Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000
FNUS53 KJKL 171135
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
635 AM EST TUE JAN 17 2017

...WET AND MILD WEATHER CONTINUES...

.DISCUSSION...LOOK FOR SHOWERS AROUND AGAIN TODAY...WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE...AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH
THE REGION. NEAR RECORD TEMPERATURES WELL INTO THE 60S ARE EXPECTED
TODAY. GENERALLY DRY AND COOLER CONDITIONS ARRIVE ON WEDNESDAY WITH
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MIDDLE 50S. THE DRY WEATHER WILL BE SHORT
LIVED...HOWEVER...AS ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE BRINGS MORE RAIN
TO THE AREA ON THURSDAY.

KYZ068-079-083-084-172200-
ROCKCASTLE-PULASKI-WAYNE-MCCREARY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRODHEAD...MOUNT VERNON...BURNSIDE...
SOMERSET...MONTICELLO...STEARNS...WHITLEY CITY
635 AM EST TUE JAN 17 2017

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15-20 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....36.
VENT RATE...........MARGINAL (36100 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................41.
LVORI...............4.
PROB OF PRECIP......70 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.25 - 0.40 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS. PATCHY
                    FOG.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
   24 HR TREND......10-15 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................27.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......50 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.05 - 0.20 INCHES.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
   24 HR TREND......10-15 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15-20 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 5 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....44.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (43800 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................48 DECREASING TO 20 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.


$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-172200-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ELLIOTT-
MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-MARTIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...CAMARGO...
JEFFERSONVILLE...MOUNT STERLING...OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...
IRVINE...RAVENNA...CLAY CITY...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...
SALYERSVILLE...INEZ
635 AM EST TUE JAN 17 2017

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. PERIODS OF RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED
                    RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........70-80 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....32.
VENT RATE...........MARGINAL (32100 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................39.
LVORI...............4.
PROB OF PRECIP......80 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.20 - 0.30 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS. PATCHY
                    FOG.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
   24 HR TREND......10-15 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................26.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......40 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.00 - 0.05 INCHES.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
   24 HR TREND......10-15 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15-20 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 10 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....54.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (53800 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................52 DECREASING TO 30 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.01 TO 0.01 INCHES.


$$

KYZ069-080-085>088-110>118-120-172200-
JACKSON-LAUREL-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MCKEE...ANNVILLE...LONDON...CORBIN...
WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...
CUMBERLAND...HARLAN...PRESTONSBURG...WHEELWRIGHT...BEATTYVILLE...
JACKSON...HINDMAN...PIPPA PASSES...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...
MANCHESTER...HYDEN...JENKINS...WHITESBURG...COAL RUN...
ELKHORN CITY...PIKEVILLE...SOUTH WILLIAMSON
635 AM EST TUE JAN 17 2017

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-75 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....41.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (41300 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................44.
LVORI...............4.
PROB OF PRECIP......80 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.20 - 0.35 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS. PATCHY FOG
                    DEVELOPING TOWARDS DAWN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
   24 HR TREND......10-15 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5-10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................24.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.05 - 0.25 INCHES.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
   24 HR TREND......10-15 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-65 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15-20 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....50.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (49600 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................50 DECREASING TO 31 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.00 - 0.01 INCHES.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. LIGHT
WINDS.
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MILDER. CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY...MAINLY IN THE MORNING.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$
GREIF



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