Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000
FNUS53 KJKL 151056
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
556 AM EST MON DEC 15 2014

...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR PORTIONS OF KDF SOUTHEASTERN
REGION AND REDBIRD DISTRICT OF THE DBNF...

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT EAST
TODAY. VERY DRY AIR ALOFT WILL LIKELY MIX DOWN THIS
AFTERNOON...BRINGING LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY TO PORTIONS
OF THE AREA. A PASSING WARM FRONT WILL THEN BRING WIDESPREAD
PRECIPITATION TO EASTERN KENTUCKY TONIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL
THEN MOVE THROUGH THE COMMONWEALTH LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY
MORNING...BRINGING ADDITIONAL SHOWERS TO THE AREA. DRY WEATHER
WILL THEN TAKE HOLD FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...WITH MORE
UNSETTLED WEATHER EXPECTED FOR THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES
WILL AVERAGE ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH TUESDAY...BEFORE READINGS
DROP TO BELOW NORMAL READINGS FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.

KYZ044-050>052-161200-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD
556 AM EST MON DEC 15 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-52 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....19.
VENT RATE...........POOR (18600 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.01 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY...THEN RAIN
                    SHOWERS LIKELY LATE AT NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........71-81 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......80 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.16 INCHES.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........63-73 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....36.
VENT RATE...........MARGINAL (35600 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......50 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.03 INCHES.

$$

KYZ058>060-068-069-079-080-083>085-104-106>109-111-112-114-161200-
ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-
MCCREARY-WHITLEY-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-LEE-BREATHITT-
OWSLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...
WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...
PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...
BOONEVILLE
556 AM EST MON DEC 15 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A RAIN
                    SHOWER LATE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-44 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......32 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....15.
VENT RATE...........POOR (14800 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.01 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    LATE AT NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-80 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......70 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.16 INCHES.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-63 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....37.
VENT RATE...........MARGINAL (36500 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......40 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.03 INCHES.

$$

KYZ086>088-110-113-115>120-161200-
KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-FLOYD-KNOTT-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...
HARLAN...PRESTONSBURG...HINDMAN...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...
WHITESBURG...INEZ...PIKEVILLE
556 AM EST MON DEC 15 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY EARLY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-38 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......40 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....13.
VENT RATE...........POOR (12500 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY...THEN RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY LATE AT NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........60-70 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......34 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......80 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.16 INCHES.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-57 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....34.
VENT RATE...........MARGINAL (34000 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......50 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.05 INCHES.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. AREAS OF DRIZZLE AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. LIGHT WINDS.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS LATE
AT NIGHT. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. LIGHT WINDS.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS IN
THE MORNING. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. LIGHT WINDS.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. LIGHT WINDS.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. LIGHT WINDS.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS EARLY...THEN
SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY LATE AT NIGHT. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. LIGHT
WINDS.
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE MORNING...
THEN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. LIGHT
WINDS.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS
EARLY...THEN A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS LATE AT NIGHT. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. LIGHT WINDS.

$$
GEOGERIAN








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