000
FXUS64 KBMX 161722
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1222 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013

.UPDATE...
FOR 18Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

PREVIOUS FORECAST APPEARS TO BE WORKING OUT FAIRLY WELL. KEPT
ISOLATED SHOWERS FOR PARTS OF WEST ALABAMA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
REMOVED ANY MENTION OF THUNDER AFTER LOOKING AT OBSERVED AND
FORECAST SOUNDINGS. RATHER POOR MOISTURE THROUGH THE COLUMN SHOULD
INHIBIT ANY VIGOROUS CONVECTION. TWEAKED TEMPS AND AND DEWPOINTS
FOR CURRENT TRENDS.

87/GRANTHAM


&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS. HOWEVER...OVERNIGHT
ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL CONTINUE TO BRING IN MOISTURE FROM THE GULF.
A MVFR LAYER OF STRATUS IS EXPECTED ALTHOUGH IT COULD BE RAGGED
OR PATCHY AT TIMES. THIS DECK IS EXPECTED TO LIFT BY MID TO LATE
MORNING WITH PLENTY OF MID AND HIGHER LEVEL CLOUDS EXPECTED WITH
THE APPROACH OF AN UPPER TROUGH. SOME RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE
TOMORROW...ESPECIALLY IN THE WEST NEAR TCL. HOWEVER...AT THIS TIME
IT IS EXPECTED TO HOLD OFF UNTIL AFTER 18Z. WINDS GENERALLY CALM
OVERNIGHT WITH 5 TO 10 KTS IN THE DAY.

88

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$