River Forecast
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FGUS51 KTIR 160059
RVFAGL
River Forecast
NWS Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, OH
7:59pm EST Monday, January 15, 2018

This is a NWS guidance product from the Ohio River Forecast Center.
Public forecasts and warnings are issued only by local NWS offices.
Statistical uncertainties can be viewed from our ensemble pages at:
http://weather.gov/erh/mmefs


: Parker - Allegheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 845.14 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Armstrong County, PA
: Record River Stage     29.6 ft
: Major River Stage      26.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   23.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      20.0 ft
: Action River Stage     13.9 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Gage reading may be affected by ice.
: Forecast stage not representative of actual flow.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Jan 14           /  11.6 /  10.8 /  10.3
:     Jan 15   /   9.8 /   9.1 /   8.8 /   8.7
:     Jan 16   /   8.6
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 8.6 ft at 700pm EST on Mon, Jan 15
:
.ER PARP1 20180116 Z DC201801160059/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Jan 16 :         /   8.3 /   8.3 /   8.0
.E2 : Jan 17 : /   8.3 /   8.0 /   7.9 /   8.3
.E3 : Jan 18 : /   8.6 /   8.5 /   8.5 /   8.4
.E4 : Jan 19 : /   8.4 /   8.4 /   8.4 /   8.3
.E5 : Jan 20 : /   8.3 /   8.2 /   8.2 /   8.2
.E6 : Jan 21 : /   8.2
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Jan 13           /  0.13 /  0.17 /  0.04
:     Jan 14   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Jan 15   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Jan 16   /  0.04
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Jan 16           /  0.11 /  0.06 /  0.02
:     Jan 17   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Jan 18   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Jan 13           /  -4.1 /  -9.6 / -10.7
:     Jan 14   / -10.8 / -13.1 / -14.7 / -12.1
:     Jan 15   /  -9.1 / -13.8 / -13.6 / -10.6
:     Jan 16   /  -6.1 /  -5.3 /  -5.3 /  -6.0
:     Jan 17   /  -7.3 / -11.8 / -13.6 / -11.6
:     Jan 18   /  -8.5
:____________________________________________________________________

: St Charles - Redbank Creek - PBZ
: Zero Datum 973.14 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Armstrong County, PA
: Record River Stage     23.9 ft
: Major River Stage      22.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   20.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      17.0 ft
: Action River Stage     14.1 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Jan 14           /   8.1 /   7.6 /   7.6
:     Jan 15   /   7.1 /   6.7 /   6.4 /   6.3
:     Jan 16   /   6.4
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 6.4 ft at 715pm EST on Mon, Jan 15
:
.ER SNCP1 20180116 Z DC201801160059/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Jan 16 :         /   6.1 /   5.8 /   5.6
.E2 : Jan 17 : /   5.3 /   5.1 /   5.0 /   4.9
.E3 : Jan 18 : /   4.8 /   4.8 /   4.7 /   4.7
.E4 : Jan 19 : /   4.6 /   4.6 /   4.5 /   4.5
.E5 : Jan 20 : /   4.4 /   4.4 /   4.4 /   4.3
.E6 : Jan 21 : /   4.3
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Jan 13           /  0.24 /  0.16 /  0.10
:     Jan 14   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Jan 15   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.01
:     Jan 16   /  0.01
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Jan 16           /  0.08 /  0.07 /  0.04
:     Jan 17   /  0.02 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Jan 18   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Jan 13           /  -1.3 /  -9.3 / -10.5
:     Jan 14   / -10.8 / -14.4 / -15.7 / -13.3
:     Jan 15   /  -9.5 / -14.2 / -14.4 / -11.5
:     Jan 16   /  -7.2 /  -6.6 /  -5.7 /  -4.8
:     Jan 17   /  -5.9 / -11.4 / -13.8 / -11.9
:     Jan 18   /  -9.0
:____________________________________________________________________

: Kittanning L&D 7 - Allegheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 773.4 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Armstrong County, PA
: Record Pool Stage     30.7 ft
: Major Pool Stage      23.0 ft
: Moderate Pool Stage   22.0 ft
: Flood Pool Stage      21.0 ft
: Action Pool Stage     17.1 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Gage reading may be affected by ice.
: Forecast stage not representative of actual flow.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Jan 14           /  16.2 /  15.6 /  15.2
:     Jan 15   /  14.9 /  14.6 /  14.2 /  14.2
:     Jan 16   /  14.2
:
: Latest Observed Pool Stage 14.2 ft at 700pm EST on Mon, Jan 15
:
.ER KTTP1 20180116 Z DC201801160059/DUE/DQG/DH06/HPIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Jan 16 :         /  14.2 /  14.0 /  14.0
.E2 : Jan 17 : /  13.8 /  13.9 /  13.8 /  13.7
.E3 : Jan 18 : /  13.9 /  14.0 /  13.9 /  13.9
.E4 : Jan 19 : /  13.9 /  13.8 /  13.8 /  13.8
.E5 : Jan 20 : /  13.8 /  13.7 /  13.6 /  13.6
.E6 : Jan 21 : /  13.6
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Jan 13           /  0.20 /  0.14 /  0.07
:     Jan 14   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Jan 15   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.01
:     Jan 16   /  0.03
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Jan 16           /  0.07 /  0.07 /  0.04
:     Jan 17   /  0.02 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Jan 18   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Jan 13           /  -1.0 /  -8.3 /  -9.8
:     Jan 14   /  -9.9 / -12.8 / -14.7 / -13.1
:     Jan 15   /  -8.8 / -13.9 / -12.8 /  -9.9
:     Jan 16   /  -5.3 /  -5.2 /  -4.6 /  -4.4
:     Jan 17   /  -5.6 / -11.0 / -13.3 / -11.7
:     Jan 18   /  -8.2
:____________________________________________________________________

: Seward - Conemaugh River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 1076.01 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Westmoreland County, PA
: Record River Stage     26.4 ft
: Major River Stage      16.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   14.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      12.0 ft
: Action River Stage      8.8 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Jan 14           /   5.5 /   4.9 /   4.5
:     Jan 15   /   4.2 /   4.1 /   3.9 /   3.7
:     Jan 16   /   3.7
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 3.7 ft at 745pm EST on Mon, Jan 15
:
.ER SWDP1 20180116 Z DC201801160059/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Jan 16 :         /   3.6 /   3.6 /   3.5
.E2 : Jan 17 : /   3.5 /   3.5 /   3.4 /   3.4
.E3 : Jan 18 : /   3.4 /   3.4 /   3.4 /   3.4
.E4 : Jan 19 : /   3.4 /   3.3 /   3.3 /   3.3
.E5 : Jan 20 : /   3.3 /   3.2 /   3.2 /   3.2
.E6 : Jan 21 : /   3.2
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Jan 13           /  0.39 /  0.16 /  0.10
:     Jan 14   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Jan 15   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.03
:     Jan 16   /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Jan 16           /  0.01 /  0.06 /  0.05
:     Jan 17   /  0.05 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Jan 18   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Jan 13           /   1.4 /  -7.0 /  -9.9
:     Jan 14   / -10.6 / -13.4 / -14.6 / -13.7
:     Jan 15   / -10.1 / -12.9 / -13.6 / -11.4
:     Jan 16   /  -6.3 /  -6.4 /  -4.9 /  -3.6
:     Jan 17   /  -4.8 /  -9.9 / -12.7 / -11.8
:     Jan 18   /  -9.4
:____________________________________________________________________

: Clinton Lk #6 - Allegheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 759.96 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Armstrong County, PA
: Record Pool Stage     26.4 ft
: Major Pool Stage      24.0 ft
: Moderate Pool Stage   22.0 ft
: Flood Pool Stage      21.0 ft
: Action Pool Stage     17.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Jan 14           /  16.4 /  15.7 /  15.3
:     Jan 15   /  15.0 /  14.8 /  14.4 /  14.3
:     Jan 16   /  14.5
:
: Latest Observed Pool Stage 14.5 ft at 700pm EST on Mon, Jan 15
:
.ER CLNP1 20180116 Z DC201801160059/DUE/DQG/DH06/HPIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Jan 16 :         /  14.0 /  13.3 /  13.2
.E2 : Jan 17 : /  13.0 /  13.2 /  13.0 /  12.8
.E3 : Jan 18 : /  13.1 /  13.2 /  13.1 /  13.1
.E4 : Jan 19 : /  13.1 /  13.0 /  13.0 /  12.9
.E5 : Jan 20 : /  12.9 /  12.8 /  12.7 /  12.7
.E6 : Jan 21 : /  12.7
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Jan 13           /  0.20 /  0.16 /  0.06
:     Jan 14   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Jan 15   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Jan 16   /  0.07
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Jan 16           /  0.08 /  0.06 /  0.04
:     Jan 17   /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Jan 18   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Jan 13           /  -1.4 /  -8.2 /  -9.6
:     Jan 14   /  -9.8 / -12.7 / -15.7 / -13.4
:     Jan 15   /  -8.7 / -13.7 / -13.1 /  -9.7
:     Jan 16   /  -4.7 /  -4.7 /  -4.2 /  -4.3
:     Jan 17   /  -5.6 / -11.0 / -13.2 / -11.4
:     Jan 18   /  -7.9
:____________________________________________________________________

: Natrona L&D #4 - Allegheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 736.04 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Allegheny County, PA
: Record Pool Stage     32.1 ft
: Major Pool Stage      26.0 ft
: Moderate Pool Stage   24.0 ft
: Flood Pool Stage      21.0 ft
: Action Pool Stage     17.2 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Gage reading may be affected by ice.
: Forecast stage not representative of actual flow.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Jan 14           /  19.0 /  17.2 /  16.2
:     Jan 15   /  15.6 /  15.3 /  15.0 /  14.6
:     Jan 16   /  14.5
:
: Latest Observed Pool Stage 14.5 ft at 715pm EST on Mon, Jan 15
:
.ER NATP1 20180116 Z DC201801160059/DUE/DQG/DH06/HPIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Jan 16 :         /  14.7 /  15.0 /  14.8
.E2 : Jan 17 : /  14.7 /  14.6 /  14.7 /  14.6
.E3 : Jan 18 : /  14.5 /  14.6 /  14.7 /  14.6
.E4 : Jan 19 : /  14.6 /  14.5 /  14.5 /  14.4
.E5 : Jan 20 : /  14.4 /  14.3 /  14.3 /  14.2
.E6 : Jan 21 : /  14.2
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Jan 13           /  0.20 /  0.17 /  0.06
:     Jan 14   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Jan 15   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Jan 16   /  0.09
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Jan 16           /  0.07 /  0.06 /  0.04
:     Jan 17   /  0.02 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Jan 18   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Jan 13           /  -1.3 /  -7.9 /  -9.4
:     Jan 14   /  -9.6 / -12.5 / -16.0 / -13.3
:     Jan 15   /  -8.8 / -13.3 / -13.1 /  -9.5
:     Jan 16   /  -4.1 /  -4.3 /  -3.8 /  -4.2
:     Jan 17   /  -5.7 / -11.0 / -13.2 / -11.4
:     Jan 18   /  -7.9
:____________________________________________________________________

: C.W. Bill Young L&D - Allegheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 725.52 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Allegheny County, PA
: Record Pool Stage     31.1 ft
: Major Pool Stage      23.0 ft
: Moderate Pool Stage   20.0 ft
: Flood Pool Stage      17.0 ft
: Action Pool Stage     15.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Gage reading may be affected by ice.
: Forecast stage represents estimate of unobstructed flow.
: Gage reading not trusted, ignored.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Jan 14           /  16.0 /  16.3E/  14.4E
:     Jan 15   /  16.6E/  14.0E/  13.6E/  13.3E
:     Jan 16   /  13.6
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
: Latest Observed Pool Stage 13.6 ft at 745pm EST on Mon, Jan 15
:
.ER ACMP1 20180116 Z DC201801160059/DUE/DQG/DH06/HPIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Jan 16 :         /  13.5 /  13.8 /  13.7
.E2 : Jan 17 : /  13.6 /  13.5 /  13.6 /  13.5
.E3 : Jan 18 : /  13.4 /  13.5 /  13.6 /  13.5
.E4 : Jan 19 : /  13.5 /  13.4 /  13.4 /  13.4
.E5 : Jan 20 : /  13.4 /  13.3 /  13.2 /  13.2
.E6 : Jan 21 : /  13.2
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Jan 13           /  0.20 /  0.17 /  0.06
:     Jan 14   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Jan 15   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Jan 16   /  0.10
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Jan 16           /  0.08 /  0.06 /  0.03
:     Jan 17   /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Jan 18   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Jan 13           /  -1.5 /  -7.9 /  -9.3
:     Jan 14   /  -9.4 / -12.3 / -16.4 / -13.2
:     Jan 15   /  -8.8 / -13.1 / -13.4 /  -9.3
:     Jan 16   /  -3.9 /  -3.9 /  -3.6 /  -4.1
:     Jan 17   /  -5.7 / -11.0 / -13.2 / -11.2
:     Jan 18   /  -7.7
:____________________________________________________________________

: Sharpsburg L&D #2 - Allegheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 711.96 ft (Vertical Datum Unknown)
: Allegheny County, PA
: Record Pool Stage     26.9 ft
: Major Pool Stage      23.0 ft
: Moderate Pool Stage   22.0 ft
: Flood Pool Stage      21.0 ft
: Action Pool Stage     16.3 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Jan 14           /  16.1 /  15.4 /  14.8
:     Jan 15   /  14.4 /  14.2 /  13.9 /  13.6E
:     Jan 16   /  13.6E
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
: Latest Observed Pool Stage MISSING
:
.ER SHRP1 20180116 Z DC201801160059/DUE/DQG/DH06/HPIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Jan 16 :         /  13.8 /  14.0 /  13.9
.E2 : Jan 17 : /  13.9 /  13.7 /  13.8 /  13.7
.E3 : Jan 18 : /  13.6 /  13.7 /  13.8 /  13.7
.E4 : Jan 19 : /  13.7 /  13.7 /  13.6 /  13.6
.E5 : Jan 20 : /  13.6 /  13.5 /  13.5 /  13.4
.E6 : Jan 21 : /  13.4
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Jan 13           /  0.20 /  0.18 /  0.06
:     Jan 14   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Jan 15   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Jan 16   /  0.09
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Jan 16           /  0.08 /  0.06 /  0.03
:     Jan 17   /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Jan 18   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Jan 13           /  -1.8 /  -8.0 /  -9.4
:     Jan 14   /  -9.2 / -12.2 / -16.3 / -13.2
:     Jan 15   /  -8.9 / -12.8 / -13.2 /  -9.3
:     Jan 16   /  -3.9 /  -3.5 /  -3.5 /  -4.2
:     Jan 17   /  -5.8 / -11.0 / -13.2 / -11.2
:     Jan 18   /  -7.7
:____________________________________________________________________
$$
:
:...END of MESSAGE...




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