Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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676
FNUS74 KMEG 242228
FWSMEG

Spot Forecast for Comp 29...US Forest Service
National Weather Service Memphis TN
528 PM CDT Fri Mar 24 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1700 CDT on March 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Sorry about the delay, we must have missed the request at shift change.

Rain and thunderstorms will move in from the west Tonight...continuing
tomorrow. South winds will remain strong both at the surface and aloft.
Fog does not look likely.  Rainfall totals through tomorrow will likely
exceed an inch.

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Dewpoint............58.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 15 mph with gusts to around
                    30 mph.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).3500 ft MSL.
Mixing height (m)...1067 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 22 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South around 10 meters/second.
Smoke dispersal.....MISSING.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      5PM
Sky (%).........76
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10
Chc of pcpn (%).10
Temp............76
Dewpoint........58
RH..............54
20 FT wind dir..S
20 FT wind spd..15
20 FT wind gust.30
Mix hgt (kft)...3.5
Mx ht msl (kft).3.5
Mix hgt (km)....1.1
Transp wind dir.S
Transp wind spd.22
Trans wind dir..S
Trans spd (m/s).10

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after midnight.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 40 percent after
                    midnight.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 64.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Dewpoint............56 increasing to 59 early in the morning.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 15 to 17 mph with gusts to around
                    35 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms after midnight.
Mixing height.......800-2100 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).800-2100 ft MSL.
Mixing height (m)...244-640 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 18 to 26 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 8 to 12 meters/second.
Smoke dispersal.....MISSING.
Rainfall amount.....0.13 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........76  72  72  72  72  72  72  83  83  83  83  83
Weather cov.....                            CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                            CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  40  40  40  40  40
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  40  40  40  40  40
Temp............75  74  72  70  69  68  68  67  66  66  65  65
Dewpoint........57  54  55  55  56  56  57  58  58  59  59  60
RH..............54  50  55  59  63  65  68  73  75  78  81  84
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..15  15  15  15  15  16  16  16  16  16  17  17
20 FT wind gust.30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  35  35
Mix hgt (kft)...2.1 1.0 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.3
Mx ht msl (kft).2.1 1.0 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.3
Mix hgt (km)....0.6 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.20  18  18  20  22  24  25  26  26  25  24  24
Trans wind dir..SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Trans spd (m/s).9   8   8   9   10  11  11  12  12  11  11  11

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms early in the morning, then
                    showers and thunderstorms likely in the
                    morning. Showers and thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................40 percent increasing to 80 percent.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........55 percent.
Dewpoint............59.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 14 to 18 mph. Gusts up to 35 mph
                    decreasing to 25 mph late in the afternoon.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......1300-2900 ft AGL increasing to 3300-4400 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height (MSL).1300-2900 ft MSL increasing to 3300-4400 ft MSL
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height (m)...396-884 meters AGL increasing to 1006-1341
                    meters AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 25 to 33 mph increasing to 32 to 35 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.South 11 to 15 meters/second increasing to 14
                    to 16 meters/second early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....MISSING.
Rainfall amount.....0.88 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........83        88        88        96
Weather cov.....CHANCE    LIKELY    LIKELY    DEFNTE
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE    LIKELY    LIKELY    DEFNTE
CWR.............40        70        70        80
Chc of pcpn (%).40        70        70        80
Temp............64        67        72        75
Dewpoint........60        60        59        58
RH..............87        78        64        55
20 FT wind......S 18G35   S 18G35   S 17G35   S 17G35
Mix hgt (ft)....1300      2000      2900      4200
Mx ht msl (ft)..1300      2000      2900      4200
Mix hgt (m).....400       610       880       1280
Transport wind..S 25      S 31      S 33      S 35
Tran wind (m/s).S 11      S 14      S 15      S 16

$$
Forecaster...Sirmon
Requested by...Goyings
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1705129.1/MEG



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