Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook) Issued by NWS Jackson, KY
000
FNUS53 KJKL 211022
FWFJKL
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
622 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013
.DISCUSSION...DAYTIME HEATING AND OUTFLOW BOUNDARY WILL LEAD TO
THE DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. A COLD
FRONT WILL BRING A BETTER THREAT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM
WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY AS IT SLOWLY MOVES ACROSS THE
COMMONWEALTH. A FEW OF THE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND WEDNESDAY MAY
BECOME STRONG...PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL. DRY WEATHER IS
EXPECTED TO END THE WORKWEEK.
KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>085-220330-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...
WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG
622 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-54 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....106.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (105700 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......40 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.07 INCHES.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-95 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......40 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.05 INCHES.
.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-52 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....94.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (94300 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......70 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.12 - 0.39 INCHES.
$$
KYZ086>088-104-106>120-220330-
KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-
BREATHITT-KNOTT-OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...
HARLAN...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...
SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...HINDMAN...
BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...WHITESBURG...INEZ...
PIKEVILLE
622 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-54 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....85.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (84600 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......40 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.07 INCHES.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LATE AT NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-95 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......30 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.05 INCHES.
.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-53 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....106.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (105800 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.09 - 0.21 INCHES.
$$
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN
THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY...THEN A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE AT NIGHT. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH EARLY BECOMING LIGHT.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE AT
NIGHT. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. LIGHT WINDS.
.MEMORIAL DAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. LIGHT WINDS.
$$
JP