Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY

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000
FNUS73 KPAH 011527
FWSPAH

SPOT FORECAST FOR NIEMANN RX BURN...ILLINOIS DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
927 AM CST THU DEC 1 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0000 CST ON DECEMBER 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THERE WILL BE A STRONG INVERSION AROUND 3K FEET THAT WILL NOT
BREAK TODAY. THIS INVERSION WILL LOWER TO NEAR THE SURFACE
TONIGHT TRAPPING THE SMOKE BENEATH IT. WINDS WILL BE RELATIVELY
LIGHT BENEATH THE INVERSION...HINDERING SMOKE MANAGEMENT.


.FRIDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 32.
RH..................MAX 92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 1 TO 3 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY COVER.......PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
TEMP............40     38     36     34     34     33
RH..............73     79     85     89     89     92
20 FT WIND DIR..NW     N      N      N      N      N
20 FT WIND SPD..3      2      2      1      1      1
20 FT WIND GUST.5
MIX HGT (FT)....300    200    300    300    300    300
TRANSP WIND DIR.N      N      N      N      N      N
TRANSP WIND SPD.3      3      3      3      2      1
HAINES INDEX....3      2      2      2      2      2

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 46.
RH..................MIN 56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2000-2500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 1 TO 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY COVER.......MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
TEMP............32     36     41     44     46     44
RH..............92     82     70     62     58     62
20 FT WIND DIR..NE     NE     E      E      E      E
20 FT WIND SPD..2      2      2      3      3      3
20 FT WIND GUST.                     5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....300    800    1600   2400   2400   2100
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE     E      E      N      NE     NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.2      5      3      1      1      3
HAINES INDEX....2      3      3      3      2      2

$$
FORECASTER...HOOPER
REQUESTED BY...JESSE RIECHMAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1603812.0/PAH
.EMAIL JESSERIECHMAN@GMAIL.COM



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