Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Raleigh/Durham, NC

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FNUS72 KRAH 021148
FWSRAH

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLOCK L...NCWRC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
748 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 EDT ON OCTOBER 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTEND OVER THE AREA TODAY. A
COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY... AND CROSS THE AREA
FRIDAY NIGHT. COOL HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST OVER
THE WEEKEND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING. ISOLATED SHOWERS LATE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5000-5800 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 1 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 3 TO 7
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)          NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............34     32     33
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................77     81     82
RH..................58     53     51
20 FT WIND..........W 2    W 2    SW 2
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)........3400   5000   5800
TRANSPORT WIND......W 3    W 5    SW 6
LVORI...............2      1      1
ADI.................16     34     34

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    UNTIL EARLY MORNING. PATCHY FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200-5800 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-1900 FT
                    AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 10 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............34     36     34     32     30     31
WEATHER COV.........ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD PATCHY PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR FOG    FOG
TSTM COV............
TEMP................79     72     70     68     66     65
RH..................56     68     73     78     84     84
20 FT WIND..........SW 2   S 2    S 1    S 1    S 2    S 2
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)........5800   1900   300    300    300    300
TRANSPORT WIND......SW 7   SW 8   SW 9   S 10   S 10   S 8
LVORI...............1      3      3      4      5      5
ADI.................44     4      4      4      4      4

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO
                    7 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO SOUTH 17
                    TO 25 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............31     31     40     47     57     78
WEATHER COV.........PATCHY                      S CHC  CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............                                   CHANCE
TEMP................64     63     71     78     81     82
RH..................87     90     71     60     56     56
20 FT WIND..........S 2    S 2    S 3    SW 5   S 5    S 6
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      5      10     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)........300    300    1600   2900   4200   4900
TRANSPORT WIND......SW 7   SW 7   SW 9   SW 13  S 17   S 23
LVORI...............6      4      4      1      1      1
ADI.................3      10     10     41     60     60

$$
FORECASTER...HARTFIELD
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS JORDAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141002.BLOCK.01/RAH


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