Satellite Precipitation Estimates (TXUS20 KWBC)
Issued by NWS

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
TXUS20 KNES 051930
SPENES
ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
VAZ000-WVZ000-KYZ000-
.
SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/05/15 1930Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-13         1915Z                  JANKOT
.
LOCATION...VIRGINIA...WEST VIRGINIA...KENTUCKY...
.
ATTN WFOS...LWX...RNK...PBZ...RLX...MRX...JKL...
ATTN RFCS...MARFC...SERFC...OHRFC...LMRFC...
.
NESDIS IS CONTINUING TO ACCEPT APPEALS ON THE RETIREMENT OF THE SPENES
PRODUCT.  APPEALS CAN BE SUBMITTED BY EMAILING JOHN.SIMKO@NOAA.GOV
.
EVENT...CONTINUED HEAVY RAIN THREAT IN E KY/SW VA/ S WV
.
SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...AS DISCUSSED IN EARLIER SPE LATEST WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICTS ANOMALOUS UPPER LEVEL CIRCULATION NOW IN E CENTRAL
KY THAT IS PROVIDING UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE THAT IS AIDING LIFT NEXT FEW
HOURS.  ALTHOUGH CONVECTION IS NOT THAT ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME VISIBLE
IMAGERY HAS SHOWN SEVERAL CLUSTERS DEVELOPING IN E KY/SW VA AND S WV
THAT IS LIKELY PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL RATES EVEN THOUGH ITS WARM TOP IN
CORRESPONDING IR IMAGERY. SPC MESOANALYSIS PLACES INCREASED INSTABILITY
ACROSS WV WHERE BEST CAPES AS HIGH AS 2000J/KG AND WOULD EXPECT CELL
MERGERS EASILY CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 1-2"/HR RATES. MOISTURE HAS BEEN ON
THE INCREASE PER BLENDED TPW PRODUCT WITH PWATS NEARING 1.5-1.6" AND
WITH OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS PLACING SURFACE MOISTURE CONVERGENCE MAXIMUM
OVER SE KY WOULD ANTICIPATE CONTINUED THREAT FOR CELL DEVELOPMENT AND
RATES OF 1-2"/HR. WITH 3 HR FFG STILL AT OR BELOW 2" THE REGION SHOULD
BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR FF ISSUES.
.
AN ANNOTATED SATELLITE GRAPHIC SHOWING THE HEAVY PRECIPITATION
THREAT AREA SHOULD BE AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET ADDRESS LISTED
BELOW IN APPROXIMATELY 10-15 MINUTES.
.
SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 1930Z-2230Z...MEDIUM TO HIGH CONFIDENCE FACTOR
IN SHORT TERM OUTLOOK...WOULD EXPECT CONVECTION ACROSS DISCUSSION REGION
TO BE ON THE INCREASE GIVEN UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT FROM UPPER LOW AND
INCREASED MOISTURE/INSTABILITY AS DISCUSSED ABOVE. WOULD ANTICIPATE
WARP TOP SLOW MOVING CONVECTION WITH RATES AS HIGH AS 1-2"/HR IN
MERGERS/DEEPEST CONVECTION. GIVEN LOW 3 HR FFG WOULD EXPECT A HEIGHTENED
THREAT FOR FF PROBLEMS.
.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF NWSCHAT (NESDISSATELLITEPRECIP)....
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
.
FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE
PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL
SSDPrecip@noaa.gov
.
FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB:
http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/atmosphere/spe/
.
FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB:
http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php
.
LAT...LON 3919 7952 3707 7972 3668 8344 3834 8253
.
NNNN



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.