Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FGUS73 KJKL 272136
ESFJKL
KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-282200-

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
436 PM EST FRI FEB 27 2015

...HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING POSSIBLE NEXT WEEK...

A COUPLE OF ROUNDS OF PRECIPITATION ARE EXPECTED ACROSS EAST
KENTUCKY LATE IN THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY OSCILLATES NORTH AND SOUTH ACROSS THE STATE. THE FIRST
ROUND OF PRECIPITATION LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING IS
NOT EXPECTED TO PRODUCE EXCESSIVE AMOUNTS OF RAINFALL. HOWEVER...A
SECOND ROUND OF PRECIPITATION LASTING FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT
THROUGH MIDWEEK WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL
AMOUNTS. ALL IN ALL...A COMBINED TOTAL OF TWO TO FOUR INCHES OF
RAIN IS EXPECTED ACROSS EAST KENTUCKY NEXT WEEK.

IN ADDITION TO THE POTENTIAL HEAVY AMOUNTS OF RAIN...A FEW TO
SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW REMAIN ON THE GROUND OVER MUCH OF EASTERN
KENTUCKY...WITH THIS SNOW HOLDING A SUBSTANTIAL AMOUNT OF WATER
CONTENT...PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS BORDERING
VIRGINIA AND IN NEARBY PORTIONS OF VIRGINIA AND WEST VIRGINIA.
THESE HIGHER ELEVATION LOCATIONS ARE THE HEADWATER REGIONS FOR
THE CUMBERLAND...KENTUCKY...AND BIG SANDY RIVERS AND THIS MELTING
SNOWPACK WILL CONTRIBUTE SIGNIFICANTLY TO THE POTENTIAL RUNOFF
INTO THESE RIVERS NEXT WEEK.

SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD BE THE FIRST TO EXPERIENCE
SUBSTANTIAL RISES AND POSSIBLE FLOODING NEXT WEEK. AS THE WATER
COLLECTS INTO THE LARGER CREEKS AND RIVERS...SIGNIFICANT RISES AND
AT LEAST MINOR RIVER FLOODING IS LIKELY. MORE SIGNIFICANT RIVER
FLOODING IS POSSIBLE...BUT THE SEVERITY OF ANY RIVER FLOODING IS
STILL IN QUESTION AND WILL DEPEND SIGNIFICANTLY ON WHERE THE
HEAVIEST RAIN FALLS.

VISIT OUR INTERNET WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JKL OR LISTEN TO
NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATEST UPDATES ON
THIS POTENTIAL FLOOD THREAT.

$$

ABE



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