Suppression Forecast
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FNUS71 KPBZ 240712
FWSPBZ

Spot Forecast for SGL 244...PA Game Commission
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
312 AM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on April 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (412) 262-1485, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.Discussion...

High pressure should maintain dry weather most of today. Low pressure
is expected to track along the East Coast, resulting in periodic
light rain chances this evening through Tuesday.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 66.
Min humidity........32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable winds...becoming east 5 to 9
                    mph with gusts up to 20 mph in the late morning
                    and afternoon.
Mixing height.......100-1500 ft AGL...increasing to 2800-4700 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....East 3 to 12 mph...increasing to 15 to 22 mph
                    late in the morning.
Haines Index........4 to 5...or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........22  26  30  33  37  41  48  55  63
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............54  57  61  64  65  66  66  65  64
RH..............52  47  42  37  35  32  32  34  35
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..5   6   8   8   9   9   9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.10  15  15  20  20  20  20  20  20
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 1.5 2.3 3.3 4.2 4.7 4.3 3.6 2.8
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.8   12  15  17  20  21  22  22  22
Haines index....4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). A chance of
                    light rain...mainly after midnight.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 47.
Max humidity........81 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 8 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......1100-2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 14 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........2 to 5...or very low to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........70  77  85  85  84  84  84  84  84  86  87  88
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  20  20  20  20  30  30  30  30  30  40
Temp............62  60  58  56  54  53  51  50  49  48  48  47
RH..............38  43  47  51  56  60  64  68  72  75  78  81
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..9   9   8   8   8   8   9   10  10  9   8   8
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  20  20  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...2.3 1.9 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.1
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.20  18  17  17  18  20  20  20  18  17  15  14
Haines index....5   5   4   4   4   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). A chance of light rain.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........68 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 8 to 11 mph.
Mixing height.......700-2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 17 mph...becoming east 20 to 21
                    mph late.
Haines Index........2 to 3...or very low.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........90  91  92  93  93  94  93  92  91  90  90  90
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).40  40  40  40  40  40  30  30  30  30  30  30
Temp............47  47  48  49  52  54  57  59  60  61  62  62
RH..............84  86  86  85  83  79  75  71  70  69  68  68
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..8   8   8   9   9   9   10  10  11  11  10  10
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  20  20  20  20  15
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.8 1.2 1.6 2.0 2.3 2.4 2.4
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  E   E
Transp wind spd.13  13  13  12  10  10  13  15  17  20  21  21
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3

$$
Forecaster...WM
Requested by...Josh Mitchell
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1707619.0/PBZ
.EMAIL joshmitche@pa.gov


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