River Forecast
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FGUS51 KTIR 040132
RVFCMU
River Forecast
NWS Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, OH
8:31pm EST Tuesday, March 3, 2015

This is a NWS guidance product from the Ohio River Forecast Center.
Public forecasts and warnings are issued only by local NWS offices.
Statistical uncertainties can be viewed from our ensemble pages at:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/mmefs


: Baxter - Cumberland River (Poor Fork) - JKL
: Zero Datum 1147.26 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Harlan County, KY
: Record River Stage     34.2 ft
: Major River Stage      20.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   18.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      16.0 ft
: Action River Stage     13.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood river stage around 1AM EST on Thu, Mar 5
.AR BXTK2 20150305 Z DC201503040131/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFFX :crest:   16.0
: Crest near   16.0 ft around 1AM EST on Thu, Mar 5
: Fall below flood level around 1AM EST on Thu, Mar 5
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /   2.9E/   3.2E/   3.7E
:     Mar 03   /   4.0E/   4.2E/   4.1E/   4.0E
:     Mar 04   /   3.8E
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
: Latest Observed River Stage MISSING
:
.ER BXTK2 20150304 Z DC201503040131/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 04 :         /   5.4 /  10.6 /  14.1
.E2 : Mar 05 : /  15.3 /  16.0 /  13.0 /   9.8
.E3 : Mar 06 : /   6.7 /   5.1 /   4.8 /   4.6
.E4 : Mar 07 : /   4.4 /   4.2 /   4.1 /   4.0
.E5 : Mar 08 : /   3.9 /   3.8 /   3.7 /   3.6
.E6 : Mar 09 : /   3.5
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01           /  0.00 /  0.01 /  0.00
:     Mar 02   /  0.05 /  0.01 /  0.25 /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 04   /  0.02
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 04           /  0.14 /  0.37 /  0.17
:     Mar 05   /  0.24 /  0.39 /  0.51 /  0.18
:     Mar 06   /  0.02
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01           /   0.5 /   2.2 /   4.8
:     Mar 02   /   5.8 /   3.0 /   1.8 /  -0.2
:     Mar 03   /   4.0 /  -0.5 /   2.5 /   4.3
:     Mar 04   /   7.8 /   9.6 /  11.2 /  11.0
:     Mar 05   /   7.8 /   3.3 /  -1.8 /  -5.2
:     Mar 06   /  -6.7
:____________________________________________________________________

: Pineville - Cumberland River - JKL
: Zero Datum 970.0 ft (Sandy Hook)
: Bell County, KY
: Record River Stage   1021.8 ft
: Major River Stage    1019.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage 1010.0 ft
: Flood River Stage    1002.0 ft
: Action River Stage    995.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood river stage around 6AM EST on Thu, Mar 5
.AR PVLK2 20150305 Z DC201503040131/DUE/DQG/DH12/HGIFFX :crest: 1002.2
: Crest near 1002.2 ft around 7AM EST on Thu, Mar 5
: Fall below flood level around 8AM EST on Thu, Mar 5
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           / 979.2 / 980.3 / 981.9
:     Mar 03   / 982.8E/ 983.9E/ 983.9E/ 983.5
:     Mar 04   / 983.5
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 983.6 ft at 730pm EST on Tue, Mar 3
:
.ER PVLK2 20150304 Z DC201503040131/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 04 :         / 984.5 / 986.6 / 988.9
.E2 : Mar 05 : / 995.4 /1000.8 /1002.2 /1000.3
.E3 : Mar 06 : / 996.0 / 992.4 / 988.9 / 985.8
.E4 : Mar 07 : / 984.3 / 983.2 / 982.5 / 982.0
.E5 : Mar 08 : / 981.7 / 981.3 / 981.0 / 980.8
.E6 : Mar 09 : / 980.6
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 02   /  0.09 /  0.04 /  0.19 /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 04   /  0.05
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 04           /  0.13 /  0.27 /  0.15
:     Mar 05   /  0.25 /  0.38 /  0.52 /  0.16
:     Mar 06   /  0.02
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01           /   1.5 /   2.6 /   5.4
:     Mar 02   /   6.5 /   3.3 /   2.4 /   1.3
:     Mar 03   /   5.5 /   0.6 /   3.1 /   5.5
:     Mar 04   /   8.6 /  10.3 /  11.8 /  11.6
:     Mar 05   /   8.4 /   3.7 /  -1.2 /  -4.3
:     Mar 06   /  -5.6
:____________________________________________________________________

: Barbourville - Cumberland River - JKL
: Zero Datum 942.97 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Knox County, KY
: Record River Stage     45.9 ft
: Major River Stage      38.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   33.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      27.0 ft
: Action River Stage     21.5 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood river stage around 11PM EST on Wed, Mar 4
.AR BBVK2 20150305 Z DC201503040131/DUE/DQG/DH12/HGIFFX :crest:   33.0
: Crest near   33.0 ft around 7AM EST on Thu, Mar 5
: Fall below flood level around 1AM EST on Fri, Mar 6
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /   4.8 /   6.1 /   8.4
:     Mar 03   /  11.1 /  13.5 /  14.9 /  15.1
:     Mar 04   /  14.6
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 14.6 ft at 730pm EST on Tue, Mar 3
:
.ER BBVK2 20150304 Z DC201503040131/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 04 :         /  14.6 /  17.5 /  21.2
.E2 : Mar 05 : /  23.8 /  28.6 /  33.0 /  33.0
.E3 : Mar 06 : /  30.5 /  27.2 /  23.8 /  20.2
.E4 : Mar 07 : /  16.4 /  14.4 /  12.7 /  11.4
.E5 : Mar 08 : /  10.5 /   9.7 /   9.1 /   8.5
.E6 : Mar 09 : /   7.9
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 02   /  0.07 /  0.03 /  0.26 /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 04   /  0.01
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 04           /  0.12 /  0.26 /  0.19
:     Mar 05   /  0.26 /  0.42 /  0.55 /  0.15
:     Mar 06   /  0.02
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01           /   1.9 /   2.1 /   5.5
:     Mar 02   /   7.9 /   5.0 /   3.1 /   1.9
:     Mar 03   /   7.0 /   1.0 /   1.9 /   7.6
:     Mar 04   /  13.2 /  11.2 /  12.0 /  10.8
:     Mar 05   /   7.2 /   2.8 /  -1.8 /  -4.8
:     Mar 06   /  -5.7
:____________________________________________________________________

: Williamsburg - Cumberland River - JKL
: Zero Datum 891.52 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Whitley County, KY
: Record River Stage     35.0 ft
: Major River Stage      32.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   27.5 ft
: Flood River Stage      21.0 ft
: Action River Stage     17.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood river stage around 8AM EST on Thu, Mar 5
.AR WLBK2 20150306 Z DC201503040131/DUE/DQG/DH12/HGIFFX :crest:   26.4
: Crest near   26.4 ft around 7AM EST on Fri, Mar 6
: Fall below flood level around 4PM EST on Sat, Mar 7
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /   7.4 /   8.1 /   8.9
:     Mar 03   /  10.5 /  11.8 /  13.0 /  13.8
:     Mar 04   /  14.2
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 14.2 ft at 800pm EST on Tue, Mar 3
:
.ER WLBK2 20150304 Z DC201503040131/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 04 :         /  14.8 /  15.6 /  16.4
.E2 : Mar 05 : /  17.2 /  18.4 /  20.5 /  22.6
.E3 : Mar 06 : /  24.8 /  26.2 /  26.4 /  26.3
.E4 : Mar 07 : /  25.6 /  24.9 /  23.8 /  22.2
.E5 : Mar 08 : /  20.2 /  18.0 /  15.8 /  13.7
.E6 : Mar 09 : /  12.1
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.02
:     Mar 02   /  0.07 /  0.04 /  0.19 /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 04   /  0.02
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 04           /  0.11 /  0.23 /  0.19
:     Mar 05   /  0.27 /  0.42 /  0.54 /  0.13
:     Mar 06   /  0.02
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01           /   1.1 /   2.0 /   5.3
:     Mar 02   /   7.1 /   5.1 /   2.9 /   1.8
:     Mar 03   /   6.5 /   0.6 /   2.1 /   8.1
:     Mar 04   /  13.8 /  11.7 /  12.3 /  11.0
:     Mar 05   /   7.3 /   2.8 /  -1.8 /  -4.6
:     Mar 06   /  -5.3
:____________________________________________________________________

: Celina - Cumberland River - OHX
: Zero Datum 489.0 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Clay County, TN
: Record River Stage     59.2 ft
: Major River Stage      50.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   45.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      40.0 ft
: Action River Stage     35.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /  17.0 /  16.6 /  16.6
:     Mar 03   /  15.4 /  14.9 /  14.4 /  14.9
:     Mar 04   /  14.1
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 14.1 ft at 730pm EST on Tue, Mar 3
:
.ER CLAT1 20150304 Z DC201503040131/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 04 :         /  14.0 /  14.0 /  14.5
.E2 : Mar 05 : /  15.1 /  15.5 /  15.9 /  16.3
.E3 : Mar 06 : /  16.4 /  16.5 /  16.5 /  16.4
.E4 : Mar 07 : /  16.2 /  15.8 /  15.2 /  14.9
.E5 : Mar 08 : /  14.8 /  15.2 /  15.8 /  16.2
.E6 : Mar 09 : /  16.7
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.10
:     Mar 02   /  0.03 /  0.12 /  0.13 /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.01
:     Mar 04   /  0.06
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 04           /  0.14 /  0.31 /  0.36
:     Mar 05   /  0.38 /  0.55 /  0.42 /  0.07
:     Mar 06   /  0.01
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01           /   2.4 /   2.9 /   5.4
:     Mar 02   /   8.3 /   6.0 /   1.1 /   1.5
:     Mar 03   /   6.0 /   1.5 /   2.9 /   9.4
:     Mar 04   /  16.2 /  15.1 /  13.3 /   7.1
:     Mar 05   /   3.5 /  -0.5 /  -4.2 /  -5.8
:     Mar 06   /  -4.9
:____________________________________________________________________

$$
: Noel
:...END of MESSAGE...




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