Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS

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545
FNUS72 KNHC 171813 CCA
FWSNHC

MARINE SPOT FORECAST FOR SHELL PIPELINE GREEN CANYON BLOCK 248...NOAA ORR ERD
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
201 PM TUE MAY 17 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1350 EDT ON MAY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NWS
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER/TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST
BRANCH AT (305)229-4425.

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE CENTRALGULF IS TRIGGERING OFF SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND TSTMS E OF 90W. THIS ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD THROUGH TONIGHT WITH
POSSIBLE STRONG GUSTY WINDS. WEAK HIGH PRES ACROSS THE NE GULF WILL SHIFT E OF THE
AREA TONIGHT AS A WEAK COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE NRN GULF COAST. THE FRONT WILL STALL WED...
AND SLOWLY DISSIPATE THROUGH THU.HIGH PRES FROM THE ATLC WILL BUILD SSW OVER THE NE AND
N CENTRAL WATERS THU NIGHT AND FRI...THEN BEGIN TO SLIDE EASTWARD FRINIGHT THROUGH SAT NIGHT AS
ANOTHER WEAK COLD FRONT PASSES JUST TO THE N OF THE GULF.


.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 8 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST AROUND 5 KNOTS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
WAVE HEIGHT.........3 FEET.
SWELL HEIGHT........SOUTHEAST SWELL 0 FEET.
SWELL PERIOD........6 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........2 FEET.

TIME (EDT)      1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY(%)..........61     56     50
WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....TSTM   TSTM   TSTM
TSTM COV........ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
TEMP............79     77     76
SWELL HGT (FT)..SE 2   SE 2   SE 2
SWELL PERIOD (S)5     6      6
WIND WAVE (FT)..2     1      1
WAVE HEIGHT (FT)3     3     3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 KNOTS BECOMING LIGHT
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING EAST
                    AROUND 5 KNOTS LATE IN THE EVENING SHIFTING TO
                    THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT BECOMING LIGHT.
WAVE HEIGHT.........3 FEET.
SWELL HEIGHT........SOUTHEAST SWELL 0 FEET.
SWELL PERIOD........6 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........1 FEET.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........50     47     47     42     40     40
WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....TSTM   TSTM   TSTM   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
TEMP............76     74     74     76     77     77
SWELL HGT (FT)..SE 0   SE 0   SE 0   SE 0   SE 0   SE 0
SWELL PERIOD (S)6      6      6      6      6      6
WIND WAVE (FT)..1      1      1      1      1      1
WAVE HEIGHT (FT)3      3      3      3      3      3

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
WAVE HEIGHT.........3 FEET SUBSIDING TO 2 FEET LATE IN THE MORNING.
SWELL HEIGHT........SOUTHEAST SWELL 0 FEET.
SWELL PERIOD........6 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........1 FEET.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........47     47     47     53     55     55
WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD
TEMP............77     77     77     79     77     77
SWELL HGT (FT)..SE 0   SE 0   SE 0   SE 0   SE 0   SE 0
SWELL PERIOD (S)6      6      6      6      6      6
WIND WAVE (FT)..1      1      1      1      1      1
WAVE HEIGHT (FT)3      3      3      2      2      2

$$
FORECASTER...AGUIRRE
REQUESTED BY...PAIGE DOELLING
TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT
.TAG 20160517.SHELL.01/NHC



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