Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FNUS72 KMLB 241223
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR VOLUSIA BAR...US FOREST SERIVE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
823 AM EDT THU APR 24 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 EDT ON APRIL 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AREAS OF FOG WILL LIKELY LINGER OVER THE BURN AREA
THROUGH PLANNED IGNITION TIME THOUGH THE FOG IS EXPECTED TO
QUICKLY LIFT AFTER 10 AM. CALM WINDS THIS MORNING WILL BECOME
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 TO 8 MPH THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON
BEFORE INCREASING TO 8 TO 10 MPH THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON AS THE
EAST COAST SEA BREEZE APPROACHES. A FEW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO
REACH THE BURN AREA BY MID AFTERNOON WITH THE SEA BREEZE...WITH A
FEW THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE IN THE VICINITY AROUND SUNSET AS THE
EAST AND WEST COAST SEA BREEZES COLLIDE JUST TO THE WEST OF THE
BURN AREA. GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IF ANY STORMS FORM IN THE
VICINITY.

WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE LATE THIS EVENING WITH FOG
FORMATION EXPECTED TOWARDS DAYBREAK FRIDAY. LOCALLY DENSE FOG MAY
BE POSSIBLE IN THE VICINITY OF THE BURN.


.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS WITH AREAS OF FOG IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON AND AROUND SUNSET.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........CALM WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 7 TO 10 MPH EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1700...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4200-5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH THROUGH LATE MORNING...THEN
                    SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 7 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....17 INCREASING TO 40 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....ARS                         SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....FOG                         TSM TSM TSM TSM RW
TEMP............73  76  77  79  80  81  82  82  80  79  78  77
RH..............81  73  66  62  58  54  53  54  56  60  62  69
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..1   1   2   3   6   7   8   8   8   8   7   6
20 FT WIND GUST.        5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. PATCHY FOG
                    TOWARDS SUNRISE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2000...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-200 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....40 DECREASING TO 3 AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LVORI...............6.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 7 TO 10 MPH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100-4500 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 17 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....35 INCREASING TO 63 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............9.

$$
FORECASTER...MOSES
REQUESTED BY...JOHN RAMSAY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140424.VOLUS.01/MLB






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