Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000
FNUS53 KJKL 201151
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
651 AM EST THU NOV 20 2014

...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE
WEST BEHIND A DEPARTING COLD FRONT...BRINGING DRIER AND COLDER
AIR INTO THE REGION. ON FRIDAY...THE HIGH WILL SHIFT OFF TO THE
EAST. DRIER AIR FROM HIGHER UP IN THE ATMOSPHERE WILL LIKELY MIX
DOWN DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS...ALLOWING MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES TO DROP DOWN TO BELOW 30 PERCENT IN SOME LOCATIONS.
TEMPERATURES WILL THEN RETURN TO SEASONAL NORMALS THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEKEND...WITH WIDESPREAD RAIN CHANCES RETURNING AS WELL.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>085-104-106-108-111-114-
211200-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-WOLFE-
LEE-OWSLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...
WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...
CAMPTON...BEATTYVILLE...BOONEVILLE
651 AM EST THU NOV 20 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-51 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....52.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (52100 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 20.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT IN VALLEYS...75-85 PERCENT
                    ON RIDGES.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....36-42.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-39 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....10.
VENT RATE...........POOR (10500 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

$$

KYZ086>088-107-109-110-112-113-115>120-211200-
KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-JOHNSON-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-BREATHITT-KNOTT-PERRY-CLAY-
LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...
HARLAN...PAINTSVILLE...SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...JACKSON...
HINDMAN...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...WHITESBURG...INEZ...
PIKEVILLE
651 AM EST THU NOV 20 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. FLURRIES POSSIBLE IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-54 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 20 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....66.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (66300 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 20.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT IN VALLEYS...65-75 PERCENT
                    ON RIDGES.
   24 HR TREND......29 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-36 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....6.
VENT RATE...........POOR (5900 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING
RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MILDER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE AT
NIGHT. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE AT NIGHT. LOWS
AROUND 50. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...COLDER. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...COOLER. MOSTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS LATE
AT NIGHT. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS IN
THE MORNING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$
GEOGERIAN





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