Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000
FNUS53 KJKL 020914
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
514 AM EDT THU JUL 2 2015

.DISCUSSION...A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
AFFECT EASTERN KENTUCKY TODAY AND TONIGHT...BRINGING ISOLATED
INSTANCES OF FLOODING. EXPECT RH LEVELS TO REMAIN HIGH THROUGH THE
WEEKEND...AS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE. WINDS
WILL GENERALLY BE OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST TODAY AND TONIGHT...WITH 20
FOOT WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 KNOTS AND TRANSPORT WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 15 KNOTS. HIGHEST WINDS WILL BE DURING THE
AFTERNOON HOURS TODAY. SOME OF THE HEAVIER SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE SOME STRONGER
WIND GUSTS...IN ADDITION TO FREQUENT LIGHTNING.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>113-119-120-022015-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ELLIOTT-
MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-MARTIN-
PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...CAMARGO...
JEFFERSONVILLE...MOUNT STERLING...OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...
IRVINE...RAVENNA...CLAY CITY...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...
SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...WHEELWRIGHT...BEATTYVILLE...
JACKSON...HINDMAN...PIPPA PASSES...INEZ...COAL RUN...
ELKHORN CITY...PIKEVILLE...SOUTH WILLIAMSON
514 AM EDT THU JUL 2 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. WIDESPREAD
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........73-81 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
LAL.................5.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....13.
VENT RATE...........POOR (12500 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......80 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.29 - 1.10 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE EVENING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
LAL.................5.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......80 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.13 - 0.78 INCHES.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........70-78 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................5.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....49.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (49300 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.10 - 0.28 INCHES.


$$

KYZ068-069-079-080-083>088-114>118-022015-
ROCKCASTLE-JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-
BELL-HARLAN-OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRODHEAD...MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...
ANNVILLE...BURNSIDE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...STEARNS...
WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...
MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...CUMBERLAND...HARLAN...BOONEVILLE...
HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...JENKINS...WHITESBURG
514 AM EDT THU JUL 2 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........72-82 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................5.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....41.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (40500 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......90 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.65 - 1.45 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE EVENING...THEN NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
LAL.................5.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......90 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.26 - 0.79 INCHES.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........68-78 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................5.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....35.
VENT RATE...........MARGINAL (35000 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......70 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.15 - 0.34 INCHES.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. AREAS OF FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID 60S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST
5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. AREAS OF FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID 60S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.MONDAY...PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. AREAS OF FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE UPPER
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.

$$
JMW



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