Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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000
FNUS72 KMLB 241009
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR SHERRILLS MILL...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
609 AM EDT WED AUG 24 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON AUGUST 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...NORTH WINDS EARLY WILL BECOME NORTHEAST BY LATE
MORNING WHILE INCREASING IN SPEED. SHOWER CHANCES WILL
INCREASE SLIGHTLY BY LATE MORNING AND INTO THE AFTERNOON.

SMOKE MODEL IS AVAILABLE AT:

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT NORTH WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 7 TO 10
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300-3700 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 3 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO 13 TO 16 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....50 INCREASING TO 67 IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........49  49  49  49  49  51  51  51  51
WEATHER COV.....        SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............81  84  87  87  88  89  88  87  87
RH..............84  76  69  68  66  63  63  65  63
20 FT WIND DIR..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT WIND SPD..4   5   6   7   8   9   10  12  12
20 FT WIND GUST.5           9   11  13  13

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2000...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-3100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-600 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
                    AROUND 2 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
DISPERSION INDEX....53 DECREASING TO 2 AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LVORI...............2 INCREASING TO 8.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........51     46     46     46     40     40
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............84     80     78     77     75     75
RH..............69     77     82     85     90     90
20 FT WIND......NE 10  NE 7   N 5    N 3    N 2    N 2
20 FT WIND GUST.                     5
LVORI...........1      3      4      6      7      7

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING CONSIDERABLE
                    CLOUDINESS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-4300 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 2 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO 13 TO 17 MPH
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....52.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........40     51     51     51     63     63
WEATHER COV.....       S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............75     76     83     91     91     89
RH..............90     91     75     58     56     59
20 FT WIND......N 2    N 2    NE 7   NE 9   NE 10  NE 12
20 FT WIND GUST.                     10

$$
FORECASTER...PENDERGRAST
REQUESTED BY...ALAN KIRBY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160824.SHERR.01/MLB


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