Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1
000
FNUS74 KMAF 211850
FWSMAF

SPOT FORECAST FOR SE RIM FIRE...BIG BEND NATIONAL PARK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1250 PM CST SAT JAN 21 2017

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1300 MST ON JANUARY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

RH/S THIS AFTERNOON WILL BOTTOM OUT AROUND 25 PERCENT...HOWEVER
VERY GUSTY WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED. GUSTS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS RIDGETOPS...WITH THE
STRONG WINDS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...WITH
LIGHTNING AND ERRATIC GUSTY WINDS POSSIBLE IN/NEAR ANY STORM.
RECOVERY TONIGHT WILL BE GOOD...THOUGH RH/S SUNDAY WILL DROP
UNDER 20 PERCENT. WINDS SUNDAY WILL DIMINISH...VEERING TO THE
NORTHWEST BY THE AFTERNOON.

&&

FOR POINT-SPECIFIC FORECASTS PLEASE SEE THE POINT FIRE WEATHER MATRIX
PRODUCT ISSUED BY THE MIDLAND/ODESSA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
LAL.................1-8 STRIKES.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VERY WINDY. WEST WINDS 31 TO 41 MPH. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7200-8000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 65 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

TIME (MST)      1 PM      4 PM
SKY COVER.......PCLDY     PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC     S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR    RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ISOLTD    ISOLTD
CHC OF PCPN (%).20        20
LAL.............2         2
TEMP............62        58
RH..............26        33
20 FT WIND DIR..W         W
20 FT WIND SPD..42        38
20 FT WIND GUST.60        55
MIX HGT (FT)....8000      2200
TRANSP WIND DIR.W         W
TRANSP WIND SPD.68        30
HAINES INDEX....2         2

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
MAX HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VERY WINDY. WEST WINDS 26 TO 36 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 35 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 VERY LOW TO LOW.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

TIME (MST)      5 PM      8 PM      11 PM     2 AM
SKY COVER.......MCLDY     PCLDY     MCLEAR    MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10        10        10        10
LAL.............1         1         1         1
TEMP............56        53        48        45
RH..............37        41        44        43
20 FT WIND DIR..W         W         W         W
20 FT WIND SPD..36        38        42        38
20 FT WIND GUST.50        50        55        50
MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100    BLW100    BLW100    BLW100
TRANSP WIND DIR.W         W         W         W
TRANSP WIND SPD.35        37        40        37
HAINES INDEX....2         2         4         4

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........19 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300-3300 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON, THEN DECREASING TO 1100 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 28 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 15
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.

TIME (MST)      5 AM      8 AM      11 AM     2 PM
SKY COVER.......CLEAR     CLEAR     CLEAR     CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0         0         0         0
LAL.............1         1         1         1
TEMP............42        41        48        57
RH..............46        48        34        22
20 FT WIND DIR..W         W         W         W
20 FT WIND SPD..31        27        23        20
20 FT WIND GUST.40        35        30        25
MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100    BLW100    2300      3200
TRANSP WIND DIR.W         W         NW        NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.30        26        18        20
HAINES INDEX....4         4         4         4

$$
FORECASTER...PHILLIPSON
REQUESTED BY...SHERMAN WALDRON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1700612.0/MAF



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.