Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 261050
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
650 AM EDT THU MAR 26 2015

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WILL BRING SHOWERS AND SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA THIS MORNING...BEFORE GOING OVER
TO STEADY RAINFALL THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. THE RAIN
WILL TAPER OFF FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST TONIGHT. MUCH COLDER
AIR WILL MOVE IN BEHIND THE FRONT...WITH TEMPERATURES DROPPING
INTO THE LOW TO MID 30S TONIGHT. A FEW MORE SHOWERS CAN BE EXPECTED
FRIDAY AFTERNOON AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE PASSES THROUGH
THE COMMONWEALTH. DRY AND COLD WEATHER CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE
WEEKEND...WITH A HARD FREEZE LIKELY BOTH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY
MORNINGS.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-083-262100-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-WAYNE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...CAMARGO...
JEFFERSONVILLE...MOUNT STERLING...OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...
IRVINE...RAVENNA...CLAY CITY...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...BRODHEAD...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...ANNVILLE...BURNSIDE...SOMERSET...
MONTICELLO
650 AM EDT THU MAR 26 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS THIS MORNING...THEN RAIN IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-75 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AT 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
                    AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AT
                    10 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 30 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
                    AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 20
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....80.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (79900 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......90 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.18 - 0.32 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN...MAINLY EARLY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 32.
   24 HR TREND......27 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......80 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.08 - 0.25 INCHES.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.
   24 HR TREND......20 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-51 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....82.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (82100 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.01 INCHES.


$$

KYZ080-084>086-104-106>109-111-112-114-116-262100-
LAUREL-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-
MAGOFFIN-LEE-BREATHITT-OWSLEY-CLAY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LONDON...STEARNS...WHITLEY CITY...
CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...SANDY HOOK...
WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...
BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...BOONEVILLE...MANCHESTER
650 AM EDT THU MAR 26 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH EARLY THIS
                    AFTERNOON...THEN RAIN.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-68 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AT 10 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    WINDS AT 10 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 30 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
                    AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING WEST AROUND 20 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....110.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (110500 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......90 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.14 - 0.27 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF
                    RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33.
   24 HR TREND......25 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-95 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......90 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.18 - 0.36 INCHES.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
   24 HR TREND......22 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-48 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....70.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (70000 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.02 INCHES.

$$

KYZ087-088-110-113-115-117>120-262100-
BELL-HARLAN-FLOYD-KNOTT-PERRY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...CUMBERLAND...
HARLAN...PRESTONSBURG...WHEELWRIGHT...HINDMAN...PIPPA PASSES...
HAZARD...HYDEN...JENKINS...WHITESBURG...INEZ...COAL RUN...
ELKHORN CITY...PIKEVILLE...SOUTH WILLIAMSON
650 AM EDT THU MAR 26 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...
                    THEN RAIN.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-65 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST AT AROUND 10 MPH...WITH GUSTS
                    UP TO 20 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 30 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
                    AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING WEST AROUND 20 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....114.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (114400 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.15 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF
                    RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.
   24 HR TREND......25 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......90 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.28 - 0.45 INCHES.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.
   24 HR TREND......28 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-52 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....63.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (63200 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......30 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.04 INCHES.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
EVENING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 40. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUNDAY...NOT AS COOL. SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...NOT AS COOL. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 40. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER
MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$
GEOGERIAN



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