Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FGUS73 KJKL 110949
ESFJKL
KYC011-013-025-051-063-065-069-071-095-109-115-119-121-125-129-131-
133-147-153-159-165-173-175-189-193-195-197-199-203-205-231-235-237-
112100-

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
549 AM EDT SAT OCT 11 2014

...PERIODS OF MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN EXPECTED FROM TODAY
THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...

A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR REPEATED
ROUNDS OF MODERATE RAIN ACROSS EASTERN KENTUCKY OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS. AS UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVE ACROSS THE AREA...IT WILL
CAUSE SURFACE WAVES OF LOW PRESSURE TO FORM AND MOVE ALONG THE
BOUNDARY. AS A RESULT...UP TO AN INCH OF RAIN IS EXPECTED FROM
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEKEND OVER MUCH OF
EASTERN KENTUCKY. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE WHERE ANY
STORMS DEVELOP AND MOVE REPEATEDLY OVER THE SAME AREAS.
ADDITIONALLY...MUCH OF THIS RAIN WILL FALL ON AREAS THAT HAVE ALREADY
SEEN BETWEEN TWO AND FOUR INCHES OF RAIN DURING THE PAST SEVERAL
DAYS. THE RAIN WILL BE SPREAD OUT OVER AN EXTENDED PERIOD...SO FLASH
FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE A THREAT. HOWEVER SOME MINOR FLOODING
OF LOW LYING AREAS...LARGER CREEKS AND STREAMS...AND EVENTUALLY AREA
RIVERS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

A FINAL ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY AS A STRONG COLD FRONT
SWEEPS ACROSS THE AREA. 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. WITH AN ALREADY SATURATED GROUND...THE
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL RUNOFF...WHICH WILL CONTINUE THE THREAT OF
MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS...AS WELL AS BRING A THREAT OF
ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING.

THERE IS STILL A FAIR AMOUNT OF UNCERTAINTY IN THE FORECAST...SO
STAYED TUNED FOR FURTHER DETAILS.

$$

RAY/GREIF/GEOGERIAN




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