Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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000
FNUS74 KLZK 240940
FWSLZK

Spot Forecast for Forked...USFS
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
340 AM CST Fri Nov 24 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 0700 CST on November 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service Immediately.

.DISCUSSION...

Southerly winds will increase today...but will remain below red
flag criteria. A new cold front will move into the state
tonight...and move south through the state on Sat. Winds will
switch to the north behind this front. Expect no precipitation
with this front however.

.TODAY...

Temperature.........39 at request...Max 69.
RH..................73 percent at request...Min 33 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....Southwest 3 to 10 mph increasing to 13 to 16
                    mph in the afternoon.
Stability class.....C.
20 Foot Winds.......Winds southwest at 7 mph at request...otherwise
                    Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
LVORI...............1 early in the morning.
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Dispersion..........8 increasing to 29.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth at request...max 4.
Eye level winds.....Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 2400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 2868 ft MSL.

TIME (CST)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............39  44  49  55  60  65  66  67  68  65  62
RH..............73  62  55  47  41  35  34  34  33  37  41
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..7   7   7   7   7   9   9   9   9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15
Eye lvl wnd dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5
Eye lvl wnd gst.10  10  10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S
Transp wind spd.5   6   7   9   10  13  14  16  16  15  14
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.TONIGHT...

Temperature.........Min 47.
RH..................Max 71 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....Southwest 7 to 15 mph decreasing to 2 to 3 mph
                    early in the morning.
Stability class.....D.
20 Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 7 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
LVORI...............1.
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Dispersion..........8 early in the evening.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.
Eye level winds.....South winds 5 to 7 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 1100 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 1566 ft MSL.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............59  58  57  56  55  54  53  52  52  51  50  50
RH..............45  49  51  55  57  59  61  63  66  68  71  71
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..7   7   7   7   7   7   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  10  10  5   5   5   5   5   5
Eye lvl wnd dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   4   4   4   4   4   2   2   2   2   2   2
Eye lvl wnd gst.10  10  10  10  10  10  5   5   5   5   5   5
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.13  13  14  14  15  15  14  10  7   3   2   2
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.SATURDAY...

Temperature.........Max 66.
RH..................Min 45 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....Northeast 2 to 10 mph increasing to 12 to 14
                    mph in the afternoon.
Stability class.....C.
20 Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 6 mph shifting to the
                    northeast 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon.
LVORI...............1 early in the morning.
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    sunny (15-25 percent).
Dispersion..........7 increasing to 31.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds 5 to 6 mph shifting to the
                    northeast 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 3000 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 3499 ft MSL.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............50  52  54  55  58  60  63  64  64  65  62  60
RH..............71  69  64  64  57  53  48  46  46  45  50  51
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   6   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Eye lvl wnd dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Eye lvl wnd gst.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Transp wind dir.W   W   NW  N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.2   3   5   6   8   10  13  13  12  12  13  14
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

$$
Forecaster...W Gilmore
Requested by...Tammy Milton
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1719086.2/LZK
.EMAIL bfrisby@fs.fed.us



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