREWITT...DANIEL BOONE NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
746 AM EDT WED MAR 25 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MARCH 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH THROUGH EASTERN KENTUCKY
TODAY...ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO SOAR INTO THE 70S. THE INVERSION
WILL BE BREAKING BY AROUND 10 AM THIS MORNING...WITH SOME
WIND GUSTS OF 20 TO 25 MPH POSSIBLE FOR UP TO AN HOUR ONCE
THE INVERSION DOES BREAK. THE WIND GUSTS WILL THEN REDUCE BACK TO
15 TO 20 MPH FOR THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON...BEFORE DIMINISHING EVEN
FURTHER TOWARDS DUSK. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA LATE
TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY...EVENTUALLY SPREADING WIDESPREAD RAINS
ACROSS THE AREA. MUCH COLDER AIR WILL FOLLOW THIS FRONT...WITH A
GOOD CHANCE OF A HARD FREEZE FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY MORNINGS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........60 AT IGNITION...MAX 76.
RH..................72 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 37 PERCENT.
VENT RATE...........FAIR TO GOOD (18600-35900 KNOT-FT) INCREASING
                    TO EXCELLENT /82800 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION.
                    MAX...EXCELLENT /89200 KNOT-FT/ IN THE LATE
                    MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH SOUTHWEST AT 6 TO 9 MPH...WITH GUSTS
                    OF 20 TO 25 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS
                    OF 7 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 15 TO 20 MPH. THE WINDS
                    WILL DIMINISH TO 5 TO 10 MPH TOWARDS DUSK.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP 20 MPH. THE WINDS
                    WILL DIMINISH TO 5 TO 10 MPH TOWARDS DUSK.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500-5700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 23 TO 31 MPH DECREASING TO 14 TO 20
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........66  57  53  52  50  49
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............60  65  69  72  74  75
RH..............72  58  51  46  43  41
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..12  12  10  10   9   8
20 FT WIND GUST.20  20  15  15  15  15
VRATE KT-FT/100083  89  83  76  71  68

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 56.
RH..................MAX 94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH 7 TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........50  50  51  53  56  58  61  68  71  71  71  71
WEATHER COV.....                                            CHC
WEATHER TYPE....                                            RW
TSTM COV........                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
TEMP............76  75  73  69  67  66  61  59  58  56  56  56
RH..............39  41  46  53  59  61  72  78  80  86  90  90
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10
VRATE KT-FT/100063  50  41  19  1   0   3   9   14  16  17  16

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE
                    MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
                    THE DAY. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 68.
RH..................MIN 59 PERCENT.
VENT RATE...........FAIR TO GOOD (17600-58400 KNOT-FT) INCREASING
                    TO EXCELLENT (112100-150500 KNOT-FT)
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO
                    GOOD (36200-57800 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20
                    MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH.
CWR.................30 PERCENT INCREASING TO 90 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300-5200 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    4900-5800 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 2100-3000 FT AGL LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 30 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 20 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........73     81     82     83     87     94
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
TEMP............56     58     62     65     67     62
RH..............90     86     75     68     61     62
20 FT WIND......S 5    S 5    SW 8   SW 9   SW 9   W 8
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     15     20     15     15
VRATE KT-FT/100018     22     58     98     151    58

$$
FORECASTER...GEOGERIAN
REQUESTED BY...ROBIN ACCIARDO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150325.PREWI.01/JKL



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