Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS Northeast RFC

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AGUS71 KTAR 231549
HMDTAR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON...MA
1146 AM EDT TUE SEP 23 2014

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:
:
MID-MORNING VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS PLENTY OF CLOUDINESS
ACROSS NORTHERN NEW YORK STATE AND NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND ASSOCIATED
WITH A COLD POOL ALOFT AND AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING
THROUGH. SCATTERED RAINSHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS FAR
NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND...ESPECIALLY NORTHERN MAINE WHERE BASIN
AVERAGE RAINFALL THROUGH THIS EVENING COULD APPROACH 0.10 INCHES.
:
ELSEWHERE...WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE REGION FROM THE
OHIO RIVER VALLEY...PLENTY OF SUNSHINE WILL BE THE RULE TODAY
ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND SOUTHERN/WESTERN NEW YORK STATE.
:
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CURRENTLY ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES
WILL BE MEANDERING NORTH OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AND WILL
EVENTUALLY SPAWN A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC
COAST ON THURSDAY. DEPENDING ON HOW FAR NORTH THIS SYSTEM WORKS
WILL DETERMINE HOW MUCH RAINFALL SPREADS INTO SOUTHEAST NEW YORK
STATE AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND LATE THIS WORK WEEK. RIGHT NOW...
THE AREA MOST LIKELY TO SEE SOME DECENT RAIN WOULD BE ACROSS LONG
ISLAND IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK STATE WITH LESS RAIN EXPECTED ACROSS
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND LITTLE IF ANY RAINFALL EXPECTED ACROSS
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND NORTHERN/WESTERN NEW YORK
STATE.
:
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:
:
MINOR RISES WERE OBSERVED ACROSS NORTHERN AND WESTERN NEW YORK
STATE AND NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND DURING THE LAST 24 HOURS. RISES
WERE GENERALLY LESS THAN A FOOT. ELSEWHERE IN THE NERFC AREA,
RIVER LEVELS CONTINUE TO SLOWLY DECLINE.
:
WITH LITTLE IN THE WAY OF RAINFALL EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
DAYS, RIVER LEVELS SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY FALL ACROSS THE
NORTHEAST.
:
ACCORDING TO THE USGS WATER WATCH WEBPAGE, 7-DAY AVERAGE
STREAMFLOWS ACROSS MOST OF THE NORTHEAST REGION ARE RUNNING AT
NORMAL TO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL LEVELS FOR LATE SEPTEMBER. HOWEVER
, ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK, RIVER FLOWS
ARE MOSTLY BELOW TO WELL BELOW NORMAL.
:
FLOOD OUTLOOK DISCUSSION:
:
THE NERFC FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK GRAPHIC INDICATES SIGNIFICANT
RIVER FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED IN THE NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES
DURING THE NEXT FIVE DAYS.
:
THE FLOOD OUTLOOK GRAPHIC IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NERFC/FOP
:
ADDITIONAL WATER AND WEATHER RELATED INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON
THE NWS/NERFC HOME PAGE AT http://www.nws.noaa.gov/er/nerfc
:
$$
:
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:       RON HORWOOD
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:                JEANE WALLACE




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