Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000
FNUS53 KJKL 222149
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
449 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

.DISCUSSION...A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH INTO AND THEN ACROSS
THE OH VALLEY REGION ON SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY EVENING...BRINGING THE THREAT
FOR SHOWERS TO THE REGION. THIS FRONT WILL DEPART LATE SUNDAY EVENING...
WITH ONLY A SMALL CHANCE FOR SHOWERS LINGERING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. A
COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA ON MONDAY...BRINGING A CONTINUED CHANCE
FOR SHOWERS AND STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS. IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT...BELOW
NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN BY TUESDAY.

KYZ044-050-051-231500-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE
449 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
   24 HR TREND......20 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........69-79 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........AROUND 58 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....29.
VENT RATE...........MARGINAL (29100 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......100 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.28 - 0.39 INCHES.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY...THEN A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF A RAIN SHOWER LATE AT NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......25 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......70 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.15 INCHES.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF A RAIN SHOWER IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........AROUND 42 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 35 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....178.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (177500 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......30 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.10 INCHES.

$$

KYZ052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106-108-109-111-112-
114>117-231500-
ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-
MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-LEE-
BREATHITT-OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...
WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...
PINEVILLE...HARLAN...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...CAMPTON...
SALYERSVILLE...BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...
MANCHESTER...HYDEN
449 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34 VALLEYS...AROUND 40 RIDGES.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-90 PERCENT VALLEYS...65-75 PERCENT RIDGES.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER VALLEYS AND 5 PERCENT WETTER
                    RIDGES.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......33 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....34.
VENT RATE...........MARGINAL (34100 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......90 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.15 - 0.56 INCHES.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY...THEN A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF A RAIN SHOWER LATE AT NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER VALLEYS...24 PERCENT WETTER
                    RIDGES.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......50 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.12 INCHES.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF A RAIN SHOWER.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 30 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....151.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (150500 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......30 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.06 INCHES.

$$

KYZ107-110-113-118>120-231500-
JOHNSON-FLOYD-KNOTT-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAINTSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...HINDMAN...
WHITESBURG...INEZ...PIKEVILLE
449 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 32 VALLEYS AND AROUND 40 RIDGES.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER VALLEYS AND 13 DEGREES WARMER
                    RIDGES.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-93 PERCENT VALLEYS...67-77 PERCENT RIDGES.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER VALLEYS AND 19 PERCENT WETTER
                    RIDGES.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......27 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....39.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (39500 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......80 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.10 - 0.33 INCHES.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY...THEN
                    A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A RAIN SHOWER LATE AT NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER VALLEYS...19 PERCENT WETTER
                    RIDGES.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.11 INCHES.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF A RAIN SHOWER IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 35 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....164.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (163800 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......30 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.05 INCHES.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY BECOMING LIGHT.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN
THE MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS EARLY...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS LATE AT NIGHT.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS EARLY...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS LATE AT NIGHT.
LOWS AROUND 30. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.

$$
JP





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