Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 212035
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
435 PM EDT Tue Mar 21 2017

.DISCUSSION...A cold front will continue to push south through
eastern Kentucky this evening with northerly winds flowing in
behind the front. High pressure and strong subsidence will
follow for Wednesday. In fact, there is a potential for some
deeper mixing into the day on Wednesday with some lower RH
values possible and slightly higher northerly winds.

KYZ044-050>052-059-060-104-106-220830-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-Morgan-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Clay City, Stanton,
Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, and West Liberty
435 PM EDT Tue Mar 21 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
Min Temperature.....28-33.
   24 hr trend......15 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........70-76 percent.
   24 hr trend......28 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................19.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max Temperature.....Around 46.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........22-28 percent.
   24 hr trend......33 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....37.
Vent Rate...........Marginal (36700 knot-ft).
ADI.................29 increasing to 41 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear then becoming mostly cloudy.
Min Temperature.....25-30.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........57-65 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
ADI.................39 decreasing to 8 late.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max Temperature.....Around 58.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........29-37 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....30.
Vent Rate...........Marginal (30200 knot-ft).
ADI.................16 increasing to 32 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.


$$

KYZ058-068-069-107>114-119-120-220830-
Estill-Rockcastle-Jackson-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Floyd-Lee-
Breathitt-Knott-Owsley-Martin-Pike-
Including the cities of Irvine, Ravenna, Brodhead, Mount Vernon,
McKee, Annville, Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville,
Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Beattyville, Jackson, Hindman,
Pippa Passes, Booneville, Inez, Coal Run, Elkhorn City,
Pikeville, and South Williamson
435 PM EDT Tue Mar 21 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
Min Temperature.....Around 34.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........71-81 percent.
   24 hr trend......26 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
ADI.................15.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max Temperature.....Around 48.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........25 percent.
   24 hr trend......31 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....36.
Vent Rate...........Marginal (36400 knot-ft).
ADI.................29 increasing to 41 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Min Temperature.....26-31.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........60-70 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
ADI.................39 decreasing to 8 late.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max Temperature.....Around 59.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........27-37 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....28.
Vent Rate...........Poor (28100 knot-ft).
ADI.................16 increasing to 31 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.


$$

KYZ079-080-083>088-115>118-220830-
Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Perry-Clay-
Leslie-Letcher-
Including the cities of Burnside, Somerset, London, Monticello,
Stearns, Whitley City, Corbin, Williamsburg, Barbourville,
Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan, Hazard, Manchester,
Hyden, Jenkins, and Whitesburg
435 PM EDT Tue Mar 21 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
Min Temperature.....34-39.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........72-80 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
ADI.................16.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max Temperature.....49-54.
   24 hr trend......17 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........21-27 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....35.
Vent Rate...........Marginal (35200 knot-ft).
ADI.................27 increasing to 40 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Min Temperature.....29-34.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........66-74 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
ADI.................39 decreasing to 9 late.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny.
Max Temperature.....58-63.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........31-41 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....25.
Vent Rate...........Poor (25200 knot-ft).
ADI.................21.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers or
thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 70s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening, then showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms late. Lows in the mid 50s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and a slight chance of
thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 60s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening, then a slight chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. A slight chance of showers in the
morning, then a slight chance of showers or thunderstorms in the
afternoon. Highs in the lower 70s. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 50s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers in the morning,
then showers likely in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 60s.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$
SHALLENBERGER



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