Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000
FNUS53 KJKL 242104
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
404 PM EST Fri Feb 24 2017

.DISCUSSION...South to southwest winds will continue to gust up
20 mph through the evening before a line of showers and
thunderstorms move through the area ahead of a strong cold front.
Some of these thunderstorms could be severe. High pressure and
cooler weather will move in behind the front for tomorrow.

KYZ068-079-083-084-250930-
Rockcastle-Pulaski-Wayne-McCreary-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, Burnside,
Somerset, Monticello, Stearns, and Whitley City
404 PM EST Fri Feb 24 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms. Rain
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....Around 43.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........75-85 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................5.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................32.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......90 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.32 - 0.50 inches.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers in
                    the morning.
Max Temperature.....Around 46.
   24 hr trend......31 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........38-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......5200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 20 mph.
Dispersion Index....103.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (103500 knot-ft).
ADI.................72.
LVORI...............2.
Prob of precip......30 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.03 inches.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min Temperature.....Around 25.
   24 hr trend......18 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........75-85 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................26 decreasing to 8 late.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max Temperature.....Around 50.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........23-29 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 5 mph.
Dispersion Index....25.
Vent Rate...........Poor (24700 knot-ft).
ADI.................26.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.


$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-250930-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-
Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Martin-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, and Inez
404 PM EST Fri Feb 24 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms. Rain
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....Around 45.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........73-83 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................5.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................28.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......100 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.26 - 0.46 inches.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the
                    morning, then slight chance of rain showers in
                    the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 49.
   24 hr trend......31 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........40-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......5600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 25 mph.
Dispersion Index....138.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (138500 knot-ft).
ADI.................91.
LVORI...............2.
Prob of precip......50 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.06 inches.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Min Temperature.....Around 25.
   24 hr trend......19 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........71-81 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................32 decreasing to 19 late.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max Temperature.....Around 48.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........28 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....32.
Vent Rate...........Marginal (32100 knot-ft).
ADI.................34.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.


$$

KYZ069-080-085>088-110>118-120-250930-
Jackson-Laurel-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-
Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of McKee, Annville, London, Corbin,
Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland,
Harlan, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Beattyville, Jackson, Hindman,
Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins,
Whitesburg, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville,
and South Williamson
404 PM EST Fri Feb 24 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms. Rain
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....Around 46.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........78-88 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................5.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................27.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......90 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.17 - 0.43 inches.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the
                    morning, then slight chance of rain showers in
                    the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 51.
   24 hr trend......28 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........39-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......5400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 25 mph.
Dispersion Index....109.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (109300 knot-ft).
ADI.................74.
LVORI...............2.
Prob of precip......60 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.07 inches.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Min Temperature.....Around 25.
   24 hr trend......20 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........72-82 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................28 decreasing to 16 late.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max Temperature.....Around 49.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........22-28 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....25.
Vent Rate...........Poor (24600 knot-ft).
ADI.................28.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 30s. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 50s. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Milder. Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers in the
evening, then showers likely late. Lows in the mid 40s. South
winds around 5 mph in the evening.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely in the morning, then
chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 60s. Winds
southwest around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers in the evening,
then showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms late. Lows
in the lower 50s. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 60s. Winds west around
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Colder. Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening, then slight chance
of showers. Lows in the mid 30s. West winds around 10 mph in the
evening becoming light.
.THURSDAY...Cooler. Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Light
winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Light
winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Winds northwest
around 10 mph.

$$
SHALLENBERGER



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