Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 192112
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
412 PM EST Mon Feb 19 2018

.DISCUSSION...Much warmer temperatures will continue to
evade Kentucky over the next several days. We will remain
dry until midweek, with multiple shots of precipitation to
round out the week.

KYZ068-079-083-084-200945-
Rockcastle-Pulaski-Wayne-McCreary-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, Burnside,
Somerset, Monticello, Stearns, and Whitley City
412 PM EST Mon Feb 19 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
Min Temperature.....56-61.
   24 hr trend......14 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........87-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................26.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max Temperature.....Around 78.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........41-51 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 15 mph increasing to 10 to 20
                    mph in the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 25 mph.
Dispersion Index....96.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (95500 knot-ft).
ADI.................65 increasing to 75 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. A
                    slight chance of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....Around 62.
   24 hr trend......1 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........86-94 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................27.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......20 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers in the
                    morning, then rain showers likely and a slight
                    chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 74.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........59-69 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
Dispersion Index....73.
Vent Rate...........Good (72700 knot-ft).
ADI.................45 increasing to 55 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......70 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.08 - 0.23 inches.


$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-200945-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-
Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Martin-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, and Inez
412 PM EST Mon Feb 19 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min Temperature.....54-59.
   24 hr trend......19 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........87-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................21.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max Temperature.....Around 80.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........36-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 25 mph.
Dispersion Index....79.
Vent Rate...........Good (78800 knot-ft).
ADI.................66 increasing to 76 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Min Temperature.....58-63.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........82-92 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................15.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.01 inches.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers in the
                    morning, then rain showers likely and a slight
                    chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....72-77.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........60-70 percent.
   24 hr trend......22 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph shifting to the
                    west 5 to 10 mph early in the afternoon.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 15 mph increasing to southwest
                    around 25 mph in the late morning and early
                    afternoon, then becoming west around 15 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....99.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (98500 knot-ft).
ADI.................45 increasing to 75 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......80 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.05 - 0.29 inches.


$$

KYZ069-080-085>088-110>118-120-200945-
Jackson-Laurel-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-
Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of McKee, Annville, London, Corbin,
Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland,
Harlan, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Beattyville, Jackson, Hindman,
Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins,
Whitesburg, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville,
and South Williamson
412 PM EST Mon Feb 19 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
Min Temperature.....53-58.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........88-98 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................21.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max Temperature.....76-81.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........36-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
Dispersion Index....71.
Vent Rate...........Good (71300 knot-ft).
ADI.................67.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min Temperature.....57-62.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........85-95 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................12.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. A
                    slight chance of thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Max Temperature.....73-78.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........56-66 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
Dispersion Index....73.
Vent Rate...........Good (72700 knot-ft).
ADI.................35 increasing to 59 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......60 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.02 - 0.22 inches.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph shifting to the east late.
.THURSDAY...Showers in the morning, then showers likely in the
afternoon. Highs in the lower 60s. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 50s. Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening.
.FRIDAY...Warmer. Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 50s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the upper 60s.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the mid
50s. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 60s. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Colder. Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 40s. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. A slight chance of showers in the
morning. Highs in the upper 50s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

DJ



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