Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Jackson, MS

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5
000
FGUS74 KJAN 042211
ESFJAN
ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074-
060000-

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
500 PM CDT FRI APR 04 2014

...SIGNIFICANT HEAVY RAINFALL...FLASH FLOODING AND MINOR TO MODERATE
RIVER FLOODING POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH MISSISSIPPI...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE ACROSS FROM THE SOUTH
SATURDAY NIGHT AS DEEP MOISTURE SURGES NORTHWARD FROM A STALLED
FRONT NEAR THE COAST. LOW PRESSURE WILL FORM ALONG THE FRONT ON
SUNDAY AND MOVE JUST NORTHWEST OF THE NATCHEZ TRACE WHILE DEEPENING
SIGNIFICANTLY. DEEP AND IMPRESSIVE LIFT WILL CREATE A VERY EFFICIENT
ENVIRONMENT FOR HEAVY RAINFALL ON SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT ACROSS
SOUTH MISSISSIPPI.

SOILS ARE VERY WET DUE TO THE RECENT RAINFALL AND MANY RIVERS ARE
ELEVATED WITH A FEW FORECASTS POINTS ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. RAINFALL
WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.
THIS EVENT COULD PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING AND MINOR TO
MODERATE RIVER FLOODING. THE MOST SIGNIFICANT POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING
WILL BE IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI WHERE THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS
CURRENTLY EXPECTED.

THOSE ALONG THE LEAF RIVER...TALLAHALA CREEK...BLACK CREEK...BOUIE
CREEK IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI NEED TO BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION IN
CASE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURS. THE PEARL RIVER AND TRIBUTARIES
IN CENTRAL AND SOUTH MISSISSIPPI ARE RUNNING HIGH AND THE ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL COULD PRODUCE MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING. THE BIG BLACK...
CHUNKY... CHICKASAWHAY...AND NOXUBEE RIVERS AS WELL AS TIBBEE AND
LUXAPALLILA CREEKS IN CLAY AND LOWNDES COUNTIES COULD ALSO SEE MINOR
TO MODERATE FLOODING. THOSE ALONG MAGBEE CREEK IN COLUMBUS
MISSISSIPPI NEED TO STAY INFORMED OF THE LATEST FLASH FLOOD
INFORMATION.

THIS WEATHER SYSTEM HAS PLENTY OF MOISTURE TO WORK WITH. THERE IS
STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY ASSOCIATED WITH THE PREDICTED RAINFALL
AMOUNTS AND THE LOCATION OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL. THOSE LIVING IN FLASH
FLOOD PRONE AREAS AND AREAS AFFECTED BY RIVER FLOODING NEED TO KEEP
ABREAST OF THIS POTENTIAL FLOOD RISK. A FLOOD WATCH MAY NEED TO BE
CONSIDERED AT A LATER TIME ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA.

$$
MVP









USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.