Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 210937
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
437 AM EST SAT JAN 21 2017

.DISCUSSION...UNUSUALLY WARM WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND...WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S TODAY AND THE LOWER
60S ON SUNDAY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATER TODAY
ALONG THE TENNESSEE AND VIRGINIA BORDERS. RAIN SHOWERS AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND TOMORROW...AS AN AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. THE MOIST CONDITIONS WILL
KEEP FUELS QUITE WET...THEREFORE KEEPING FIRE DANGER AT OR NEAR
ZERO THROUGH THE START OF THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-104-106>109-111-112-114-119-
212115-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-LEE-
BREATHITT-OWSLEY-MARTIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF FLEMINGSBURG, CAMARGO, JEFFERSONVILLE,
MOUNT STERLING, OWINGSVILLE, MOREHEAD, IRVINE, RAVENNA,
CLAY CITY, STANTON, FRENCHBURG, BRODHEAD, MOUNT VERNON, MCKEE,
ANNVILLE, BURNSIDE, SOMERSET, SANDY HOOK, WEST LIBERTY,
PAINTSVILLE, CAMPTON, SALYERSVILLE, BEATTYVILLE, JACKSON,
BOONEVILLE, AND INEZ
437 AM EST SAT JAN 21 2017

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-70 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....24.
VENT RATE...........POOR (24400 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................15 INCREASING TO 27 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................5.
LVORI...............7.
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.04 INCHES.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-75 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
                    10 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....77.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (77300 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................31 INCREASING TO 61 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......70 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.26 - 0.49 INCHES.


$$

KYZ080-083>088-110-113-115>118-120-212115-
LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-FLOYD-KNOTT-PERRY-
CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LONDON, MONTICELLO, STEARNS,
WHITLEY CITY, CORBIN, WILLIAMSBURG, BARBOURVILLE, MIDDLESBORO,
PINEVILLE, CUMBERLAND, HARLAN, PRESTONSBURG, WHEELWRIGHT,
HINDMAN, PIPPA PASSES, HAZARD, MANCHESTER, HYDEN, JENKINS,
WHITESBURG, COAL RUN, ELKHORN CITY, PIKEVILLE,
AND SOUTH WILLIAMSON
437 AM EST SAT JAN 21 2017

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-70 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....17.
VENT RATE...........POOR (17400 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................15.
LVORI...............6.
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.01 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    IN THE EVENING. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................6.
LVORI...............7.
PROB OF PRECIP......40 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.06 INCHES.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........63-71 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5-10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....110.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (110100 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................43 INCREASING TO 75 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......80 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.26 - 0.50 INCHES.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING, THEN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS AROUND 50. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE EVENING, THEN A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
EVENING, THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...COLDER. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...COLDER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE EVENING, THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING, THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$
AR


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