Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000
FNUS53 KJKL 251115
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
715 AM EDT WED MAR 25 2015

...GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS TODAY...

.DISCUSSION...A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH THROUGH EASTERN KENTUCKY
TODAY...ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO SOAR INTO THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
OF 5 TO 10 MPH WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 10 MPH...WITH GUSTS OF 15 TO
20 MPH. WINDS WILL THEN DIMINISH TOWARDS DUSK. A COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH THE AREA LATE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY...EVENTUALLY SPREADING
WIDESPREAD RAINS ACROSS THE AREA. MUCH COLDER AIR WILL FOLLOW THIS
FRONT...WITH A GOOD CHANCE OF A HARD FREEZE FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY
MORNINGS.

KYZ068-079-083-084-252100-
ROCKCASTLE-PULASKI-WAYNE-MCCREARY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRODHEAD...MOUNT VERNON...BURNSIDE...
SOMERSET...MONTICELLO...STEARNS...WHITLEY CITY
715 AM EDT WED MAR 25 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-44 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND
                    10 MPH...WITH GUSTS OF 15 TO 20 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 20 TO
                    25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....94.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (94500 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.01 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......30 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.03 INCHES.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...
                    THE RAIN SHOWERS. THERE ALSO A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-68 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......26 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST AT AROUND 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO WEST 25 TO 30
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....160.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (160500 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......90 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.18 - 0.31 INCHES.

$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-252100-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ELLIOTT-
MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-MARTIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...CAMARGO...
JEFFERSONVILLE...MOUNT STERLING...OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...
IRVINE...RAVENNA...CLAY CITY...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...
SALYERSVILLE...INEZ
715 AM EDT WED MAR 25 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
   24 HR TREND......17 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-49 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT SOUTH WINDS. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH...WITH
                    GUSTS OF 15 TO 20 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 25 TO
                    30 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....115.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (115500 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......30 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.02 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......30 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.01 - 0.13 INCHES.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS. THERE IS ALSO
                    A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-66 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 35 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
                    AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING WEST AROUND 25 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....138.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (138200 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......90 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.18 - 0.38 INCHES.

$$

KYZ069-080-085>088-110>118-120-252100-
JACKSON-LAUREL-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MCKEE...ANNVILLE...LONDON...CORBIN...
WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...
CUMBERLAND...HARLAN...PRESTONSBURG...WHEELWRIGHT...BEATTYVILLE...
JACKSON...HINDMAN...PIPPA PASSES...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...
MANCHESTER...HYDEN...JENKINS...WHITESBURG...COAL RUN...
ELKHORN CITY...PIKEVILLE...SOUTH WILLIAMSON
715 AM EDT WED MAR 25 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-44 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH...WITH GUSTS OF
                    15 TO 20 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 30 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
                    AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....112.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (112400 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.01 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........82-92 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.03 INCHES.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS. THERE IS ALSO A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-60 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS UP TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 30 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....147.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (146700 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......90 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.14 - 0.29 INCHES.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY
IN THE EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...COLDER. PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.SUNDAY...NOT AS COOL. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...NOT AS COOL. MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LOWS AROUND 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.

$$
GEOGERIAN



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