Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS Alaska-Pacific RFC

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AGAK78 PACR 302321
HMDACR

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NWS ALASKA PACIFIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER ANCHORAGE AK
300 PM AKDT SAT JUL 30 2016

...FLOOD POTENTIAL...

FLOOD ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY DUE TO HEAVY
RAINS OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF SEWARD PENINSULA... NULATO
HILLS... LOWER KOYUKUK AND MIDDLE YUKON VALLEYS. RAPID RISES WILL
OCCUR ON THE SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS.

HEAVY RAINS OVER THE ALASKA RANGE WEST OF THE RICHARDSON HIGHWAY AND
MIDDLE TANANA VALLEY... HAVE RESULTED IN RAPID RISES IN STREAMS AND
RIVERS... WITH LOCAL MINOR FLOODING.

THE FLOOD POTENTIAL FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE STATE IS CURRENTLY LOW.

...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...

A LOW OVER THE CENTRAL GULF WILL MOVE TO THE EAST AND PASS JUST
SOUTH OF THE PANHANDLE. A TROUGH ALONG THE WEST COAST WILL REMAINS
STATIONARY... WITH LOW DEVELOPING AT THE BASE OF THE TROUGH
OVER BRISTOL BAY BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

FOR TODAY INTO TONIGHT... A SWATH OF RAIN WILL RANGE SOUTHWEST TO
NORTHEAST ALASKA WITH A BROAD AREA OF HALF INCH TO 1.5 INCHES OF
RAIN. FOR SUNDAY... THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL REMAIN SOUTHWEST TO
NORTHEAST BUT WITH LESSER AMOUNTS AS THE SURFACE FRONT WEAKENS. FOR
MONDAY EXPECT RAIN TO CONTINUE SOUTHWEST WITH ANOTHER WAVE OF RAIN
ENTERING FROM THE NORTHWEST.

...PRECIPITATION...

SELECTED PRECIPITATION TOTALS OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS ENDING AT 4 AM
TODAY:

LOCATION NAME                 PE TS   24 HR
======== ====                 == ==   =====
KATA2    KANUTI LAKE          PC RM :  6.70
EVCA2    EIELSON VISITORS     PC RG :  2.04
CPKA2    POKER CREEK RAWS     PC RG :  1.98
COTA2    COTTONWOOD LAKE RAWS PC RG :  1.83
AGLA2    ANGEL CREEK RAWS     PC RG :  1.79
MDTA2    MANLEY HOT SPRINGS   PC RG :  1.70
MSOA2    MUNSON RIDGE SNOTEL  PP RG :  1.66
PAGL     GOLOVIN              PP RZ :  1.65
MHSA2    TANANA RIVER AT MANL PP RZ :  1.63
JCPA2    JOHNSON`S CAMP       PC R2 :  1.62
HZLA2    HOZATKA LAKE         PC RM :  1.60
STUA2    STUART CREEK RAWS    PC RG :  1.57
UNCA2    UPPER NOME CREEK     PC R2 :  1.55
MSOA2    MUNSON RIDGE SNOTEL  PC R2 :  1.49
PAOM     NOME                 PP RZ :  1.36
PAKK     KOYUK                PP RZ :  1.26
MTRA2    MT RYAN SNOTEL       PP RG :  1.26
SHKA2    SHAKTOOLIK RIVER RAW PC RG :  1.25
TKLA2    TOKLAT RAWS          PC RG :  1.21
BOXA2    BOX RIVER RAWS       PC RG :  1.21
PCRA2    PARAGON CREEK SNOTEL PC RM :  1.20
TKLA2    TOKLAT RAWS          PP RG :  1.19
MRGA2    MARGUERITE CREEK     PC RG :  1.17
MTRA2    MT RYAN SNOTEL       PC R2 :  1.11
MNCA2    MONUMENT CREEK       PP RG :  1.11
CHTA2    CHATANIKA RAWS       PC RG :  1.11
PMNA2    GALENA RAWS AT       PC RG :  1.10
CHTA2    CHATANIKA RAWS       PP RG :  1.07
RUGA2    RUTH GLACIER RAWS    PC RG :  1.05
WICA2    WICKERSHAM DOME      PP RG :  0.99
RUGA2    RUTH GLACIER RAWS    PP RG :  0.98
UCEA2    UPPER CHENA DOME     PP RG :  0.97
ANXA2    ANNEX CREEK          PP RZ :  0.95
PAUN     UNALAKLEET           PP RZ :  0.93

...LONG RANGE...

THE 6 TO 10 DAY TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED PROBABILITIES OF
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR THE ENTIRE STATE EXCEPT FOR FAR
NORTHEAST.

THE 6 TO 10 DAY PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED PROBABILITIES OF
ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION FOR THE SOUTHWEST INCLUDING THE ALEUTIAN
ISLANDS.

PLEASE REFER TO THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER HOME PAGE FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION.

....................................................................

THIS TEXT PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED DAILY UNTIL FREEZEUP IN THE FALL. A
GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THE HYDROMET DISCUSSION IS AVAILABLE AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/APRFC/GRAPHICALHMD

$$

KFM



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