Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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901
FNUS53 KJKL 222206
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
506 PM EST Thu Feb 22 2018

.DISCUSSION...Expect numerous rounds of rainfall to impact eastern
Kentucky into the weekend as a stalled cold front will be over
the area. This will allow a series of disturbances to track
northeast over eastern Kentucky into the weekend. Some heavy rains
will be likely over the weekend with some isolated flooding possible.
There will be no fire weather concerns.

KYZ044-050>052-230945-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, and Morehead
506 PM EST Thu Feb 22 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers in the
                    evening, then chance of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....Around 49.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................5.
LVORI...............9.
Prob of precip......60 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.08 inches.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers likely in the morning,
                    then chance of rain showers in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 74.
   24 hr trend......25 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........60-69 percent.
   24 hr trend......29 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Dispersion Index....87.
Vent Rate...........Good (87000 knot-ft).
ADI.................68.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......60 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.03 - 0.23 inches.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the evening,
                    then rain showers likely late.
Min Temperature.....Around 55.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................15 decreasing to 2 late.
LVORI...............8.
Prob of precip......70 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.22 - 0.40 inches.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the morning,
                    then rain showers likely and slight chance of
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 68.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........69-77 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 15 mph.
Dispersion Index....71.
Vent Rate...........Good (70900 knot-ft).
ADI.................24 increasing to 63 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......70 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.26 - 0.39 inches.


$$

KYZ058>060-104-106-108-111-230945-
Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-Morgan-Wolfe-Lee-
Including the cities of Irvine, Ravenna, Clay City, Stanton,
Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty, Campton, and Beattyville
506 PM EST Thu Feb 22 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Areas of fog. Chance of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....Around 52.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................4.
LVORI...............9.
Prob of precip......50 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.06 inches.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers.
Max Temperature.....Around 76.
   24 hr trend......25 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........57-63 percent.
   24 hr trend......31 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 25 mph.
Dispersion Index....126.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (126100 knot-ft).
ADI.................67 increasing to 91 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......50 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.03 inches.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the evening,
                    then rain showers likely late.
Min Temperature.....Around 59.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........89-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................11.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......70 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.17 - 0.28 inches.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the morning,
                    then rain showers likely and slight chance of
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 70.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........65-73 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Dispersion Index....76.
Vent Rate...........Good (76000 knot-ft).
ADI.................36 increasing to 64 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......70 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.26 inches.


$$

KYZ068-069-079-080-083-107-109-110-112>117-119-230945-
Rockcastle-Jackson-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-Johnson-Magoffin-Floyd-
Breathitt-Knott-Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Martin-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee, Annville,
Burnside, Somerset, London, Monticello, Paintsville,
Salyersville, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Jackson, Hindman,
Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden, and Inez
506 PM EST Thu Feb 22 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Chance of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....55-60.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................5.
LVORI...............9.
Prob of precip......30 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.04 inches.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers.
Max Temperature.....Around 76.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........51-61 percent.
   24 hr trend......35 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......5400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Dispersion Index....122.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (121800 knot-ft).
ADI.................60 increasing to 87 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......30 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.03 inches.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....Around 60.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........90-98 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................12.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......60 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.14 - 0.30 inches.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the morning,
                    then rain showers likely and slight chance of
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 71.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........62-70 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Dispersion Index....79.
Vent Rate...........Good (79100 knot-ft).
ADI.................36 increasing to 62 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......70 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.25 inches.


$$

KYZ084>088-118-120-230945-
McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of Stearns, Whitley City, Corbin,
Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland,
Harlan, Jenkins, Whitesburg, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville,
and South Williamson
506 PM EST Thu Feb 22 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the
                    evening, then slight chance of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....Around 60.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................5.
LVORI...............7.
Prob of precip......30 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.04 inches.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers.
Max Temperature.....Around 76.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........50-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Dispersion Index....96.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (95600 knot-ft).
ADI.................43 increasing to 70 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......20 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.02 inches.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....Around 59.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........89-99 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................11.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......50 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.12 - 0.24 inches.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers in the
                    morning, then rain showers likely in the
                    afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 70.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........61-71 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Dispersion Index....78.
Vent Rate...........Good (78400 knot-ft).
ADI.................38 increasing to 62 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......70 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.19 - 0.31 inches.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Chance of showers in the evening, then showers
and slight chance of thunderstorms late. Lows in the upper 50s.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers in the morning, then
slight chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 60s.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Colder. Partly cloudy with slight chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 40s. West winds around 5 mph in the
evening.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Colder. Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Milder. Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s.
Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers. Highs around
60. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Showers likely in the evening, then
chance of showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 50s. Winds west around 10 mph.

$$
SHALLENBERGER



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