Area Forecast Discussion Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
000
FXUS64 KMOB 171904
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
204 PM CDT Sun Mar 17 2024
...New AVIATION...
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 204 PM CDT Sun Mar 17 2024
Showers and a few thunderstorms continue to spread across the
region this afternoon, helping to bring reductions in visibility
and ceilings to MVFR or IFR. After the rain shield passes to the
east, some low ceilings may linger into the evening hours, with a
gradual improvement during the overnight hours. A cold front
sweeps through the area early tomorrow morning bringing breezy
northwesterly winds (wind gusts to around 20 to 25 knots) and VFR
conditions to the area during the mid to late morning hours. /96
&&
.NEAR TERM...
(Now through Monday)
Issued at 204 PM CDT Sun Mar 17 2024
A stalled surface boundary is expected to remain offshore today.
A upper level disturbance is expected to track along this boundary
today with an associated MCS tracking along the Gulf Coast late
this morning through the afternoon. The warm sector is expected to
remain offshore, keeping the risk for strong to severe storms
offshore as well. There is an outside chance that the warm sector
could briefly move into the coast with a low end threat for
damaging winds. There is a Marginal Risk for severe storms along
the coast today. Otherwise, locally heavy rain will be the main
threat especially near the coast where a quick 1 to 2 inches of
rain will be possible with lighter amounts to the north. Overall
expect rain chances to rapidly increase through the morning from
isolated coverage to widespread by early afternoon for much of the
area. A moderate risk of rip currents will be present through
Sunday. A stronger cold front sweeps across the area late tonight
into Monday morning with a much cooler and drier airmass moving
into the area for Monday. Highs today will range from the lower
60s across the northwest to low to mid 70s across the FL
panhandle. Highs on Monday will be in the low to mid 60s. Lows
tonight will be in the mid/upper 40s inland to low 50s near the
coast. /13
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile 52 64 36 61 40 69 47 69 / 30 0 0 0 0 0 10 20
Pensacola 55 67 39 60 45 68 50 68 / 40 10 0 0 0 0 0 10
Destin 57 68 41 60 47 66 53 69 / 40 10 0 0 0 0 0 10
Evergreen 49 64 31 61 37 71 42 72 / 30 10 0 0 0 0 0 10
Waynesboro 45 63 30 61 37 70 43 69 / 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
Camden 46 61 29 59 37 69 42 70 / 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
Crestview 52 66 33 61 37 71 43 71 / 40 10 0 0 0 0 0 10
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...Freeze Warning from 2 AM to 9 AM CDT Tuesday for ALZ051>060.
FL...None.
MS...Freeze Warning from 2 AM to 9 AM CDT Tuesday for MSZ067-075-076.
GM...Small Craft Advisory from 10 AM Monday to 10 AM CDT Tuesday for
GMZ630>632-650-655-670-675.
Small Craft Advisory from 6 PM Monday to 10 AM CDT Tuesday for
GMZ633>636.
&&
$$
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