Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Jackson, MS

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000
AXUS74 KJAN 270549
DGTJAN
MSC001-007-011-015-021-023-025-029-031-035-037-049-051-053-055-063-
067-075-077-079-083-087-089-091-099-101-103-121-125-127-133-149-151-
157-163-LAC025-029-035-041-065-083-107-ARC017-041-030000-
DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1249 AM CDT SAT AUG 27 2016

...IMPROVEMENT CONTINUES IN MANY AREAS THANKS TO ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL, BUT PARTS OF THE GOLDEN TRIANGLE REMAIN DRY...

SYNOPSIS...
ACCORDING TO THE LATEST U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR, VALID TUESDAY AUGUST
23RD, DROUGHT CONTINUES TO DIMINISH ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION. THE
SEVERE DROUGHT (D2) CATEGORY HAS BEEN REMOVED FROM THE GREENWOOD/
GRENADA/WINONA AREA, AND NOW ONLY REMAINS ACROSS PORTIONS OF CLAY,
LOWNDES, AND OKTIBBEHA COUNTIES. MODERATE DROUGHT (D1) CONDITIONS
HAVE BEEN REMOVED FROM MUCH OF EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI, AND NOW
ONLY REMAIN THE THE GREENWOOD/GRENADA/WINONA AREAS AND SURROUNDING
THE D2 CONDITIONS ACROSS CLAY, OKTIBBEHA, LOWNDES, AND NOXUBEE
COUNTIES. ABNORMALLY DRY (D0) CONDITIONS HAVE DIMINISHED ACROSS ALL
REMAINING PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI.
THEY REMAIN OVER PARTS OF EAST MISSISSIPPI ALONG I-20 EAST OF
JACKSON, AND SURROUNDING D1 AREAS FROM GREENWOOD EASTWARD TO THE
HIGHWAY 45 CORRIDOR. FOR MORE DETAILS, REFER TO THE U.S. DROUGHT
MONITOR WEBPAGE LINKED AT THE BOTTOM OF THIS PRODUCT.


SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...
ADDITIONAL RAINS OVER THE PAST WEEK ALONG WITH RAINFALL OVER THE
PAST MONTH HAVE ALLOWED AGRICULTURAL CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE
IMPROVING OVER MOST OF THE REGION. EXTENSION AGENTS IN SCOTT AND
KEMPER COUNTIES AND A COOPERATIVE OBSERVER IN LAUDERDALE COUNTY
REPORT IMPROVING CONDITIONS, WITH GREENING PASTURES IN LAUDERDALE
AND KEMPER COUNTIES. USDA FARM SERVICE AGENTS IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA
REPORTED FIELDS WERE ACTUALLY TOO WET TO ENTER OVER THE PAST FEW
WEEKS, DELAYING HARVEST IN SOME AREAS. HOWEVER, DRY CONDITIONS ARE
LINGERING IN SOME OF THE NORTHERN AND NORTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS ARE NOW ABOVE NORMAL OVER MOST OF THE AREA,
WITH THE EXCEPTION OF NORTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI
WHERE IT WAS NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL. LEVELS ON MOST AREA
AGRICULTURAL PONDS HAVE RECOVERED DUE TO RECENT RAINFALL.

THERE HAVE BEEN NO REPORTED FIRE ISSUES ACROSS THE REGION OVER THE
PAST WEEK, AND THERE ARE CURRENTLY NO BURN BANS IN EFFECT. KEETCH-
BYRAM DROUGHT INDEX (KDBI) VALUES REMAIN BELOW 300 OVER MUCH OF
SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA, SUGGESTING FUEL
MOISTURE IS NOT FAVORABLE FOR FIRE GROWTH. FARTHER NORTH AND EAST,
VALUES ARE BETWEEN 400 TO 600 OVER NORTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI, WHICH ARE LOW TO NEAR NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.


CLIMATE SUMMARY...
THOUGH RAINFALL OVER THE PAST WEEK WAS NOT AS SIGNIFICANT AS THE
PREVIOUS WEEK, THERE WAS STILL SIGNIFICANT COVERAGE OF PRECIPITATION
ON MANY DAYS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WERE COMMON OVER ALL
OF THE AREA EXCEPT FOR PARTS OF THE GOLDEN TRIANGLE WHERE IT
GENERALLY REMAINED CLOSER TO A HALF INCH. AS A RESULT, MANY AREA
RAINFALL DEPARTURES CONTINUE TO SHIFT FROM THE DEFICIT TO THE
SURPLUS CATEGORY. OVER THE PAST 30 DAYS AND THE PAST 90 DAYS,
RAINFALL IS NOW ABOVE NORMAL IN ALL AREAS EXCEPT FOR THE GOLDEN
TRIANGLE AND PATCHY AREAS OF EAST MISSISSIPPI AND NORTH CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI. THE GREATEST DEFICITS EXIST IN THE D2 DROUGHT AREA,
WHERE THERE ARE SOME SOME LOCATIONS GREATER THAN 4 INCHES BELOW
NORMAL OVER THE PAST 90 DAYS.


                 RAINFALL     DEPARTURE    RAINFALL     DEPARTURE
LOCATION       YEAR TO DATE  FROM NORMAL  6/1 TO DATE  FROM NORMAL

JACKSON JAN       53.12        +16.39       20.67        +8.05

JACKSON HKS       42.34         +5.72       11.62        -0.54

MERIDIAN MEI      37.33         -1.09       12.34        -0.65

TALLULAH/         51.45        +15.55       15.98        +5.38
VICKSBURG TVR

HATTIESBURG HBG   51.01         +9.60       19.85        +4.98

GREENWOOD GWO     36.50         +2.93       10.71        +0.47

GREENVILLE GLH    41.76         +7.70       13.23        +3.43


PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...

HEADING INTO NEXT WEEK, GENERALLY DRIER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA DUE TO LESSENING ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE AND AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE. SHOWER ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE MORE ISOLATED
DURING THIS TIME FRAME. HOWEVER, THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR RAIN
RESULTING FROM A POTENTIAL TROPICAL SYSTEM. A GREAT DEAL OF
UNCERTAINTY EXISTS WITH RESPECT TO THE TRACK OF SUCH A SYSTEM, BUT
THERE IS AT LEAST SOME SMALL POTENTIAL THAT NOTABLE RAINFALL COULD
OCCUR OVER SOME PART OF THE AREA. THE LATEST WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER 7 DAY PRECIPITATION FORECAST INDICATES RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
OF LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH FOR MOST OF THE AREA. HOWEVER, GIVEN
THE RECENT WET CONDITIONS IN MOST AREAS, THIS SUGGESTS LITTLE CHANGE
IS EXPECTED IN CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS OVER THE UPCOMING WEEK.
THE LATEST SEASONAL DROUGHT OUTLOOK FROM THE CLIMATE PREDICTION
CENTER FOR AUGUST 18TH THROUGH NOVEMBER 30TH INDICATES DROUGHT COULD
PERSIST OVER PARTS OF NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

BEYOND THE UPCOMING WEEK, THERE ARE GREATER CHANCES FOR...

                                TEMPERATURES     PRECIPITATION

8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK             ABOVE NORMAL     NR/BLW NORMAL
EXPERIMENTAL 3-4 WEEK OUTLOOK   ABOVE NORMAL   EQ CHC/BLW NORMAL
ONE MONTH OUTLOOK (SEPTEMBER)   ABOVE NORMAL      BELOW NORMAL
THREE MONTH OUTLOOK (SEP-NOV)   ABOVE NORMAL      BELOW NORMAL


HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...
STREAMFLOW CONDITIONS ARE NOW NEAR TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS MOST
OF THE AREA, WITH THE EXCEPTION OF SECTIONS OF THE TOMBIGBEE AND
SOME TRIBUTARIES OF THE CHICKASAWHAY IN EASTERN MISSISSIPPI, WHICH
ARE REPORTING STREAMFLOWS IN THE 10TH TO 24TH PERCENTILE. BASED ON
ONGOING CONDITIONS AND FORECAST RAINFALL OVER THE UPCOMING WEEK,
STREAMFLOWS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL IN MOST
AREAS.


NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...
THE NEXT DROUGHT STATEMENT WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED ON SEPTEMBER 1ST.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS:  WEATHER.GOV/JAN
NATIONAL INTEGRATED DROUGHT INFORMATION SYSTEM:  WWW.DROUGHT.GOV
U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR: DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU
DROUGHT IMPACT REPORTER: WWW.DROUGHTREPORTER.UNL.EDU
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER: WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV
LA OFFICE OF STATE CLIMATOLOGY: WWW.LOSC.LSU.EDU
LSU AG CENTER: WWW.LSUAGCENTER.COM
UNITED STATES GEOLOGICAL SURVEY: HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV
LA DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE AND FORESTRY BURN BANS:
  WWW.LDAF.STATE.LA.US/PROGRAMS/PARISH-BURN-BANS/
ARKANSAS BURN BANS: WWW.ARKFIREINFO.ORG
MISSISSIPPI BURN BANS: WWW.MFC.MS.GOV/BURN-BANS
MISSISSIPPI STATE CLIMATOLOGIST: GEOSCIENCES.MSSTATE.EDU/STATE-CLIMATOLOGIST/

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...

THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR IS A FACILITATED COLLABORATION AMONG
VARIOUS AGENCIES WHICH INCLUDES THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE, STATE
CLIMATOLOGISTS, THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER, AND THE U.S.
DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN
GATHERED FROM NWS/FAA OBSERVATION SITES, THE USDA, THE U.S.
ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS, USGS, FORESTRY INTERESTS IN MISSISSIPPI,
ARKANSAS, AND LOUISIANA.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS ABOUT INFORMATION ON THIS STATEMENT,
PLEASE CONTACT:

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE
234 WEATHER SERVICE DRIVE
JACKSON, MS 39232

PHONE: (601)936-2189
EMAIL: MARTY.POPE@NOAA.GOV

$$

DL


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