Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000
FNUS53 KJKL 261126
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
726 AM EDT MON SEP 26 2016

...CHANGES ARRIVE TODAY...JUST A QUARTER INCH OF RAIN EXPECTED...

.DISCUSSION...THE SUMMER-LIKE HEAT AND HUMIDITY WILL COME TO AN
END TODAY AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH EAST KENTUCKY. THIS
FRONT WILL BRING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH STRONG WIND GUSTS POSSIBLE. A MUCH
COOLER AIRMASS WILL ENSUE FROM TUESDAY ONWARD...WITH HIGH
TEMPERATURES GENERALLY IN THE 60S AND LOW 70S AND OVERNIGHT LOWS
IN THE 40S AND LOW 50S.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-262030-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...CAMARGO...
JEFFERSONVILLE...MOUNT STERLING...OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...
IRVINE...RAVENNA...CLAY CITY...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...BROADHEAD...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...ANNVILLE...BURNSIDE...SOMERSET...LONDON...
MONTICELLO...STEARNS...WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...
BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...CUMBERLAND...HARLAN...
SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINSVILLE...CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...
PRESTONSBURG...WHEELWRIGHT...BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...HINDMAN...
PIPPA PASSES...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...
JENKINS...WHITESBURG...INEZ...COAL RUN...ELKHORN CITY...
PIKEVILLE...SOUTH WILLIAMSON
726 AM EDT MON SEP 26 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
   24 HR TREND......5-10 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10-15 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO WEST AROUND 15
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....100.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (100000 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................50 INCREASING TO 73 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.05 - 0.25 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
   24 HR TREND......10-15 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................29 DECREASING TO 3 LATE.
LVORI...............8.
PROB OF PRECIP......40 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.00 - 0.05 INCHES.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......25-30 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....40.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (40400 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................11 INCREASING TO 41 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
.THURSDAY...PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. PARTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
NORTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
PATCHY FOG DEVELOPING TOWARDS DAWN. LOWS AROUND 50. NORTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING.
.FRIDAY...PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE
OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT.
.SATURDAY...PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. PARTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG DEVELOPING TOWARDS
DAWN. LOWS AROUND 50. LIGHT WINDS.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.

$$
GREIF



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