Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Rapid City, SD

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000
FNUS73 KUNR 310058
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR RIDGE TOP...GPC SD-SDS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
658 PM MDT MON MAY 30 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1831 MDT ON MAY 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN BLACK HILLS THIS
EVENING...BRINGING A PERIOD OF GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS. THE FRONT
SHOULD MOVE THROUGH THE FIRE AREA AROUND 8 PM. A FEW SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ARE EXPECTED THIS EVENING. ERRATIC WINDS
WITH GUSTS AROUND 45 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.

FOR TUESDAY...GUSTY WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE IN THE MORNING AND
CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
OVER THE BLACK HILLS...BUT SHOULD REMAIN NORTH OF THE FIRE AREA.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    THIS EVENING. WINDS DECREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 300 TO 800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING POOR.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH EARLY INCREASING TO
                    20 TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 35 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 TO 5800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 35 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD.

$$
FORECASTER...NWS
REQUESTED BY...STAHL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160530.RIDGE.01/UNR



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