Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 201021
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
621 AM EDT Sat May 20 2017

.DISCUSSION...Well above normal temperatures along with
isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue
across eastern Kentucky today. A passing cold front will then
bring more widespread precipitation to the area Sunday
into Sunday night. Temperatures will trend cooler into early
next week.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-069-088-104-106>120-211100-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Jackson-
Harlan-Elliott-Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-
Knott-Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Martin-Pike-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, McKee, Annville, Cumberland,
Harlan, Sandy Hook, West Liberty, Paintsville, Campton,
Salyersville, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Beattyville, Jackson,
Hindman, Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden,
Jenkins, Whitesburg, Inez, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville,
and South Williamson
621 AM EDT Sat May 20 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....84-89.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........42-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......21 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......5800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....44.
Vent Rate...........Fair (44400 knot-ft).
ADI.................39.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......30 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.04 inches.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers or
                    thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late.
Min Temperature.....Around 65.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................4.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................41 decreasing to 11 late.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......40 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.02 - 0.34 inches.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Showers with thunderstorms likely.
Max Temperature.....74-79.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........66-76 percent.
   24 hr trend......28 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................4.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Dispersion Index....55.
Vent Rate...........Good (54800 knot-ft).
ADI.................28 increasing to 45 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......80 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.39 - 0.83 inches.

$$

KYZ068-079-080-083>087-211100-
Rockcastle-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, Burnside,
Somerset, London, Monticello, Stearns, Whitley City, Corbin,
Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, and Pineville
621 AM EDT Sat May 20 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 87.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........39-45 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......5800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Dispersion Index....57.
Vent Rate...........Good (57200 knot-ft).
ADI.................55.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......20 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.01 inches.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers or
                    thunderstorms in the evening, then showers
                    and thunderstorms likely late.
Min Temperature.....Around 66.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................4.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................51 decreasing to 11 late.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......60 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.09 - 0.42 inches.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Showers with thunderstorms likely.
Max Temperature.....Around 76.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........66-76 percent.
   24 hr trend......28 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................4.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Dispersion Index....31.
Vent Rate...........Marginal (30600 knot-ft).
ADI.................31.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......80 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.46 - 0.82 inches.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely in the
evening, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms late. Lows in
the upper 50s. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. A chance of showers in the morning. Highs
in the lower 70s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. North winds
around 5 mph in the evening becoming light.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. A chance of showers and thunderstorms in
the afternoon. Highs in the mid 70s. Southeast winds around 5 mph
shifting to the southwest in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening, then a slight chance of showers or
thunderstorms late. Lows in the mid 50s. Southwest winds around
5 mph in the evening.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers in the morning,
then a chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Highs in the upper 60s. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 50. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 60s. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.

$$
GEOGERIAN



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