Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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FNUS72 KMFL 240916
FWSMFL

Spot Forecast for BLOCK A RX...EVERGLADES NATIONAL PARK
National Weather Service Miami FL
516 AM EDT Sat Jun 24 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on June 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (305) 229-4522, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Drier air moves into the area this weekend providing mostly sunny
conditions with a slight chance of a few showers developing near
the site. Light winds will shift east to southeast after sunrise
and remain through the day. Minimum relative humidity values today
will lowered to 60 percent with dispersion improving to aboe 40 by
this afternoon. Winds decouple after sunset with humidity recoveries
returning to excellent by Sunday morning and temperatures reaching
the mid 70s. Expect dispersions on Sunday to increases to 40 but
will decrease to near 30 by the late afternoon.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers through early afternoon. A slight
                    chance of thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds...becoming southeast 6 to 10 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late
                    in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1400,...then 2.
Mixing height.......300-1600 ft AGL...increasing to 2800-3900 ft
                    AGL in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....East 2 to 8 mph...becoming southeast 12 to 14
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Dispersion index....4...increasing to 19 late in the
                    morning,...then increasing to 40...increasing
                    to 46 early...decreasing to 40.
LVORI...............4.
Ceiling (kft).......25000...decreasing to 16500 early,...then
                    increasing to 22000 late in the
                    afternoon...increasing to 25000 late in the
                    afternoon.

Time (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
Sky (%).........37  37  37  51  51  51  44  44  44  30  30  30
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Temp............81  83  86  89  90  90  89  88  88  88  87  85
RH..............86  79  72  64  62  62  64  66  66  66  68  72
20 ft wind dir..E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E
20 ft wind dir..100 110 120 120 120 130 130 130 120 120 120 110
20 ft wind spd..3   5   5   6   7   8   8   8   8   8   7   6
20 ft wind gust.5   10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 1.6 2.8 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.7 3.5 3.3 2.4 1.5
Mixng wind dir..E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Mixng wind spd..6   8   12  14  14  14  13  13  13  13  13  12
Dispersion idx..7   19  40  50  49  47  45  41  39  40  34  23
LVORI...........5   3   3   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   3   3
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Min temperature.....Around 75.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 9 mph in the evening...becoming
                    light. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................2 until 2000,...then 1.
Mixing height.......500-2400 ft AGL...decreasing to 300-400 ft AGL
                    after midnight.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 13 mph...decreasing to 2 to 3 mph
                    after midnight.
Dispersion index....34...decreasing to 5.
LVORI...............6.
Ceiling (kft).......25000.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds...becoming southeast 6 to 8 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......300-1500 ft AGL...increasing to 2700-3900 ft
                    AGL in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 2 to 10 mph.
Dispersion index....3...increasing to 35.
LVORI...............5.
Ceiling (kft).......25000.

$$
Forecaster...Torres
Requested by...WILLIAM K GRAHAM
Type of request...Prescribed
.TAG 1711483.0/MFL


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