Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000
FNUS53 KJKL 281947
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
347 PM EDT TUE OCT 28 2014

.DISCUSSION...EXPECT BREEZY CONDITIONS THROUGH TONIGHT WITH
SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH
THROUGH TONIGHT AS WELL WITH COOLER WEATHER TO FOLLOW FOR THE
REST OF THE WEEK. HIGHS WILL ONLY BE IN THE 60S FOR WEDNESDAY
WITH LOWS IN LOWER 30S FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE NEXT CHANCE OF
PRECIP WILL ARRIVE ON FRIDAY.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-083-104-106-108-111-291300-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-WAYNE-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-WOLFE-LEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...MONTICELLO...SANDY HOOK...
WEST LIBERTY...CAMPTON...BEATTYVILLE
347 PM EDT TUE OCT 28 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS EARLY...THEN SCATTERED
                    RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-93 PERCENT EAST AND 94-100 PERCENT WEST.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......90 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.02 - 0.35 INCHES.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....76.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (76000 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-94 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-52 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....23.
VENT RATE...........POOR (23100 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

$$

KYZ080-084>086-107-109-110-112>117-119-291300-
LAUREL-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-JOHNSON-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-MARTIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LONDON...WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...
WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...PAINTSVILLE...SALYERSVILLE...
PRESTONSBURG...JACKSON...HINDMAN...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...
MANCHESTER...HYDEN...INEZ
347 PM EDT TUE OCT 28 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY...THEN NUMEROUS RAIN
                    SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......90 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.25 - 0.49 INCHES.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
   24 HR TREND......16 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-47 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....73.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (72600 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.03 INCHES.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-94 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-51 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....20.
VENT RATE...........POOR (20000 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

$$

KYZ087-088-118-120-291300-
BELL-HARLAN-LETCHER-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...HARLAN...
WHITESBURG...PIKEVILLE
347 PM EDT TUE OCT 28 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS EARLY.
                    WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......90 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.33 - 0.49 INCHES.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING SUNNY. SCATTERED
                    RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
   24 HR TREND......16 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-52 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....72.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (71900 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......40 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.04 INCHES.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-54 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....17.
VENT RATE...........POOR (16900 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. LIGHT WINDS.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FROST LATE AT NIGHT. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 50. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST
AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN
SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.

$$
SHALLENBERGER





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