Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Charleston, WV

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FNUS71 KRLX 292043
FWSRLX

SPOT FORECAST FOR TERRY FIRE...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
443 PM EDT SUN MAY 29 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1630 EDT ON MAY 29.
.DISCUSSION...
A VERY WEAK COOL FRONT...WITH SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS POSSIBLE ALONG
IT...WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE AREA LATER TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW
MORNING.  DRIER AND COOLER AIR MOVES IN TOMORROW. WINDS SHOULD REMAIN
FAIRLY LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT AND RH VALUES WILL ALSO REMAIN QUITE
HIGH.  HOWEVER...BEHIND THE COLD FRONT TOMORROW AFTERNOON WE WILL LIKELY
SEE SOME GUSTY WINDS OUT OF THE NORTHWEST.





.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.
CWR.................40 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-1600 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 0 TO 3 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-1600 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 0 TO 3 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............92     88     81     72     65     65
WEATHER COV.........CHANCE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................75     70     66     64     62     61
RH..................63     70     78     78     77     84
20 FT WIND..........SW 2   S 2    S 2    S 1    S 0    S 0
20 FT WIND GUST.....       5
MIX HGT (FT)........3800   2200   1200   800    800    600
TRANSPORT WIND......W 2    S 3    S 3    S 1    S 0    S 1
CWR.................40     20     10     10     10     10
LAL.................1      1      1      1      1      1
HAINES INDEX........3      3      3      4      5      4

.MEMORIAL DAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1300...THEN 1-8 STRIKES UNTIL
                    1600...THEN NO TSTMS.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9100-9500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 1 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 12 TO 13
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9100-9500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 1 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 12 TO 13
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............66     66     67     67     68     57
WEATHER COV.........                     S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE
TSTM COV............                            S CHC
TEMP................60     62     67     71     75     80
RH..................91     88     75     67     62     53
20 FT WIND..........SW 1   SW 1   W 2    W 4    NW 5   NW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....              5      5      10     10
MIX HGT (FT)........400    500    1500   4700   8900   9400
TRANSPORT WIND......SW 1   SW 1   W 1    NW 5   NW 10  NW 13
CWR.................10     10     10     20     20     10
LAL.................1      1      1      1      2      1
HAINES INDEX........4      3      3      4      4      4

$$
FORECASTER...MPK
REQUESTED BY...MIKE GAWRONSKI
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160529.TERRY.01/RLX


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