Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 140947
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
547 AM EDT Sat Oct 14 2017

...Continued Warm with Rain Chances on Sunday...

.DISCUSSION...High pressure will bring another mild and dry day
today. A strong cold front will bring a period of showers
and isolated thunderstorms from Sunday afternoon to Sunday evening
along with an increase in winds as it moves across the Commonwealth.
High pressure will usher in a colder and drier airmass behind the
front. Humidities could bottom out at 30 percent or lower from Tuesday
through Friday.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-083-104-106-108-111-142045-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Rockcastle-
Jackson-Pulaski-Wayne-Elliott-Morgan-Wolfe-Lee-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee,
Annville, Burnside, Somerset, Monticello, Sandy Hook,
West Liberty, Campton, and Beattyville
547 AM EDT Sat Oct 14 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max Temperature.....Around 80.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........49-59 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest up to 5 mph increasing to around 10
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....36.
Vent Rate...........Marginal (36200 knot-ft).
ADI.................7 increasing to 39 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min Temperature.....61-66.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........89-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
ADI.................35 decreasing to 7 late.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy. A
                    slight chance of showers in the morning, then
                    showers likely and a slight chance of
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....73-78.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........66-76 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
Dispersion Index....41.
Vent Rate...........Fair (41000 knot-ft).
ADI.................41.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......80 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.08 inches.


$$

KYZ080-084>087-107-109-110-112>117-119-142045-
Laurel-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Johnson-Magoffin-Floyd-
Breathitt-Knott-Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Martin-
Including the cities of London, Stearns, Whitley City, Corbin,
Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Paintsville,
Salyersville, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Jackson, Hindman,
Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden, and Inez
547 AM EDT Sat Oct 14 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max Temperature.....Around 80.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........48-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....37.
Vent Rate...........Marginal (37400 knot-ft).
ADI.................17 increasing to 39 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min Temperature.....60-65.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........92-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
ADI.................43 decreasing to 6 late.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy. A
                    slight chance of rain showers in the morning,
                    then rain showers and a slight chance of
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 78.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........58-68 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
Dispersion Index....48.
Vent Rate...........Fair (48100 knot-ft).
ADI.................44.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......80 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.10 inches.


$$

KYZ088-118-120-142045-
Harlan-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of Cumberland, Harlan, Jenkins, Whitesburg,
Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville, and South Williamson
547 AM EDT Sat Oct 14 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max Temperature.....76-81.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........47-57 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....35.
Vent Rate...........Marginal (34500 knot-ft).
ADI.................25 increasing to 36 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min Temperature.....59-64.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........93-99 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
ADI.................38 decreasing to 6 late.
LVORI...............7.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. A slight chance of rain showers
                    in the morning, then rain showers likely and a
                    slight chance of thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Max Temperature.....75-80.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........56-66 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 10 mph increasing to southwest
                    around 20 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....44.
Vent Rate...........Fair (44200 knot-ft).
ADI.................39.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......70 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.10 inches.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening. Lows in the mid 40s. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. North winds around
5 mph in the evening becoming light.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Patchy fog in the morning. Highs in the lower
70s. Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the afternoon.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Light winds.

$$
JP



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