Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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FNUS76 KLOX 180000
FWSLOX

Spot Forecast for Wilson...US Forest Services
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
500 PM PDT Tue Oct 17 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 1700 PDT on October 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Elevated fire danger is expected to continue overnight
as there will be poor overnight relative humidity recoveries until
Wednesday morning. Clouds will increase this evening into early
Wednesday morning as a slug of mid level moisture will be moving
into the region. An isolated shower or elevated thunderstorm will be
possible. The main threat would be dry lightning and erratic outflow
winds if an elevated storm initiates. Not expecting any wetting
rains with this band of moisture. Relative humidities will see modest
recoveries in the 30 percent range by Wednesday afternoon. This will
be short lived as another dry blast of NW flow aloft brings single
digit Humidities once again Wednesday night into Thursday. A relative
dry frontal boundary will move across the region by Friday morning
with good relative humidity recoveries, then quickly become very dry
as stronger north to northwest winds develop behind the front Friday
night into Saturday.

Santa Ana winds are expected to develop Saturday night into Sunday
and continue with dry, hot and windy conditions through the early
part of next week.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear early this evening, then becoming
                    partly to mostly  cloudy overnight. Slight
                    chance of a shower or isolated thunderstorm late
                    this evening or after midnight.
Min temperature.....59-63 degrees.
Max humidity........25-30 percent.
Eye level winds.....Southwest winds 3 to 6 mph...becoming northwest
                    after 1900 hours.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southwest winds 6 to 12 mph...becoming northwest
                    after 1900 hours.
 Ridgetop...........Northwest winds 8 to 16 mph.
Mixing height.......4000-5500 ft AGL decreasing to aob 1000 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 mph, becoming west after midnight.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy early morning, then mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....78-81 degrees.
Min humidity........20 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds around 4 to 7 mph with gusts to
                    10 mph in the morning, becoming west to southwest
                    3 to 6 mph by mid afternoon. mph shifting to the
                    southwest up to 6 mph in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northwest winds 7 to 14 mph with gusts to 20 mph
                    in the morning, becoming west
                   to southwest 6 to 12 mph by mid afternoon.
 Ridgetop...........Northwest winds 8 to 16 mph, becoming west
                   to southwest 6 to 12 mph by mid afternoon.
                    southwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......AOB 1000 ft AGL early, increasing to 6500-7500 ft
                    AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West around 12 mph.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....Around 55-59 degrees.
Max humidity........30-40 percent.
Eye level winds.....Southwest winds 2 to 5 mph shifting to the
                    northwest 4 to 7 mph with gusts to 10 mph
                    after midnight.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the
                    northwest 7 to 14 mph with gusts to 20 mph
                    after midnight.
 Ridgetop...........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the
                    northwest 7 to 14 mph with gusts to 20 mph
                    after midnight.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL early in the evening, lowering
                    to AOB 1000 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....West around 8 mph becoming Northwest 12 mph
                    after midnight.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....67-73 degrees.
Min humidity........15-20 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds 4 to 7 mph with gusts to 11 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northwest winds 7 to 14 mph with gusts to 22 mph
                    in the afternoon.
 Ridgetop...........Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 28 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......AOB 1000 ft AGL, increasing to 2500 to 3500 ft
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West to northwest 8 to 12 mph.

$$
Forecaster...KAPLAN
Requested by...Kristen Allison
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1717378.1/LOX
.EMAIL kristenallison@fs.fed.us



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