Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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SPOT FORECAST FOR WILDFIRE MM94...FHP TROOP F
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
349 AM EDT WED SEP 21 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0327 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS THIS MORNING OVER THE SPOT WILL BECOME
WESTERLY 5 TO 10 MPH BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION TO THE
AFTERNOON SEA BREEZE, EXPECT A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
BRIEF HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY/ERRATIC WINDS. BOTH THE WINDS AND
CHANCE OF RAIN SHOULD DECREASE BY EARLY THIS EVENING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 56 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3100-4300 FT
                    AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
                    AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 1300-2200 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 1 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....5...INCREASING TO 17 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 22 EARLY...DECREASING TO 12 LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........51     51     41     62     62     60
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
TEMP............77     86     91     91     88     85
RH..............95     70     58     56     61     68
20 FT WIND......N 1    N 2    N 3    W 5    W 5    W 5
20 FT WIND GUST.       5      5      10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....300    2100   3500   4300   3600   2200
MIXNG WIND......N 1    NW 3   NW 5   NW 7   W 7    W 7
DISPERSION IDX..1      8      20     18     18     12
LVORI...........7      3      2      2      2      3
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     20     50     50     50
LAL.............2      2      2      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 76.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 97 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 0200...THEN 1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 1 TO 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST
                    AROUND 2 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
LVORI...............6.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY...THEN BECOMING CONSIDERABLE
                    CLOUDINESS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 58 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 4.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2300-4000 FT
                    AGL EARLY...THEN INCREASING TO 3300-4400 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO
                    1300-2300 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 2 TO 3 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 2 TO 6
                    MPH EARLY.
DISPERSION INDEX....6...INCREASING TO 15 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 8 LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...JAMES THOMAS
REQUESTED BY...FELIPE MORCILLO
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160921.WILDF.01/MFL


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