Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 151026
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
526 AM EST Mon Jan 15 2018

.DISCUSSION...Southwest winds will increase to 10-15 mph this
afternoon ahead of an arctic cold front set to arrive this
evening. This will bring light snow to all of eastern Kentucky
through Tuesday, with accumulations of 1.5 to 3.5 inches by
Tuesday night. Bitter cold temperatures will return for Tuesday
and Wednesday, before a gradual warming and drying trend rounds
out the week.

KYZ068-079-083-084-161130-
Rockcastle-Pulaski-Wayne-McCreary-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, Burnside,
Somerset, Monticello, Stearns, and Whitley City
526 AM EST Mon Jan 15 2018

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
Max Temperature.....36-41.
   24 hr trend......15 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........43-53 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 10 mph increasing to southwest
                    around 20 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....66.
Vent Rate...........Good (66300 knot-ft).
ADI.................37 increasing to 56 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.00 inches.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A chance of snow in the evening, then
                    snow late.
Min Temperature.....Around 16.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........91-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................17.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......80 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.06 inches.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Snow showers likely in the morning,
                    then a chance of snow showers in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 19.
   24 hr trend......21 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........61-71 percent.
   24 hr trend......21 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....22.
Vent Rate...........Poor (21500 knot-ft).
ADI.................21.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......70 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.09 inches.


$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-161130-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-
Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Martin-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, and Inez
526 AM EST Mon Jan 15 2018

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Flurries possible in the morning. A
                    chance of snow in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 36.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........51-61 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 10 mph increasing to southwest
                    around 20 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....73.
Vent Rate...........Good (72500 knot-ft).
ADI.................35 increasing to 60 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......30 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.02 inches.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A chance of snow in the evening, then
                    snow late.
Min Temperature.....15-20.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........89-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................25.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......80 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.05 inches.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Snow showers likely in the morning,
                    then a chance of snow showers in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....18-23.
   24 hr trend......16 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........56-66 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....26.
Vent Rate...........Poor (25900 knot-ft).
ADI.................25.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......70 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.00 - 0.12 inches.


$$

KYZ069-080-085>088-110>118-120-161130-
Jackson-Laurel-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-
Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of McKee, Annville, London, Corbin,
Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland,
Harlan, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Beattyville, Jackson, Hindman,
Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins,
Whitesburg, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville,
and South Williamson
526 AM EST Mon Jan 15 2018

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
Max Temperature.....36-41.
   24 hr trend......14 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........44-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 10 to 15 mph shifting to the southwest
                    around 20 mph early in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....61.
Vent Rate...........Good (61400 knot-ft).
ADI.................36 increasing to 55 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.00 inches.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A slight chance of snow in the evening,
                    then snow likely late.
Min Temperature.....19-24.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........89-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................18.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......60 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.05 inches.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Snow showers.
Max Temperature.....21-26.
   24 hr trend......15 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........66-76 percent.
   24 hr trend......27 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....18.
Vent Rate...........Poor (17500 knot-ft).
ADI.................19.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......80 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.10 inches.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers.
Lows around 7. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 20s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 9. West winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Not as cold. Sunny. Highs in the lower 30s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 19. Southwest winds
around 5 mph in the evening.
.FRIDAY...Not as cold. Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Milder. Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 50s. South winds around 5 mph.

$$
GUSEMAN



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