Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000
FNUS53 KJKL 192205 AAA
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
605 PM EDT SAT APR 19 2014

...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY EXPECTED SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND GUSTY NORTHEAST
WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BRING NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
TO THE AREA THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL THEN DIMINISH
AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL RECOVER TONIGHT. ON SUNDAY...
TEMPERATURES WILL SOAR WELL INTO THE 70S...WITH RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES EXPECTED TO DIP DOWN TO AT OR BELOW 20 PERCENT DURING
THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER...GENERALLY OUT OF THE EAST
AND SOUTHEAST AT 5 TO 10 MPH. MOISTURE WILL INCREASE ON MONDAY
OUT AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT...WITH WINDS VEERING TO
THE SOUTHWEST.

KYZ044-050>052-201515-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD
605 PM EDT SAT APR 19 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........60-70 PERCENT...EXCEPT AROUND 90 PERCENT
                    IN SHELTERED LOCATIONS.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-28 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....47.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (47500 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-80 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-39 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....78.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (78000 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

$$

KYZ058>060-068-069-079-080-083>085-108-111-201515-
ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-
MCCREARY-WHITLEY-WOLFE-LEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...
WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...CAMPTON...BEATTYVILLE
605 PM EDT SAT APR 19 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43 IN VALLEYS...NEAR 50 ON RIDGES.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-95 PERCENT IN VALLEYS...55-65 PERCENT ON
                    RIDGES.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH...WITH GUSTS
                    OF 15 TO 20 MPH EARLY...BECOMING LIGHT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-25 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....52.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (51600 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MID 40S IN VALLEYS...LOWER 50S ON RIDGES.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-95 PERCENT IN VALLEYS...65-75 PERCENT ON
                    RIDGES.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....80.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (80400 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

$$

KYZ086>088-104-106-107-109-110-112>120-201515-
KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-BREATHITT-
KNOTT-OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...
HARLAN...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...SALYERSVILLE...
PRESTONSBURG...JACKSON...HINDMAN...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...
MANCHESTER...HYDEN...WHITESBURG...INEZ...PIKEVILLE
605 PM EDT SAT APR 19 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45 IN VALLEYS...NEAR 50 ON RIDGES.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-95 PERCENT IN VALLEYS...55-65 PERCENT
                    ON RIDGES.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........16-24 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......EAST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....53.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (52900 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45 IN VALLEYS...LOWER 50S ON RIDGES.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-95 PERCENT IN VALLEYS...65-75 PERCENT
                    ON RIDGES.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-35 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....65.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (64800 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
LATE AT NIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...WARMER. PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE AT NIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE AT NIGHT.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$
GEOGERIAN






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