River Forecast
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FGUS51 KTIR 031701
RVFOHS
River Forecast
NWS Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, OH
12:01pm EST Tuesday, March 3, 2015

This is a NWS guidance product from the Ohio River Forecast Center.
Public forecasts and warnings are issued only by local NWS offices.
Statistical uncertainties can be viewed from our ensemble pages at:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/mmefs


: Owensboro - Ohio River - PAH
: Zero Datum 339.1 ft (Vertical Datum Unknown)
: Daviess County, KY
: Record River Stage     54.8 ft
: Major River Stage      49.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   45.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      40.0 ft
: Action River Stage     35.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
.AR OWBK2 20150309 Z DC201503031701/DUE/DQG/DH12/HGIFFX :crest:   39.9
: Crest near   39.9 ft around 8AM EDT on Mon, Mar 9
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01                           /  19.7E
:     Mar 02   /  19.7E/  19.7E/  19.7E/  19.7E
:     Mar 03   /  19.6E/  19.6E/  19.6
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 19.6 ft at 744am EST on Tue, Mar 3
:
.ER OWBK2 20150303 Z DC201503031701/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 03 :                         /  19.8
.E2 : Mar 04 : /  19.9 /  20.1 /  20.6 /  22.1
.E3 : Mar 05 : /  23.9 /  25.6 /  27.4 /  29.2
.E4 : Mar 06 : /  31.2 /  33.3 /  34.8 /  36.0
.E5 : Mar 07 : /  36.8 /  37.5 /  38.2 /  38.7
.E6 : Mar 08 : /  39.1 /  39.3 /  39.5 /  39.7
.E7 : Mar 09 : /  39.8 /  39.8 /  39.9 /  39.8
.E8 : Mar 10 : /  39.7 /  39.6 /  39.4 /  39.2
.E9 : Mar 11 : /  39.0 /  38.7 /  38.3 /  37.8
.E10: Mar 12 : /  37.3 /  36.8 /  36.4 /  36.0
.E11: Mar 13 : /  35.5 /  34.9 /  34.2
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 28                           /  0.00
:     Mar 01   /  0.00 /  0.02 /  0.09 /  0.10
:     Mar 02   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03                           /  0.09
:     Mar 04   /  0.24 /  0.40 /  0.45 /  0.26
:     Mar 05   /  0.25 /  0.19 /  0.03
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 28                           /  -4.3
:     Mar 01   /   1.7 /   0.7 /  -0.1 /   1.4
:     Mar 02   /   3.0 /   0.6 /  -3.3 /  -1.4
:     Mar 03   /   3.8 /   0.1 /   0.8 /   5.2
:     Mar 04   /  10.7 /   9.1 /   3.5 /   0.1
:     Mar 05   /  -2.2 /  -6.1 /  -9.0
:____________________________________________________________________

: Newburgh Lock & Dam - Ohio River - PAH
: Zero Datum 330.0 ft (Ohio River Datum)
: Warrick County, IN
: Record Tailwater Stage     56.6 ft
: Major Tailwater Stage      56.0 ft
: Moderate Tailwater Stage   48.0 ft
: Flood Tailwater Stage      38.0 ft
: Action Tailwater Stage     35.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood tailwater stage around 2PM EST on Fri, Mar 6
.AR NBGI3 20150309 Z DC201503031701/DUE/DQG/DH18/HTIFFX :crest:   43.3
: Crest near   43.3 ft around 2PM EDT on Mon, Mar 9
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01                           /  19.2
:     Mar 02   /  18.7 /  18.5 /  18.5 /  18.5
:     Mar 03   /  18.9 /  19.4 /  19.5
:
: Latest Observed Tailwater Stage 19.4 ft at 1100am EST on Tue, Mar 3
:
.ER NBGI3 20150303 Z DC201503031701/DUE/DQG/DH18/HTIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 03 :                         /  19.5
.E2 : Mar 04 : /  19.6 /  20.4 /  21.4 /  23.0
.E3 : Mar 05 : /  25.2 /  27.6 /  29.3 /  30.9
.E4 : Mar 06 : /  32.7 /  34.8 /  36.5 /  37.9
.E5 : Mar 07 : /  39.0 /  40.0 /  40.8 /  41.5
.E6 : Mar 08 : /  42.0 /  42.4 /  42.7 /  42.9
.E7 : Mar 09 : /  43.1 /  43.2 /  43.3 /  43.3
.E8 : Mar 10 : /  43.3 /  43.2 /  43.1 /  43.0
.E9 : Mar 11 : /  42.9 /  42.7 /  42.4 /  42.0
.E10: Mar 12 : /  41.6 /  41.3 /  40.9 /  40.7
.E11: Mar 13 : /  40.3 /  39.9 /  39.4
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 28                           /  0.00
:     Mar 01   /  0.00 /  0.03 /  0.08 /  0.06
:     Mar 02   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03                           /  0.09
:     Mar 04   /  0.24 /  0.35 /  0.37 /  0.21
:     Mar 05   /  0.22 /  0.15 /  0.02
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 28                           /  -4.1
:     Mar 01   /   1.4 /   0.8 /   0.0 /   1.1
:     Mar 02   /   1.9 /   0.5 /  -3.6 /  -1.9
:     Mar 03   /   3.1 /  -0.0 /   1.0 /   4.7
:     Mar 04   /   9.9 /   8.0 /   2.6 /  -0.3
:     Mar 05   /  -2.8 /  -6.4 /  -9.3
:____________________________________________________________________

: Evansville - Ohio River - PAH
: Zero Datum 329.18 ft (Ohio River Datum)
: Vanderburgh County, IN
: Record River Stage     53.8 ft
: Major River Stage      52.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   48.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      42.0 ft
: Action River Stage     24.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
.AR EVVI3 20150310 Z DC201503031701/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFFX :crest:   40.6
: Crest near   40.6 ft around 2AM EDT on Tue, Mar 10
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01                           /  18.2
:     Mar 02   /  17.8 /  17.7 /  17.6 /  17.6
:     Mar 03   /  17.9 /  18.1 /  18.5
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 18.4 ft at 1100am EST on Tue, Mar 3
:
.ER EVVI3 20150303 Z DC201503031701/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 03 :                         /  18.5
.E2 : Mar 04 : /  18.6 /  19.1 /  19.9 /  21.0
.E3 : Mar 05 : /  22.7 /  24.5 /  25.9 /  27.3
.E4 : Mar 06 : /  28.9 /  30.7 /  32.5 /  34.0
.E5 : Mar 07 : /  35.2 /  36.3 /  37.2 /  37.9
.E6 : Mar 08 : /  38.6 /  39.0 /  39.4 /  39.7
.E7 : Mar 09 : /  40.0 /  40.2 /  40.4 /  40.5
.E8 : Mar 10 : /  40.6 /  40.6 /  40.6 /  40.6
.E9 : Mar 11 : /  40.6 /  40.5 /  40.3 /  40.0
.E10: Mar 12 : /  39.7 /  39.4 /  39.1 /  38.9
.E11: Mar 13 : /  38.5 /  38.2 /  37.8
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 28                           /  0.00
:     Mar 01   /  0.00 /  0.03 /  0.07 /  0.05
:     Mar 02   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03                           /  0.09
:     Mar 04   /  0.20 /  0.34 /  0.38 /  0.22
:     Mar 05   /  0.23 /  0.15 /  0.02
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 28                           /  -4.1
:     Mar 01   /   1.1 /   0.8 /   0.1 /   1.0
:     Mar 02   /   2.0 /   0.4 /  -2.2 /  -1.3
:     Mar 03   /   2.9 /   0.9 /   1.6 /   5.1
:     Mar 04   /   9.9 /   7.8 /   2.6 /  -0.4
:     Mar 05   /  -3.1 /  -6.4 /  -9.1
:____________________________________________________________________

: Mount Vernon - Ohio River - PAH
: Zero Datum 318.92 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Posey County, IN
: Record River Stage     59.2 ft
: Major River Stage      52.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   45.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      35.0 ft
: Action River Stage     28.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood river stage around 11PM EST on Fri, Mar 6
.AR MTVI3 20150311 Z DC201503031701/DUE/DQG/DH12/HGIFFX :crest:   40.9
: Crest near   40.9 ft around 8AM EDT on Wed, Mar 11
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01                           /  25.2E
:     Mar 02   /  24.9E/  24.7E/  24.6 /  24.7E
:     Mar 03   /  24.8E/  24.9E/  25.0
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 25.0 ft at 700am EST on Tue, Mar 3
:
.ER MTVI3 20150303 Z DC201503031701/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 03 :                         /  25.0
.E2 : Mar 04 : /  25.1 /  25.2 /  25.4 /  25.7
.E3 : Mar 05 : /  26.3 /  27.6 /  28.3 /  29.0
.E4 : Mar 06 : /  29.9 /  30.9 /  32.1 /  33.3
.E5 : Mar 07 : /  34.3 /  35.3 /  36.2 /  37.0
.E6 : Mar 08 : /  37.8 /  38.3 /  38.7 /  39.1
.E7 : Mar 09 : /  39.4 /  39.6 /  39.8 /  40.0
.E8 : Mar 10 : /  40.2 /  40.4 /  40.6 /  40.7
.E9 : Mar 11 : /  40.8 /  40.8 /  40.9 /  40.8
.E10: Mar 12 : /  40.8 /  40.6 /  40.5 /  40.2
.E11: Mar 13 : /  39.9 /  39.6 /  39.4
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 28                           /  0.00
:     Mar 01   /  0.00 /  0.03 /  0.07 /  0.04
:     Mar 02   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03                           /  0.08
:     Mar 04   /  0.18 /  0.34 /  0.37 /  0.21
:     Mar 05   /  0.23 /  0.15 /  0.02
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 28                           /  -4.2
:     Mar 01   /   0.8 /   0.5 /   0.0 /   0.9
:     Mar 02   /   2.1 /   0.2 /  -2.5 /  -1.3
:     Mar 03   /   3.0 /   0.2 /   1.5 /   4.9
:     Mar 04   /   9.6 /   7.7 /   2.6 /  -0.6
:     Mar 05   /  -3.3 /  -6.5 /  -9.2
:____________________________________________________________________

: J T Myers Dam - Ohio River - PAH
: Zero Datum 311.97 ft (Ohio River Datum)
: Union County, KY
: Record Tailwater Stage     64.4 ft
: Major Tailwater Stage      60.0 ft
: Moderate Tailwater Stage   50.0 ft
: Flood Tailwater Stage      37.0 ft
: Action Tailwater Stage     33.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood tailwater stage around 5AM EDT on Sun, Mar 8
.AR UNWK2 20150311 Z DC201503031701/DUE/DQG/DH12/HTIFFX :crest:   39.9
: Crest near   39.9 ft around 8AM EDT on Wed, Mar 11
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01                           /  19.5
:     Mar 02   /  19.0 /  18.8 /  18.5 /  18.3
:     Mar 03   /  18.3 /  18.7 /  18.9
:
: Latest Observed Tailwater Stage 19.0 ft at 1100am EST on Tue, Mar 3
:
.ER UNWK2 20150303 Z DC201503031701/DUE/DQG/DH18/HTIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 03 :                         /  19.1
.E2 : Mar 04 : /  19.3 /  19.7 /  20.2 /  21.0
.E3 : Mar 05 : /  22.1 /  23.8 /  24.9 /  26.5
.E4 : Mar 06 : /  27.8 /  29.2 /  30.6 /  31.8
.E5 : Mar 07 : /  32.8 /  33.7 /  34.6 /  35.4
.E6 : Mar 08 : /  36.1 /  36.8 /  37.3 /  37.7
.E7 : Mar 09 : /  38.1 /  38.4 /  38.6 /  38.9
.E8 : Mar 10 : /  39.1 /  39.3 /  39.5 /  39.6
.E9 : Mar 11 : /  39.8 /  39.9 /  39.9 /  39.9
.E10: Mar 12 : /  39.9 /  39.8 /  39.6 /  39.3
.E11: Mar 13 : /  38.8 /  38.4 /  37.9
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 28                           /  0.00
:     Mar 01   /  0.00 /  0.01 /  0.07 /  0.06
:     Mar 02   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03                           /  0.07
:     Mar 04   /  0.15 /  0.35 /  0.40 /  0.24
:     Mar 05   /  0.25 /  0.16 /  0.02
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 28                           /  -4.1
:     Mar 01   /   1.0 /   0.6 /   0.1 /   1.1
:     Mar 02   /   2.7 /   0.2 /  -3.1 /  -1.5
:     Mar 03   /   3.3 /   0.3 /   1.7 /   5.3
:     Mar 04   /  10.0 /   8.3 /   2.8 /  -0.6
:     Mar 05   /  -3.3 /  -6.5 /  -9.1
:____________________________________________________________________

: Shawneetown - Ohio River - PAH
: Zero Datum 309.07 ft (Ohio River)
: Gallatin County, IL
: Record River Stage     65.6 ft
: Major River Stage      53.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   43.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      33.0 ft
: Action River Stage     30.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood river stage around 10AM EST on Sat, Mar 7
.AR SHNI2 20150312 Z DC201503031701/DUE/DQG/DH00/HGIFFX :crest:   38.4
: Crest near   38.4 ft around 8PM EDT on Wed, Mar 11
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01                           /  19.0
:     Mar 02   /  18.7 /  18.3 /  18.3 /  17.9
:     Mar 03   /  18.0 /  18.3 /  18.4
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 18.4 ft at 1130am EST on Tue, Mar 3
:
.ER SHNI2 20150303 Z DC201503031701/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 03 :                         /  18.6
.E2 : Mar 04 : /  18.9 /  19.5 /  20.0 /  20.7
.E3 : Mar 05 : /  21.5 /  22.3 /  23.8 /  25.2
.E4 : Mar 06 : /  26.4 /  27.6 /  28.9 /  29.9
.E5 : Mar 07 : /  30.9 /  31.8 /  32.6 /  33.4
.E6 : Mar 08 : /  34.1 /  34.7 /  35.3 /  35.8
.E7 : Mar 09 : /  36.1 /  36.5 /  36.8 /  37.1
.E8 : Mar 10 : /  37.3 /  37.6 /  37.8 /  37.9
.E9 : Mar 11 : /  38.1 /  38.2 /  38.3 /  38.4
.E10: Mar 12 : /  38.4 /  38.3 /  38.2 /  38.0
.E11: Mar 13 : /  37.7 /  37.2 /  36.7
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 28                           /  0.00
:     Mar 01   /  0.00 /  0.06 /  0.08 /  0.03
:     Mar 02   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03                           /  0.08
:     Mar 04   /  0.15 /  0.27 /  0.29 /  0.17
:     Mar 05   /  0.19 /  0.11 /  0.01
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 28                           /  -4.5
:     Mar 01   /   0.1 /  -0.5 /  -0.2 /   0.5
:     Mar 02   /   1.2 /  -0.5 /  -3.8 /  -2.5
:     Mar 03   /   1.6 /  -0.5 /   1.2 /   4.5
:     Mar 04   /   8.8 /   7.0 /   2.0 /  -1.2
:     Mar 05   /  -3.9 /  -6.6 /  -9.2
:____________________________________________________________________

: Golconda - Ohio River - PAH
: Zero Datum 294.6 ft (Ohio River Datum)
: Pope County, IL
: Record River Stage     62.6 ft
: Major River Stage      55.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   50.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      40.0 ft
: Action River Stage     36.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
.AR GOLI2 20150312 Z DC201503031701/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFFX :crest:   38.3
: Crest near   38.3 ft around 2AM EDT on Thu, Mar 12
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01                           /  30.0
:     Mar 02   /  30.0 /  29.9 /  29.9 /  29.8
:     Mar 03   /  29.9 /  30.0 /  30.0
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 30.1 ft at 1100am EST on Tue, Mar 3
:
.ER GOLI2 20150303 Z DC201503031701/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 03 :                         /  30.0
.E2 : Mar 04 : /  30.0 /  29.9 /  29.9 /  30.0
.E3 : Mar 05 : /  30.2 /  30.3 /  30.7 /  31.0
.E4 : Mar 06 : /  31.4 /  31.7 /  32.2 /  32.6
.E5 : Mar 07 : /  32.9 /  33.2 /  33.6 /  33.9
.E6 : Mar 08 : /  34.2 /  34.5 /  34.7 /  35.0
.E7 : Mar 09 : /  35.3 /  35.7 /  36.0 /  36.4
.E8 : Mar 10 : /  36.7 /  37.0 /  37.2 /  37.5
.E9 : Mar 11 : /  37.7 /  37.9 /  38.0 /  38.2
.E10: Mar 12 : /  38.2 /  38.3 /  38.2 /  38.2
.E11: Mar 13 : /  38.0 /  37.7 /  37.2
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 28                           /  0.00
:     Mar 01   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.06 /  0.06
:     Mar 02   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03                           /  0.07
:     Mar 04   /  0.12 /  0.40 /  0.46 /  0.30
:     Mar 05   /  0.28 /  0.18 /  0.02
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 28                           /  -4.6
:     Mar 01   /   1.0 /   0.0 /  -0.3 /   1.3
:     Mar 02   /   4.3 /   0.2 /  -3.3 /  -1.1
:     Mar 03   /   3.6 /   0.7 /   1.9 /   5.7
:     Mar 04   /  10.5 /   9.5 /   3.4 /  -0.8
:     Mar 05   /  -3.6 /  -6.4 /  -8.9
:____________________________________________________________________

$$
: JEH
:...END of MESSAGE...




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