Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FNUS72 KTAE 221211
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR DRY BAR...U.S. FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
811 AM EDT SAT AUG 22 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0754 EDT ON AUGUST 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT (850)942-8833...OPTION 9.

.DISCUSSION...

RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
THRESHOLDS FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. ALTHOUGH THERE WILL BE LIGHT
NORTHEAST WINDS THIS MORNING...AN AFTERNOON SEA BREEZE WILL
SHIFT THE WINDS TO SOUTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON AT AROUND 10 MPH ALONG
WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    7 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL EARLY INCREASING TO 4200 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH THIS MORNING...SHIFTING TO
                    THE SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    7 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION..........MAX AROUND 39 THIS AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY COVER.......PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY                      S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............79     82     86     86     88     89
RH..............94     82     72     75     70     68
20 FT WIND......N 1    N 2    N 3    SE 5   S 6    SW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     10     15     15     15
EYE LEVEL WIND..N 1    N 1    N 2    SE 4   S 4    SW 5
EYE LVL WND GST.5      10     10     15     15     15
CWR.............20     20     20     20     20     20

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT EARLY IN
                    THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 TO 10 MPH.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
DISPERSION..........MIN VALUE 4.
LVORI...............MAX VALUE 6.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY COVER.......PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............89     87     86     85     82     81
RH..............68     72     75     77     85     88
20 FT WIND......SW 6   W 4    NW 2   NW 2   NW 2   N 2
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10     10     10     10     10
EYE LEVEL WIND..SW 5   W 3    NW 2   NW 2   NW 2   N 2
EYE LVL WND GST.15     10     10     10     10     10
CWR.............20     10     10     10     10     10

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0800...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4700 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 12 MPH.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION..........MAX VALUE 46 IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY COVER.......PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....       CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............80     81     86     89     90     91
RH..............91     91     77     70     68     64
20 FT WIND......N 2    N 2    N 3    NW 5   S 6    SW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     15     15     15
EYE LEVEL WIND..N 2    N 2    N 2    NW 4   S 5    SW 5
EYE LVL WND GST.10     10     10     15     15     15
CWR.............10     30     30     30     30     30

$$
FORECASTER...DON VAN DYKE
REQUESTED BY...BRANTLEY BOATRIGHT
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150822.DRYBA.01/TAE


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