Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000
FNUS53 KJKL 220952
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
552 AM EDT FRI JUL 22 2016

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING HOT
AS WELL AS INCREASINGLY HUMID CONDITIONS ACROSS EASTERN KENTUCKY
THROUGH THIS WEEKEND. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL ALSO BE ON THE
INCREASE EACH DAY...MAINLY OCCURRING DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING HOURS. HIGHS THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL AVERAGE AROUND THE
90 DEGREE MARK...WITH HEAT INDICES PEAKING AT AROUND 100 DEGREES
AT TIMES.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083-084-231000-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...CAMARGO...
JEFFERSONVILLE...MOUNT STERLING...OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...
IRVINE...RAVENNA...CLAY CITY...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...BROADHEAD...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...ANNVILLE...BURNSIDE...SOMERSET...LONDON...
MONTICELLO...STEARNS...WHITLEY CITY
552 AM EDT FRI JUL 22 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-52 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....39.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (38900 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................30.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......30 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.04 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................31 DECREASING TO 1 LATE.
LVORI...............8.
PROB OF PRECIP......30 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.00 - 0.16 INCHES.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-59 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5-10 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 0 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....13.
VENT RATE...........POOR (13000 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................9.
LVORI...............7.
PROB OF PRECIP......40 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.17 INCHES.

$$

KYZ085>088-104-106>120-231000-
WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-
FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-
PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...
MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...CUMBERLAND...HARLAN...SANDY HOOK...
WEST LIBERTY...PAINSVILLE...CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...
PRESTONSBURG...WHEELWRIGHT...BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...HINDMAN...
PIPPA PASSES...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...
JENKINS...WHITESBURG...INEZ...COAL RUN...ELKHORN CITY...
PIKEVILLE...SOUTH WILLIAMSON
552 AM EDT FRI JUL 22 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....88-93.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-49 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....17.
VENT RATE...........POOR (16500 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................20.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.03 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................23 DECREASING TO 1 LATE.
LVORI...............7.
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.00 - 0.12 INCHES.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....88-93.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-60 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 0 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....13.
VENT RATE...........POOR (13300 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................8.
LVORI...............7.
PROB OF PRECIP......40 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.12 INCHES.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS LATE. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST
AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS LATE. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE EVENING.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS LATE. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LATE. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.

$$
GEOGERIAN



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