Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 181002
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
602 AM EDT Tue Jul 18 2017

.DISCUSSION...Other than a stray thunderstorm along the Virginia
state line today, expect dry conditions through much of the week
as strong high pressure and upper level ridging remain in control
across eastern Kentucky. The next chance for
showers/thunderstorms will come Friday, increasing through the
weekend. Winds will be light through the next few days as well,
generally out of the SW to W. RH values will bottom out between
35 and 45 percent today, with some higher values up to 50
percent across south central Kentucky. For the rest of the week
generally 40 to 50 percent min RH is expected.

KYZ068-079-083-084-182030-
Rockcastle-Pulaski-Wayne-McCreary-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, Burnside,
Somerset, Monticello, Stearns, and Whitley City
602 AM EDT Tue Jul 18 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny. Patchy valley fog in the morning.
Max Temperature.....Around 88.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........41-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west up to 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing Height.......5300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 0 mph shifting to the southwest in
                    the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....20.
Vent Rate...........Poor (19900 knot-ft).
ADI.................19.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Patchy valley fog developing towards
                    dawn.
Min Temperature.....Around 69.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................17 decreasing to 1 late.
LVORI...............7.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Patchy valley fog in the morning.
Max Temperature.....Around 89.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........44-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......7100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 5 mph shifting to the northwest in
                    the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....78.
Vent Rate...........Good (78200 knot-ft).
ADI.................63.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.


$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-182030-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-
Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Martin-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, and Inez
602 AM EDT Tue Jul 18 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny. Patchy valley fog in the morning.
Max Temperature.....Around 90.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........39-47 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest up to 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing Height.......6500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 0 to 5 mph.
Dispersion Index....18.
Vent Rate...........Poor (17800 knot-ft).
ADI.................9 increasing to 22 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Patchy valley fog developing towards
                    dawn.
Min Temperature.....67-72.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........93-99 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................16 decreasing to 2 late.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max Temperature.....Around 89.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........45-51 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......6800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 5 mph increasing to west
                    around 15 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....91.
Vent Rate...........Good (91300 knot-ft).
ADI.................89.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.


$$

KYZ069-080-085>088-110>118-120-182030-
Jackson-Laurel-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-
Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of McKee, Annville, London, Corbin,
Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland,
Harlan, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Beattyville, Jackson, Hindman,
Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins,
Whitesburg, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville,
and South Williamson
602 AM EDT Tue Jul 18 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny. Patchy valley fog in the morning.
Max Temperature.....86-91.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........39-47 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing Height.......6100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 0 mph shifting to the west in the
                    afternoon.
Dispersion Index....16.
Vent Rate...........Poor (16100 knot-ft).
ADI.................17.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Patchy valley fog developing towards
                    dawn.
Min Temperature.....66-71.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........93-99 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southwest late.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................12 decreasing to 1 late.
LVORI...............7.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Patchy valley fog in the morning.
Max Temperature.....86-91.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........44-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......7300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 5 mph shifting to the west in the
                    afternoon.
Dispersion Index....83.
Vent Rate...........Good (82700 knot-ft).
ADI.................83.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Patchy dense fog developing
towards dawn. Lows in the upper 60s. West winds around 5 mph in
the evening becoming light.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Patchy dense fog in the morning. Highs
around 90. Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Patchy dense fog developing
towards dawn. Lows around 70. Northwest winds around 5 mph in the
evening becoming light.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Patchy dense fog in the morning. A slight
chance of showers or thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the
lower 90s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers or
thunderstorms in the evening. Patchy dense fog. Lows in the lower
70s. West winds around 5 mph in the evening.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Patchy dense fog in the morning. A
slight chance of showers or thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs
in the lower 90s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers or
thunderstorms in the evening. Areas of dense fog in the evening.
Patchy dense fog developing towards dawn. Lows in the lower 70s.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Patchy dense fog in the morning. A slight
chance of showers or thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the upper
80s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Areas of dense fog in the evening. Patchy dense
fog developing towards dawn. Lows in the upper 60s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Patchy dense fog in the morning. A slight
chance of showers or thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the mid
80s. West winds around 5 mph.

$$
JMW



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