Marine/Aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory
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000
WTPZ21 KNHC 290232
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM ANDRES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP012015
0300 UTC FRI MAY 29 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 113.3W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  70SE  30SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 113.3W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 113.0W

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 12.5N 114.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 13.5N 115.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 14.4N 116.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 15.3N 116.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 16.7N 118.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 17.5N 121.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 18.0N 124.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.8N 113.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





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