Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FNUS74 KOUN 130923
FWSOUN

Spot Forecast for McGee Creek State Park Bear Creek Unit...Oklahoma Forestry Services
National Weather Service Norman OK
323 AM CST Wed Dec 13 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 CST on December 13.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (405) 325-3816 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
South winds will gradually shift to the southwest and west during the
day today with northwest winds expected between 5 and 7 PM this evening.
Wind speeds are expected to remain relatively light at 5 to 10 mph. Warmer
temperatures are also expected today. Cooler temperatures and north winds
are expected Thursday.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Temperature.........33 at ignition...Max 65.
RH..................73 percent at ignition...Min 22 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds south at 4 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    West winds 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 100-1800 ft
                    AGL, increasing to 2100-3100 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon, then decreasing to 200 ft AGL early.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 7 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /700 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...fair
                    /24900 knot-ft/.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........0      0      0      0      0      10
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............33     34     48     59     65     65
RH..............73     75     44     26     22     23
20 ft wind......S 5    S 6    SW 6   SW 7   W 7    W 6
20 ft wind gust.6             7      10     10
Mix hgt (ft)....100    200    700    1800   3000   2800
Transport wind..S 6    S 5    SW 13  W 16   W 13   NW 8
VRate ktft/1000.1      12     21     25     19     9

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Temperature.........Min 38.
RH..................Max 73 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 5 mph early in the
                    evening, becoming light, then becoming north 5
                    to 6 mph early in the evening.
Mixing height.......100-400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph early in the evening,
                    becoming light, then becoming north 5 to 6 mph
                    early in the evening.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0 knot-ft).

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........5      5      10     5      5      5
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............56     51     49     46     45     43
RH..............32     41     44     48     51     58
20 ft wind......NW 5   N 5    N 5    N 6    N 6    N 6
20 ft wind gust.6      6      6             7      7
Mix hgt (ft)....100    100    100    100    200    300
Transport wind..NW 3   N 3    N 5    N 6    N 7    N 10
VRate ktft/1000.0      0      0      1      0      1

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Temperature.........Max 49.
RH..................Min 39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 6 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......500-2300 ft AGL, increasing to 2800-4200 ft AGL
                    late in the morning, then decreasing to 1400 ft
                    AGL late.
Transport winds.....North 6 to 7 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (6000-45100 knot-ft).

TIME (CST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........6         47        22        13
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............40        41        47        49
RH..............65        64        46        39
20 FT wind......N 6       N 6G7     N 7G10    N 7G10
Mix hgt (ft)....500       1700      3500      3900
Transport wind..N 14      N 15      N 15      N 16
VRate ktft/1000.6         29        45        26

$$
Forecaster...MAXWELL
Requested by...Pat Wayman
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1719837.0/OUN
.EMAIL donald.wayman2@ag.ok.gov


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