Satellite Precipitation Estimates (TXUS20 KWBC)
Issued by NWS

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000
TXUS20 KNES 270208
SPENES
ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
OKZ000-TXZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 05/27/15 0208Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-13 0145Z HEEPS/CRONIN
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LOCATION...OKLAHOMA...TEXAS...
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ATTN WFOS...OUN...FWD...OUN...EWX...SJT...
ATTN RFCS...ABRFC...WGRFC...
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NESDIS IS CONTINUING TO ACCEPT APPEALS ON THE RETIREMENT OF THE SPENES
PRODUCT.  APPEALS CAN BE SUBMITTED BY EMAILING JOHN.SIMKO@NOAA.GOV
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EVENT...UPDATE TO PREVIOUS SPE FOR HVY RAIN THREAT
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SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 0215-0515Z...MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FACTOR
IN SHORT TERM OUTLOOK...CONVECTION CONTINUES TO DEVELOP IN NORTH CENTRAL
TX EVIDENCED BY LATEST IR IMAGERY INDICATING CONTINUALLY COOLING CLOUDS
TOPS AND  MERGING OF TWO DISTINCT CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS.  BOTH LOW LVL
INFLOW AND MEAN MID-LVL FLOW REMAIN RELATIVELY WEAK AT 20-30 KTS. SSERLY
LLJ REMAINS FAVORABLY ORIENTED TO  INSTABILITY AND MOISTURE AXIS WHICH
SHOULD ALLOW FOR BACKBUILDING TO CONTINUE AND LLJ STRENGTHENS GOING
LATER INTO THE EVENING. REGIONAL VWPS ALSO INDICATE PERSISTENT MID-UL
UNIDIRECTIONAL FLOW PARALLEL TO THE DRYLINE WHICH SHOULD ALLOW BRIEF
PERIODS OF TRAINING TO OCCUR. CONVECTION SHOULD CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE  TO
THE S OVER NEXT FEW HRS TWRDS BEST MOISTURE CONVERGENCE CURRENTLY ACROSS
CENT TX AND BETTER MOISTURE/INSTABILITY IN SRN TX. AS THE SCATTERED
CONVECTION MERGES AND BECOMES A MORE ORGANIZED MCS FEATURE...IMAGINE
THAT 1.0"-2.0"/HR RAINFALL RATES ARE POSSIBLE WITH EVEN HIGHER RATES
UNDER AREAS OF TRAINING/CELL MERGERS. WILL ALSO NEED TO MONITOR HOW MCS
INTERACTS WITH SUBTLE S/WV IMPULSE SEEN IN WV MOVING EWRD ACROSS SRN
CO/NRN NM AND FORCING FOR ASCENT INCREASES IN TX.
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AN ANNOTATED SATELLITE GRAPHIC SHOWING THE HEAVY PRECIPITATION
THREAT AREA SHOULD BE AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET ADDRESS LISTED
BELOW IN APPROXIMATELY 10-15 MINUTES.
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....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF NWSCHAT (NESDISSATELLITEPRECIP)....
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE
PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL
SSDPrecip@noaa.gov
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FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB:
http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/atmosphere/spe/
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FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB:
http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php
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LAT...LON 3587 9855 3587 9855 3577 9857
3358 9754 3311 9636 3136 9705 3063 9787 3057 9884
3095 9997 3151 10062 3225 10038 3287 9976 3335 9854

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