Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000
FNUS53 KJKL 191931
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
331 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.DISCUSSION...

THE AREA WILL BE UNDER A SURFACE HIGH AND WILL BE UNDER
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT. A SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE DOWN THE BACK SIDE
OF THE LONG WAVE AND WILL BE MOVING ACROSS THE AREA ON MONDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AS A RESULT OF THIS SHORT WAVE...SHOWERS WILL
MOVE INTO THE AREA ON MONDAY AFTERNOON WITH SHOWERS CONTINUING INTO
MONDAY NIGHT. THE MAIN ISSUE IN THIS FORECAST PERIOD IS THE
POTENTIAL FOR SOME PATCHY FROST TOMORROW MORNING. WITH THE LIGHT
WINDS...DRY AIR...AND CLEAR SKIES...ALLOWING THE TEMPERATURES TO
DROP AND SOME PATCHY FROST TO FORM. WE WILL NOT SEE RH LESS THAN 50
PERCENT UNTIL THURSDAY.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-201230-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...
WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...
PINEVILLE...HARLAN...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...
CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...
HINDMAN...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...WHITESBURG...
INEZ...PIKEVILLE
331 PM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-90 PERCENT RIDGES 90-100 PERCENT VALLEYS.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-58 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....54.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (54200 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.01 INCHES.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF A RAIN SHOWER
                    EARLY...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE AT
                    NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......30 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.03 INCHES.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING CLOUDY. ISOLATED
                    RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-69 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....68.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (67900 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.01 INCHES.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS EARLY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. LIGHT WINDS.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH EARLY BECOMING LIGHT.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH EARLY BECOMING LIGHT.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.

$$
JJ





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