Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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000
FNUS74 KMOB 131255
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for BSE04...USFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
655 AM CST Wed Dec 13 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 CST on December 13.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Light and variable winds this morning across the
burn area will become southwesterly from noon through midnight,
then westerly through Thursday afternoon. A weak cold front will
move south across the area Thursday night, bringing a northerly
wind flow back to the burn area on Friday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 59.
Min humidity........29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 7 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 3500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...Increasing 1067 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 14 mph increasing to 10 to 15
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest 2 to 6 meters/second increasing to 4
                    to 7 meters/second late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....Increasing to 53.
LVORI...............2.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CST)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........1   1   1   1   1   1   2   4   7   9   11
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............34  39  44  48  52  55  58  59  58  55  51
RH..............72  58  48  40  35  31  29  29  33  39  50
20 FT wind dir..NW  N   E   SE  S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..3   1   2   2   3   4   5   6   7   7   6
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 1.2 1.6 2.1 2.6 3.1 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.5
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1
Transp wind dir.NW  W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.5   6   6   7   7   8   10  14  15  14  10
Trans wind dir..NW  W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Trans spd (m/s).2   3   3   3   3   4   4   6   7   6   4
Dispersion idx..1   4   7   12  19  29  40  52  51  53  43
LVORI...........3   3   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 38.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph until early
                    morning becoming light.
Mixing height.......300-900 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...91-274 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....West 6 to 8 mph.
Transport winds m/s.West 3 to 4 meters/second.
Dispersion index....3.
LVORI...............6.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........12  13  14  15  16  18  18  21  26  29  31  34
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............47  45  43  42  42  41  41  41  41  40  39  38
RH..............65  75  86  93  93  96  96  96  94  98  99  100
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   3
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Mix hgt (km)....0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   7   6
Trans wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W
Trans spd (m/s).4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3
Dispersion idx..3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   2
LVORI...........3   4   5   6   6   6   6   7   7   7   8   8

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 66.
Min humidity........40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west around 5 mph early in
                    the afternoon, then becoming light late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......300-2200 ft AGL increasing to 2700-3200 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height (m)...91-671 meters AGL increasing to 823-975 meters
                    AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph.
Transport winds m/s.West 2 to 4 meters/second.
Dispersion index....9 increasing to 21 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 35 in the afternoon decreasing to
                    23 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........35  34  31  28  25  22  20  22  27  31  35  40
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............40  40  47  51  57  60  62  65  66  65  62  57
RH..............89  91  72  62  51  47  44  41  40  42  48  58
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   4   3
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10  5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.7 2.2 2.7 2.9 3.0 3.2 3.2 3.2
Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0
Transp wind dir.SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  W   W
Transp wind spd.5   5   6   7   7   7   7   8   10  10  8   6
Trans wind dir..SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  W   W
Trans spd (m/s).2   2   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   3
Dispersion idx..5   6   8   13  17  21  25  30  36  39  32  23
LVORI...........6   5   4   2   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   2

$$
Forecaster...22
Requested by...Kevin Mock
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1719910.0/MOB
.EMAIL maowen@fs.fed.us,josephkmock@fs.fed.us



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