Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS Alaska-Pacific RFC

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AGAK78 PACR 282310
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HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NWS ALASKA PACIFIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER ANCHORAGE AK
300 PM AKDT THU APR 28 2016

...FLOOD POTENTIAL...

AN ICE JAM DOWNRIVER OF EAGLE IS STILL CAUSING HIGH RIVER LEVELS IN
THE EAGLE AREA. THE YUKON RIVER IS BANKFULL WITH MINOR FLOODING
FLOODING OCCURRING.

THE LOWER YUKON RIVER BETWEEN HOLY CROSS AND MOUNTAIN VILLAGE IS
PARTIALLY TO MOSTLY OPEN. THE KUSKOKWIM IS PARTIALLY TO MOSTLY OPEN
THROUGH ITS ENTIRE LENGTH. THE SUSITNA RIVER IS ALSO MOSTLY OPEN
BELOW CANTWELL.

FOR BREAKUP REPORTS AND FLOOD POTENTIAL... SEE THE BREAKUP SUMMARY
AT HTTP://APRFC.ARH.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/FCST.PHP?PRODUCT=SRAK48PARC

...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...

THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN TODAY HAS A LARGE LOW OVER THE CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS. THIS LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY EASTWARD INTO THE
WESTERN GULF BY EARLY SATURDAY... THEN BECOME STATIONARY.
THE MOST SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL SUNDAY WILL BE ALONG THE COASTAL
REGION OF THE CENTRAL GULF... FROM THE AKPEN AND INCLUDING THE
PANHANDLE. LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OF UP TO 2 INCHES IS EXPECTED EACH DAY.

...PRECIPITATION...

PRECIPITATION TOTALS OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS ENDING AT 4 AM TODAY:

LOCATION NAME                 PE TS   24 HR
======== ====                 == ==   =====
PATG     TOGIAK               PP RZ :  1.30
PAHY     HYDABURG             PP RZ :  1.04
PAJC     CHIGNIK              PP RZ :  0.91
ECBA2    EAGLECREST BASE      PP RZ :  0.77
MLRA2    MCNEIL RIVER SGS     PC RM :  0.70
GQIA2    QUEEN INLET GLACIER  PC RG :  0.66
LCRA2    LITTLE CHENA RIDGE S PP RG :  0.56
WICA2    WICKERSHAM DOME NEAR PC RG :  0.55
PATO     PORTAGE GLACIER      PP RZ :  0.54
PAEL     ELFIN COVE           PP RZ :  0.54
PAYA     YAKUTAT              PP RZ :  0.50
PANN     NENANA               PP RZ :  0.47

...LONG RANGE...

THE 6 TO 10 DAY TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED PROBABILITIES OF
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER THE ENTIRE STATE.

THE 6 TO 10 DAY PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED PROBABILITIES OF
ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER THE EASTERN TWO-THIRDS OF THE
STATE...INCLUDING THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN. INCREASED PROBABILITIES OF
BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER THE SEWARD PENINSULA AND NORTHWEST
ALASKA.

PLEASE REFER TO THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER HOME PAGE FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION.

....................................................................

THIS TEXT PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED DAILY UNTIL FREEZEUP IN THE FALL. A
GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THE HYDROMET DISCUSSION IS AVAILABLE AT
HTTP://APRFC.ARH.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/GHMD.PHP

A GRAPHICAL SLIDE SHOW PRESENTATION OF HYDROMET ISSUES IS AVAILABLE
AT HTTP://APRFC.ARH.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/PRESENT
$$

KFM



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