River Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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FGUS51 KTAR 051511
RVFBUF
RIVER STAGE FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON, MA
1109 AM EDT Thu May 05 2016
:
:THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER.
:OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES.
:
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Attica, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.59 ft at May-05 10:00 am
:
.ER ATTN6 20160505 E DC201605051109/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0505:       ::       ::/     3.6/     3.6
.E2 :0506:/     3.6/     3.6/     3.6/     3.6
.E3 :0507:/     3.6/     3.6/     3.6/     3.6
.E4 :0508:/     3.6/     3.5
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY
:Flood Stage 9.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.32 ft at May-05 10:00 am
:
.ER BTVN6 20160505 E DC201605051109/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0505:       ::       ::/     2.3/     2.2
.E2 :0506:/     2.2/     2.2/     2.2/     2.2
.E3 :0507:/     2.2/     2.2/     2.2/     2.1
.E4 :0508:/     2.1/     2.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.08/ 0.01/
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.71 ft at May-05 10:00 am
:
.ER RAPN6 20160505 E DC201605051109/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0505:       ::       ::/     2.6/     2.5
.E2 :0506:/     2.4/     2.4/     2.3/     2.2
.E3 :0507:/     2.2/     2.2/     2.1/     2.1
.E4 :0508:/     2.1/     2.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.03/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.27 ft at May-05 10:15 am
:
.ER GOWN6 20160505 E DC201605051109/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0505:       ::       ::/     2.3/     2.2
.E2 :0506:/     2.2/     2.2/     2.2/     2.2
.E3 :0507:/     2.2/     2.2/     2.2/     2.1
.E4 :0508:/     2.1/     2.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.07/ 0.03/
:*************************************************
:Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY
:Flood Stage 7.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.09 ft at May-05 10:15 am
:
.ER GDVN6 20160505 E DC201605051109/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0505:       ::       ::/     1.0/     1.0
.E2 :0506:/     1.0/     0.9/     0.9/     0.9
.E3 :0507:/     0.9/     0.9/     0.9/     0.9
.E4 :0508:/     0.8/     0.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.06/ 0.01/
:*************************************************
:Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.79 ft at May-05 10:46 am
:
.ER LCSN6 20160505 E DC201605051109/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0505:       ::       ::/     3.7/     3.7
.E2 :0506:/     3.6/     3.6/     3.6/     3.6
.E3 :0507:/     3.6/     3.6/     3.6/     3.5
.E4 :0508:/     3.5/     3.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.05/ 0.01/
:*************************************************
:Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.71 ft at May-05 11:00 am
:
.ER EBZN6 20160505 E DC201605051109/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0505:       ::       ::/     2.7/     2.7
.E2 :0506:/     2.6/     2.6/     2.6/     2.6
.E3 :0507:/     2.6/     2.6/     2.6/     2.6
.E4 :0508:/     2.6/     2.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.05/ 0.01/
:*************************************************
:Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.51 ft at May-05 10:15 am
:
.ER WILN6 20160505 E DC201605051109/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0505:       ::       ::/     2.5/     2.4
.E2 :0506:/     2.4/     2.3/     2.3/     2.3
.E3 :0507:/     2.3/     2.2/     2.2/     2.2
.E4 :0508:/     2.2/     2.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.03/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Wellsville, NY
:Flood Stage 11.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 5.36 ft at May-05 10:45 am
:
.ER WLLN6 20160505 E DC201605051109/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0505:       ::       ::/     5.3/     5.3
.E2 :0506:/     5.3/     5.2/     5.2/     5.2
.E3 :0507:/     5.5/     5.6/     5.4/     5.3
.E4 :0508:/     5.3/     5.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.20/ 0.12/ 0.03/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Portageville, NY
:Flood Stage 19.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 10.22 ft at May-05 10:00 am
:
.ER PRTN6 20160505 E DC201605051109/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0505:       ::       ::/    10.2/    10.1
.E2 :0506:/    10.1/    10.0/    10.0/     9.9
.E3 :0507:/    10.0/    10.0/    10.0/    10.0
.E4 :0508:/    10.0/     9.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.09/ 0.10/ 0.04/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY
:Flood Stage 760.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 603.07 ft at May-05 10:00 am
:
.ER MMDN6 20160505 E DC201605051109/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0505:       ::       ::/   601.6/   599.0
.E2 :0506:/   596.4/   593.8/   591.4/   588.9
.E3 :0507:/   588.6/   588.3/   588.0/   587.7
.E4 :0508:/   587.4/   587.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.07/ 0.10/ 0.03/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Avon, NY
:Flood Stage 33.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 24.40 ft at May-05 10:15 am
:
.ER AVON6 20160505 E DC201605051109/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0505:       ::       ::/    24.2/    23.9
.E2 :0506:/    23.6/    23.2/    22.8/    22.4
.E3 :0507:/    22.0/    21.3/    20.6/    20.2
.E4 :0508:/    19.9/    19.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.08/ 0.10/ 0.02/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.15 ft at May-05 10:00 am
:
.ER GRBN6 20160505 E DC201605051109/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0505:       ::       ::/     3.1/     3.1
.E2 :0506:/     3.0/     2.9/     2.9/     2.8
.E3 :0507:/     2.8/     2.8/     2.8/     2.8
.E4 :0508:/     2.8/     2.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.08/ 0.01/
:*************************************************
:Black Creek - Churchville, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.26 ft at May-05 10:00 am
:
.ER CHRN6 20160505 E DC201605051109/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0505:       ::       ::/     2.2/     2.2
.E2 :0506:/     2.1/     2.1/     2.1/     2.1
.E3 :0507:/     2.0/     2.0/     2.0/     2.0
.E4 :0508:/     2.0/     2.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.06/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Rochester, NY
:Flood Stage 15.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 9.26 ft at May-05 08:00 am
:
.ER RHRN6 20160505 E DC201605051109/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0505:       ::       ::/     9.1/     9.0
.E2 :0506:/     8.8/     8.7/     8.5/     8.3
.E3 :0507:/     8.1/     8.0/     7.7/     7.5
.E4 :0508:/     7.3/     7.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.06/ 0.08/ 0.01/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY
:Flood Stage 4.5 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.48 ft at May-05 10:00 am
:
.ER HNYN6 20160505 E DC201605051109/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0505:       ::       ::/     1.4/     1.4
.E2 :0506:/     1.4/     1.3/     1.3/     1.3
.E3 :0507:/     1.3/     1.3/     1.3/     1.3
.E4 :0508:/     1.2/     1.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.13/ 0.14/ 0.03/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY
:Flood Stage 690.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 688.68 ft at May-05 08:00 am
:
.ER CNDN6 20160505 E DC201605051109/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0505:       ::       ::/   688.7/   688.7
.E2 :0506:/   688.7/   688.7/   688.7/   688.7
.E3 :0507:/   688.7/   688.7/   688.7/   688.7
.E4 :0508:/   688.7/   688.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.17/ 0.17/ 0.04/
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY
:Flood Stage 7.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.47 ft at May-05 10:30 am
:
.ER CPNN6 20160505 E DC201605051109/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0505:       ::       ::/     3.5/     3.5
.E2 :0506:/     3.5/     3.5/     3.4/     3.4
.E3 :0507:/     3.5/     3.5/     3.5/     3.5
.E4 :0508:/     3.5/     3.5
:*************************************************
:Black River - Boonville, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 5.09 ft at May-05 10:00 am
:
.ER BOON6 20160505 E DC201605051109/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0505:       ::       ::/     5.1/     5.0
.E2 :0506:/     5.0/     4.9/     4.9/     4.8
.E3 :0507:/     4.8/     4.8/     4.7/     4.7
.E4 :0508:/     4.7/     4.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.09/ 0.04/
:*************************************************
:Moose River - McKeever, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.44 ft at May-05 10:30 am
:
.ER MCKN6 20160505 E DC201605051109/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0505:       ::       ::/     3.4/     3.4
.E2 :0506:/     3.3/     3.3/     3.2/     3.2
.E3 :0507:/     3.2/     3.2/     3.2/     3.2
.E4 :0508:/     3.1/     3.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.09/ 0.05/
:*************************************************
:Black River - Watertown, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.82 ft at May-05 10:30 am
:
.ER ARTN6 20160505 E DC201605051109/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0505:       ::       ::/     4.8/     4.7
.E2 :0506:/     4.7/     4.6/     4.5/     4.5
.E3 :0507:/     4.4/     4.3/     4.3/     4.3
.E4 :0508:/     4.2/     4.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.08/ 0.05/
$$
:NERFC
:...END OF MESSAGE



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