Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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095
FNUS53 KJKL 302015
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
415 PM EDT SAT APR 30 2016

...RATHER WET AND COOLER CONDITIONS ON TAP THROUGH THE WEEK...

.DISCUSSION...A WARM FRONT MOVING NORTH THROUGH THE REGION WILL
BRING SHOWERS TO EASTERN KENTUCKY THROUGH TONIGHT. THERE COULD
ALSO BE THUNDERSTORMS...SOME OF WHICH MAY CONTAIN HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS LATER THIS EVENING. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS COULD DEVELOP ON SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT AS LOW
PRESSURE PASSES THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-010830-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...CAMARGO...
JEFFERSONVILLE...MOUNT STERLING...OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...
IRVINE...RAVENNA...CLAY CITY...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...BROADHEAD...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...ANNVILLE...BURNSIDE...SOMERSET...LONDON...
MONTICELLO...STEARNS...WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...
BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...CUMBERLAND...HARLAN...
SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINSVILLE...CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...
PRESTONSBURG...WHEELWRIGHT...BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...HINDMAN...
PIPPA PASSES...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...
JENKINS...WHITESBURG...INEZ...COAL RUN...ELKHORN CITY...
PIKEVILLE...SOUTH WILLIAMSON
415 PM EDT SAT APR 30 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5-10 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................16 DECREASING TO 5 LATE.
LVORI...............6.
PROB OF PRECIP......80 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.30 - 0.65 INCHES.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
   24 HR TREND......5-10 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-65 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....104.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (104300 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................28 INCREASING TO 58 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.20 - 0.55 INCHES.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................44 DECREASING TO 9 LATE.
LVORI...............6.
PROB OF PRECIP......50 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.05 - 0.30 INCHES.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10-15 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....87.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (86700 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................35 INCREASING TO 50 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.00 - 0.05 INCHES.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. LIGHT WINDS.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. LIGHT WINDS.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 40S. LIGHT WINDS.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. LIGHT WINDS.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.

$$
GREIF



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