Marine/Aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory
Issued by NWS

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000
WTPZ21 KNHC 210245
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM KARINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112014
0300 UTC THU AUG 21 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 136.4W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  40SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 136.4W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 136.4W

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 15.7N 136.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  50SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 15.5N 135.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  50SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 15.6N 135.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 16.3N 134.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 18.3N 131.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  40SW  30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 21.4N 128.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 27.0N 129.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 136.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




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