River Forecast
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FGUS51 KTIR 171529
RVFOHL
River Forecast
NWS Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, OH
10:28am EST Saturday, February 17, 2018

This is a NWS guidance product from the Ohio River Forecast Center.
Public forecasts and warnings are issued only by local NWS offices.
Statistical uncertainties can be viewed from our ensemble pages at:
http://weather.gov/erh/mmefs


: Markland Dam - Ohio River - ILN
: Zero Datum 408.0 ft (Ohio River Datum)
: Gallatin County, KY
: Record Tailwater Stage     76.1 ft
: Major Tailwater Stage      74.0 ft
: Moderate Tailwater Stage   62.0 ft
: Flood Tailwater Stage      51.0 ft
: Action Tailwater Stage     49.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 15                           /  43.1
:     Feb 16   /  43.1 /  43.2 /  43.6 /  44.5
:     Feb 17   /  45.0 /  45.2 /  45.3E
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
: Latest Observed Tailwater Stage MISSING
:
.ER MKLK2 20180217 Z DC201802171528/DUE/DQG/DH18/HTIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 17 :                         /  45.2
.E2 : Feb 18 : /  45.0 /  45.1 /  44.9 /  44.8
.E3 : Feb 19 : /  44.8 /  45.0 /  45.3 /  45.7
.E4 : Feb 20 : /  46.2 /  46.8 /  47.3 /  47.8
.E5 : Feb 21 : /  48.3 /  48.8 /  49.3 /  49.7
.E6 : Feb 22 : /  50.1 /  50.4 /  50.6
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 14                           /  0.10
:     Feb 15   /  0.33 /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 16   /  0.03 /  0.46 /  0.61 /  0.15
:     Feb 17   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 17                           /  0.04
:     Feb 18   /  0.09 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 19   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.07
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 14                           /   8.0
:     Feb 15   /  12.8 /  14.6 /  14.7 /  16.2
:     Feb 16   /  18.8 /  16.8 /  13.0 /   6.2
:     Feb 17   /   3.7 /   1.5 /  -0.6 /   1.7
:     Feb 18   /   4.3 /   3.5 /   1.1 /   2.7
:     Feb 19   /   7.9 /   6.3 /   9.0
:____________________________________________________________________

: McAlpine Upper - Ohio River - LMK
: Zero Datum 407.18 ft (NAVD 88)
: Jefferson County, KY
: Record Pool Stage     52.2 ft
: Major Pool Stage      38.0 ft
: Moderate Pool Stage   30.0 ft
: Flood Pool Stage      23.0 ft
: Action Pool Stage     21.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood pool stage around 1AM EST on Wed, Feb 21
.AR MLUK2 20180219 Z DC201802171528/DUE/DQG/DH12/HPIFFX :crest:   22.0
: Crest near   22.0 ft around 7AM EST on Mon, Feb 19
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 15                           /  18.4
:     Feb 16   /  18.6 /  18.6 /  18.7 /  19.1
:     Feb 17   /  19.5 /  20.1 /  20.5
:
: Latest Observed Pool Stage 20.7 ft at 1000am EST on Sat, Feb 17
:
.ER MLUK2 20180217 Z DC201802171528/DUE/DQG/DH18/HPIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 17 :                         /  20.9
.E2 : Feb 18 : /  21.3 /  21.6 /  21.8 /  21.9
.E3 : Feb 19 : /  21.9 /  22.0 /  22.0 /  22.0
.E4 : Feb 20 : /  22.0 /  22.1 /  22.2 /  22.4
.E5 : Feb 21 : /  22.7 /  23.0 /  23.4 /  23.7
.E6 : Feb 22 : /  24.1 /  24.4 /  24.8
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 14                           /  0.23
:     Feb 15   /  0.20 /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 16   /  0.01 /  0.07 /  0.77 /  0.43
:     Feb 17   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 17                           /  0.12
:     Feb 18   /  0.11 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 19   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.09
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 14                           /   9.5
:     Feb 15   /  14.5 /  15.3 /  15.6 /  18.1
:     Feb 16   /  20.3 /  19.7 /  14.7 /   7.2
:     Feb 17   /   4.5 /   2.4 /   0.3 /   2.5
:     Feb 18   /   4.7 /   4.2 /   1.6 /   3.7
:     Feb 19   /   9.3 /   8.1 /  10.9
:____________________________________________________________________

: McAlpine Lower - Ohio River - LMK
: Zero Datum 373.18 ft (NGVD29)
: Jefferson County, KY
: Record Tailwater Stage     85.4 ft
: Major Tailwater Stage      73.0 ft
: Moderate Tailwater Stage   65.0 ft
: Flood Tailwater Stage      55.0 ft
: Action Tailwater Stage     53.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood tailwater stage around 6PM EST on Wed, Feb 21
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 15                           /  47.0
:     Feb 16   /  47.4 /  47.7 /  48.1 /  48.9
:     Feb 17   /  49.7 /  50.4 /  50.9
:
: Latest Observed Tailwater Stage 51.2 ft at 1000am EST on Sat, Feb 17
:
.ER MLPK2 20180217 Z DC201802171528/DUE/DQG/DH18/HTIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 17 :                         /  51.4
.E2 : Feb 18 : /  51.9 /  52.3 /  52.5 /  52.6
.E3 : Feb 19 : /  52.7 /  52.7 /  52.7 /  52.6
.E4 : Feb 20 : /  52.6 /  52.7 /  52.9 /  53.1
.E5 : Feb 21 : /  53.4 /  53.8 /  54.2 /  54.6
.E6 : Feb 22 : /  55.0 /  55.5 /  55.9
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 14                           /  0.23
:     Feb 15   /  0.20 /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 16   /  0.01 /  0.07 /  0.77 /  0.43
:     Feb 17   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 17                           /  0.12
:     Feb 18   /  0.11 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 19   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.09
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 14                           /   9.5
:     Feb 15   /  14.5 /  15.3 /  15.6 /  18.1
:     Feb 16   /  20.3 /  19.7 /  14.7 /   7.2
:     Feb 17   /   4.5 /   2.4 /   0.3 /   2.5
:     Feb 18   /   4.7 /   4.2 /   1.6 /   3.7
:     Feb 19   /   9.3 /   8.1 /  10.9
:____________________________________________________________________

: Cannelton Dam - Ohio River - LMK
: Zero Datum 348.0 ft (Ohio River)
: Perry County, IN
: Record Tailwater Stage     60.8 ft
: Major Tailwater Stage      50.0 ft
: Moderate Tailwater Stage   46.0 ft
: Flood Tailwater Stage      42.0 ft
: Action Tailwater Stage     40.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood tailwater stage around 7AM EST on Thu, Feb 22
.AR CNNI3 20180220 Z DC201802171528/DUE/DQG/DH00/HTIFFX :crest:   41.8
: Crest near   41.8 ft around 7PM EST on Mon, Feb 19
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 15                           /  36.0
:     Feb 16   /  36.5 /  37.0 /  37.6 /  38.4
:     Feb 17   /  38.9 /  39.4 /  39.8
:
: Latest Observed Tailwater Stage 40.0 ft at 1000am EST on Sat, Feb 17
:
.ER CNNI3 20180217 Z DC201802171528/DUE/DQG/DH18/HTIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 17 :                         /  40.3
.E2 : Feb 18 : /  40.8 /  41.1 /  41.3 /  41.4
.E3 : Feb 19 : /  41.5 /  41.6 /  41.7 /  41.7
.E4 : Feb 20 : /  41.7 /  41.7 /  41.7 /  41.7
.E5 : Feb 21 : /  41.7 /  41.7 /  41.8 /  41.8
.E6 : Feb 22 : /  41.9 /  41.9 /  42.0
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 14                           /  0.19
:     Feb 15   /  0.12 /  0.01 /  0.02 /  0.00
:     Feb 16   /  0.02 /  0.01 /  0.68 /  0.43
:     Feb 17   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 17                           /  0.21
:     Feb 18   /  0.09 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 19   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.12
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 14                           /  11.3
:     Feb 15   /  15.5 /  15.4 /  16.7 /  18.8
:     Feb 16   /  21.0 /  20.4 /  15.6 /   7.0
:     Feb 17   /   4.9 /   3.1 /   1.3 /   2.5
:     Feb 18   /   4.9 /   4.2 /   1.7 /   4.0
:     Feb 19   /   9.7 /   8.7 /  11.9
:____________________________________________________________________

: Tell City - Ohio River - LMK
: Zero Datum 347.62 ft (NGVD 29)
: Perry County, IN
: Record River Stage     57.0 ft
: Major River Stage      50.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   44.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      38.0 ft
: Action River Stage     36.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 15                           /  35.4
:     Feb 16   /  36.0E/  36.5E/  37.0 /  37.8E
:     Feb 17   /  38.5E/  38.9E/  39.0
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 39.0 ft at 700am EST on Sat, Feb 17
:
.ER TELI3 20180217 Z DC201802171528/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 17 :                         /  39.4
.E2 : Feb 18 : /  39.9 /  40.3 /  40.7 /  41.0
.E3 : Feb 19 : /  41.2 /  41.3 /  41.4 /  41.4
.E4 : Feb 20 : /  41.5 /  41.5 /  41.5 /  41.5
.E5 : Feb 21 : /  41.5 /  41.5 /  41.6 /  41.6
.E6 : Feb 22 : /  41.7 /  41.8 /  41.9
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 14                           /  0.19
:     Feb 15   /  0.12 /  0.01 /  0.02 /  0.00
:     Feb 16   /  0.02 /  0.01 /  0.68 /  0.43
:     Feb 17   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 17                           /  0.21
:     Feb 18   /  0.09 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 19   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.12
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 14                           /  11.3
:     Feb 15   /  15.5 /  15.4 /  16.7 /  18.8
:     Feb 16   /  21.0 /  20.4 /  15.6 /   7.0
:     Feb 17   /   4.9 /   3.1 /   1.3 /   2.5
:     Feb 18   /   4.9 /   4.2 /   1.7 /   4.0
:     Feb 19   /   9.7 /   8.7 /  11.9
:____________________________________________________________________
$$
: JEH
:...END of MESSAGE...




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