Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FNUS72 KTAE 051217
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR ST  GEORGE CAUSEWAY...FDEP/BUFFER PRESERVE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
717 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 EST ON MARCH 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE AT (850) 942-8833.

.DISCUSSION...

THE CURRENT VERY WARM AND MOIST AIRMASS WILL BE REPLACED BY A COOLER
AIRMASS FOR FRIDAY IN THE WAKE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT. DEWPOINTS ARE
NOT EXPECTED TO BE TERRIBLY LOW WITH THE INCOMING AIRMASS...KEEPING
MINIMUM HUMIDITY VALUES WELL ABOVE RED FLAG LEVELS. NO FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY DENSE FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE
THIS MORNING...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE PANHANDLE COAST.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). AREAS OF DENSE
                    FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN
                    THE MORNING. RAIN LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 20 MPH.
CWR.................30 PERCENT THIS MORNING INCREASING TO 60
                    PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL THIS MORNING INCREASING TO 1800 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 20 MPH.
DISPERSION..........40.


TIME (EST)      1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RAIN   RAIN   RAIN
TEMP............64     64     64
RH..............98     96     95
20 FT WIND......S 6    SW 6   W 7
20 FT WIND GUST.15     20     20

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEARLY STEADY BETWEEN 1500-1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 18 TO 22 MPH.
DISPERSION..........25.


TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  CLOUDY CLOUDY
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RAIN   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............64     61     57     54     52     51
RH..............92     83     78     78     78     76
20 FT WIND......NW 7   N 9    N 10   N 11   N 11   N 11
20 FT WIND GUST.20     20     20     20     20     20

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MIN HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 13 TO 17 MPH.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1900 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 14 TO 22 MPH.
DISPERSION..........41.



TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............50     50     51     52     52     53
RH..............73     71     71     74     76     76
20 FT WIND......N 11   N 10   N 10   N 9    N 8    N 8
20 FT WIND GUST.20     20     20     20     20     20

$$

FORECASTER...KEN GOULD
REQUESTED BY...DYLAN SHOEMAKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150305.STGEO.01/TAE






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