Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Sterling, VA

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000
FNUS71 KLWX 011303
FWSLWX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BIG MEADOWS...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
903 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON OCTOBER 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY. A
STRONG COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY BEFORE PASSING
THROUGH THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY. SHOWERS AND
PERHAPS AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ARE EXPECTED ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE
FRONT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND THE FRONT FOR THE
WEEKEND...BRINGING DRY AND NOTICEABLY COOLER CONDITIONS.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5
                    TO 6 MPH LATE.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3400-4800 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 1 TO 8 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........54     54     52     57
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............63     66     67     67
RH..............78     75     73     73
20 FT WIND......SE 2   SE 3   SE 4   SE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.4      4             7
CWR.............10     10     10     10

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). PATCHY DRIZZLE
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-3900 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 1300-1700 FT
                    AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 13 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........57     55     55     55     88     88
WEATHER COV.....                            PATCHY PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   DRZL   DRZL
TEMP............66     63     62     61     60     60
RH..............75     84     84     87     90     90
20 FT WIND......SE 5   SE 4   SE 4   SE 4   SE 4   S 4
20 FT WIND GUST.7      7      7      7      7      7
CWR.............10     10     10     10     10     10

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). PATCHY DRIZZLE
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE.
CWR.................10 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MISSING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........88     84     84     84     89     89
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....DRZL   DRZL   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............59     60     64     67     68     68
RH..............90     87     81     78     76     76
20 FT WIND......S 5    S 5    S 5    S 7    S 9    S 9
20 FT WIND GUST.7      7      11     11     14     14
CWR.............10     10     10     10     10     10

$$
FORECASTER...WOODCOCK
REQUESTED BY...STEPHEN PAULL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141002.BIGME.01/LWX






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