Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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517
FNUS74 KMOB 171146
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR MIC01...U.S. FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
546 AM CST TUE JAN 17 2017

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CST ON JANUARY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SKIES WILL BE PARTLY SUNNY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY TODAY
WITH PATCHY EARLY MORNING FOG POSSIBLE. A FEW ISOLATE SHOWERS WILL
ALSO BE POSSIBLE MOSTLY DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS. AFTERNOON RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS THROUGH
TONIGHT. MODERATE DISPERSION IS ALSO EXPECTED BY LATE MORNING AND
EARLY AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    THROUGH THE DAY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900-3800 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...91-640 METERS AGL INCREASING TO 884-1158 METERS
                    AGL LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 14 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHWEST 3 TO 6 METERS/SECOND.
DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 17 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 31 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
                    TO 46 LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING TO 34.
LVORI...............5.
STABILITY CLASS.....3.

TIME (CST)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........65  67  68  70  71  71  71  71  71  71
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RNF RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
TEMP............64  68  71  74  76  77  78  77  76  73
RH..............87  78  73  66  64  62  60  62  64  71
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..5   6   7   8   8   8   7   7   6   5
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  15  15  15  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 1.3 2.1 2.9 3.7 3.7 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8
MIX HGT (M).....0.3 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S
TRANSP WIND SPD.9   10  13  13  14  14  14  13  12  9
TRANS WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S
TRANS SPD (M/S).4   4   6   6   6   6   6   6   5   4
DISPERSION IDX..11  17  31  41  49  50  50  47  41  34
LVORI...........5   3   3   2   1   1   1   1   2   3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1200 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...213-366 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHWEST AROUND 3 METERS/SECOND.
DISPERSION INDEX....4.
LVORI...............7.
STABILITY CLASS.....4.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........71  70  67  65  62  60  59  59  59  60  60  61
WEATHER COV.....                        PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY
WEATHER TYPE....                        FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
TEMP............70  68  66  64  62  61  60  60  60  60  60  60
RH..............78  84  90  97  100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.10  5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9
MIX HGT (M).....0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
TRANS WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANS SPD (M/S).3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
DISPERSION IDX..5   5   4   5   5   5   5   5   4   3   3   3
LVORI...........4   5   6   8   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    THROUGH THE DAY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900-3700 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...244-701 METERS AGL INCREASING TO 884-1128
                    METERS AGL LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHWEST 2 TO 3 METERS/SECOND.
DISPERSION INDEX....11 INCREASING TO 22 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6.
STABILITY CLASS.....2.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........60  61  63  66  68  70  71  72  74  75  77  79
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RNF RNF RNF RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
TEMP............60  62  64  67  70  74  77  78  78  77  74  72
RH..............100 97  93  84  76  69  62  60  60  64  71  76
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 1.1 1.4 1.7 2.3 2.9 3.5 3.5 3.6 3.7 3.7 3.7
MIX HGT (M).....0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   6   6   5
TRANS WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANS SPD (M/S).3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   2
DISPERSION IDX..6   9   12  15  19  21  24  24  24  24  22  19
LVORI...........9   8   5   4   3   3   3   2   2   2   3   3

$$
FORECASTER...32
REQUESTED BY...MARY OWEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1700444.0/MOB
.EMAIL MAOWEN@FS.FED.US



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