Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000
FNUS53 KJKL 191640
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1240 PM EDT SAT APR 19 2014

...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES THIS AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY...

.DISCUSSION...DRY AND MILD WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
THE WEEKEND...WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY A CONCERN ONCE AGAIN THIS
AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE FORECASTED TO DROP TO
AROUND 20 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON...AND INTO THE TEENS ON SUNDAY.
WINDS WILL HOVER AT OR JUST ABOVE 10 MPH FOR MOST LOCATIONS THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH A VERY GRADUALLY DECREASE EXPECTED THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTS WILL BE HIGHER...AS HIGH AS 25 MPH...ESPECIALLY
DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON TIME FRAME. THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN WILL
MOVE INTO THE AREA BY LATE MONDAY AND HANG AROUND INTO TUESDAY AS A
COLD FRONT APPROACHES AND EVENTUALLY MOVES THROUGH EASTERN KENTUCKY.

KYZ044-050-051-200945-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE
1240 PM EDT SAT APR 19 2014

.REST OF TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-31 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH...DECREASING TO
                    5 TO 10 MPH BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....104.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (103800 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT ON RIDGETOPS AND 90 PERCENT IN THE
                    VALLEYS.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....47.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (46700 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

$$

KYZ052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>085-200945-
ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-
MCCREARY-WHITLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...
WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG
1240 PM EDT SAT APR 19 2014

.REST OF TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-27 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHEAST AROUND 20 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....126.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (125700 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT ON THE RIDGE TOPS AND 90 PERCENT
                    IN THE VALLEYS.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-25 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......EAST AROUND 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....46.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (45900 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

$$

KYZ086>088-104-106>120-200945-
KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-
BREATHITT-KNOTT-OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...
HARLAN...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...
SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...HINDMAN...
BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...WHITESBURG...INEZ...
PIKEVILLE
1240 PM EDT SAT APR 19 2014

.REST OF TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-24 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH...GUSTS TO AROUND
                    20 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHEAST AROUND 25 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....119.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (119400 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........AROUND 70 PERCENT ON THE RIDGES AND AROUND 90
                    PERCENT IN THE VALLEYS.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-22 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......EAST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....51.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (51400 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...COOLER. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
LIGHT NORTHWEST WINDS.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS AT 5 TO 10
MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS AT 5 TO
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. LIGHT SOUTH WINDS.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

GREIF/RAY





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