Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 171919 AAA
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson KY
219 PM EST Fri Feb 17 2017

...Low Humdities and Gusty Winds This Afternoon...

.DISCUSSION...High pressure over the Southeastern US will bring
dry weather through tonight. The pressure gradient between the
high over the Southeastern US and an area of low pressure in the
Plains will bring gusty southwest winds today. Above normal
temperatures and relatively dry air in place will lead to low
humidities this afternoon. An upper level disturbance will track
into the Ohio Valley on Saturday before departing to the east
on Sunday and bring a chance for showers to the area.

KYZ068-079-083-084-172130-
Rockcastle-Pulaski-Wayne-McCreary-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, Burnside,
Somerset, Monticello, Stearns, and Whitley City
219 PM EST Fri Feb 17 2017

.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max Temperature.....Around 65.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........24-32 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph with gusts up to
                    20 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Dispersion Index....38.
Vent Rate...........Fair (38300 knot-ft).
ADI.................47.
LVORI...............1.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear then becoming partly cloudy.
Min Temperature.....Around 43.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........75-81 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
ADI.................6.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers in the
                    morning, then rain showers likely in the
                    afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 56.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........62-70 percent.
   24 hr trend......37 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Dispersion Index....47.
Vent Rate...........Fair (47200 knot-ft).
ADI.................39.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......60 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.05 inches.


$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-172130-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-
Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Martin-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, and Inez
219 PM EST Fri Feb 17 2017

.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max Temperature.....Around 65.
   24 hr trend......23 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........24-34 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph, with gusts up
                    to 20 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Dispersion Index....45.
Vent Rate...........Fair (44900 knot-ft).
ADI.................53.
LVORI...............1.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min Temperature.....Around 43.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........75-81 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................7.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers
                    in the morning, then a chance of rain showers
                    in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 60.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........50-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......27 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph increasing to around 20
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....73.
Vent Rate...........Good (72800 knot-ft).
ADI.................25 increasing to 55 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......50 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.03 inches.


$$

KYZ069-080-085>088-110>118-120-172130-
Jackson-Laurel-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-
Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of McKee, Annville, London, Corbin,
Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland,
Harlan, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Beattyville, Jackson, Hindman,
Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins,
Whitesburg, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville,
and South Williamson
219 PM EST Fri Feb 17 2017

.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max Temperature.....62-67.
   24 hr trend......23 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........23-32 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with gusts up to
                    20 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Dispersion Index....43.
Vent Rate...........Fair (42500 knot-ft).
ADI.................52.
LVORI...............1.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min Temperature.....Around 42.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........74-80 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
ADI.................6.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers
                    in the morning, then a chance of rain showers
                    in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....56-61.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........53-63 percent.
   24 hr trend......36 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 5 mph increasing to southwest
                    around 15 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....59.
Vent Rate...........Good (58800 knot-ft).
ADI.................28 increasing to 46 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......60 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.05 inches.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Showers likely in the evening, then a
chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. A slight chance of showers in the
morning. Highs in the mid 60s. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Light
winds.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s.
Light winds becoming east around 5 mph in the afternoon.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers in the
afternoon. Highs in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 40s. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. A chance of showers in the morning,
then a slight chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs in the
mid 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers in
the evening, then a chance of showers. Lows in the upper 40s.
South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. A chance of showers in the morning,
then a slight chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs in the
mid 60s. South winds around 5 mph shifting to the north in the
afternoon.

$$
JP



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