Spot Forecast Issued by NWS Upton, NY
000
FNUS71 KOKX 230057
FWSOKX
Spot Forecast for South of Currans Woodlands 5th Block RX...NYS-DEC
National Weather Service New York NY
857 PM EDT Mon Apr 22 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on April 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
631-924-0383
.DISCUSSION...
Weak high pressure moves offshore on Tuesday ahead of an
approaching frontal system over the Great Lakes.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........46 at ignition...Max 59.
RH..................68 percent at ignition...Min 40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds south at 5 mph at ignition...otherwise
South winds 5 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 5600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /2400 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...good
/43900 knot-ft/.
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........0 1 2 3 8 13 18 15 12 9
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............46 50 53 56 58 58 58 57 57 55
RH..............68 58 50 45 42 40 40 42 42 43
20 FT wind dir..190 190 190 180 180 180 180 180 180 180
20 FT wind spd..5 6 6 6 7 7 8 9 9 9
20 FT wind gust.6 7 8 10 10 10 10 11 12 13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 1.8 3.8 5.3 5.6 5.4 4.9 4.5 4.1 3.5
Transp wind dir.190 200 200 200 200 190 180 190 200 200
Transp wind spd.12 10 9 8 9 9 10 12 12 13
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2 17 31 39 42 44 44 43 42 39
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR FR PR
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
showers early in the morning.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 30 percent early in
the morning.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........Min 44.
RH..................Max 80 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 7 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 22 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (35100 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to poor (2000 knot-ft) late in the
night.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........11 13 15 19 22 25 35 45 55 63 71 79
Weather cov..... CHC
Weather type.... RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 30
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............52 50 47 47 46 46 46 46 46 46 46 47
RH..............50 54 63 63 65 68 68 68 71 73 73 74
20 FT wind dir..180 180 180 180 180 180 180 180 180 180 180 180
20 FT wind spd..8 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7
20 FT wind gust.13 12 12 11 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
Mix hgt (kft)...2.8 2.0 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.0
Transp wind dir.200 190 190 180 180 180 180 180 180 190 190 200
Transp wind spd.15 16 18 18 18 18 17 17 18 20 21 22
Vrate kt-ft/1K..35 28 20 12 7 4 2 2 4 8 13 18
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
$$
Forecaster...DW
Requested by...Bryan Gallagher
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411857.0/OKX
.DELDT 04/22/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL bryan.gallagher@dec.ny.gov