Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Pocatello, ID

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FNUS75 KPIH 230620 CCA
FWSPIH

SPOT FORECAST FOR MM 288...EIIFC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID...CORRECTION
1216 AM MDT SAT JUL 23 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2331 MDT ON JULY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DRY WEST FLOW CONTINUING ACROSS THE REGION TODAY IN
THE WAKE OF FRIDAYS COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE. A POTENTIAL WIND SHIFT
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT (MY GUESS IS AROUND 0200) AND THEN SOUTHWEST WINDS
RESUMING AROUND NOON SATURDAY AND INCREASING TO BREEZY BUT SHORT OF
RED FLAG CRITERIA.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....FALLING TO AROUND 50 TO 53.
MAX HUMIDITY........RISING TO AROUND 42 TO 47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO 20 MPH AT TIMES CONTINUING TO DECREASE
                    OVERNIGHT. OBSERVATIONS ARE SHOWING NORTH WINDS
                    SPILLING OUT OF BIRCH CREEK AND SPENCER AREA AT
                    MIDNIGHT. MODELS SHOWING MIXED RESULTS WITH
                    NORTH WINDS REACHING FIRE AREA BY 0200 ON ONE
                    AND STOPPING SHORT JUST NORTH OF THE FIRE ON THE
                    OTHER.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-900 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........WEST-SOUTHWEST AROUND 30 MPH DECREASING TO 15
                    MPH OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85 TO 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........8 TO 11 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASING AFTER NOON TO 10 TO
                    15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO AROUND 7700 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........INCREASING TO WEST-SOUTHWEST 20-25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MAX HUMIDITY........45 TO 55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........DECREASING AFTER 2100 AND BECOMING SOUTH
                    5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 300-800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4.

$$
FORECASTER...HUSTON
REQUESTED BY...AUSTIN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160722.MM288.01/PIH



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