Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 251130
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
730 AM EDT Sat Mar 25 2017

.DISCUSSION...A slow moving low pressure system will pass by to our
northwest this weekend. The flow around the system will bring southerly
winds and mild temperatures. Gusts will reach around 20 mph each day.
Showers will arrive tonight and last into Sunday, with thunderstorms
also possible. No change in air mass will occur with the system`s
departure, so it will continue mild. Another low pressure system will
track northeast through the Ohio Valley on Monday night and Tuesday,
with another increase in the potential for showers and thunderstorms.
This system will send a cold front through the area, resulting in the
arrival a modestly cooler and drier air mass for mid week.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>086-108-111-114-116-
252015-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Rockcastle-
Jackson-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Wolfe-Lee-
Owsley-Clay-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee,
Annville, Burnside, Somerset, London, Monticello, Stearns,
Whitley City, Corbin, Williamsburg, Barbourville, Campton,
Beattyville, Booneville, and Manchester
730 AM EDT Sat Mar 25 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny.
Max Temperature.....Around 77.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........34-42 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 10 mph increasing to around 20 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....65.
Vent Rate...........Good (65200 knot-ft).
ADI.................47 increasing to 70 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of evening
                    showers, then showers likely and a slight
                    chance of thunderstorms late.
Min Temperature.....Around 56.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........84-92 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................52 decreasing to 8 late.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......60 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.05 - 0.30 inches.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Showers and a chance of
                    thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....Around 69.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........53-61 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 10 mph increasing to 20 to 25 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....73.
Vent Rate...........Good (72800 knot-ft).
ADI.................32 increasing to 63 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......90 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.28 - 0.39 inches.


$$

KYZ087-088-104-106-107-109-110-112-113-115-117>120-252015-
Bell-Harlan-Elliott-Morgan-Johnson-Magoffin-Floyd-Breathitt-Knott-
Perry-Leslie-Letcher-Martin-Pike-
Including the cities of Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland,
Harlan, Sandy Hook, West Liberty, Paintsville, Salyersville,
Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Jackson, Hindman, Pippa Passes,
Hazard, Hyden, Jenkins, Whitesburg, Inez, Coal Run, Elkhorn City,
Pikeville, and South Williamson
730 AM EDT Sat Mar 25 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
Max Temperature.....74-79.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........31-41 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Dispersion Index....50.
Vent Rate...........Good (50400 knot-ft).
ADI.................27 increasing to 52 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers.
Min Temperature.....Around 56.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........80-88 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................41 decreasing to 7 late.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......30 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.01 - 0.13 inches.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Showers and a chance of
                    thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....67-72.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........54-64 percent.
   24 hr trend......24 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 10 mph increasing to 20 to 25 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....83.
Vent Rate...........Good (83200 knot-ft).
ADI.................25 increasing to 71 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......90 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.21 - 0.38 inches.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely, and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 70s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 60s. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers or
thunderstorms in the evening, then a slight chance of showers.
Lows around 50. West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
light.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 50. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. A chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 70s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 50s. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 60s. South winds around 5 mph.

$$
HAL



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