Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 172049
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
349 PM EST Fri Feb 17 2017

.DISCUSSION...High pressure over the Southeastern US will bring
dry weather through tonight. An upper level disturbance will track
into the Ohio Valley on Saturday before departing to the east
on Sunday and bring a chance for showers to the area. Another ridge
of high pressure is expected to bring warm and dry weather to start
next week. Continued above normal temperatures with chances for
showers are expected from mid to late week.

KYZ068-079-083-084-180930-
Rockcastle-Pulaski-Wayne-McCreary-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, Burnside,
Somerset, Monticello, Stearns, and Whitley City
349 PM EST Fri Feb 17 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear then becoming partly cloudy.
Min Temperature.....Around 44.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........71-81 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
ADI.................7.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers.
Max Temperature.....Around 60.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........53-62 percent.
   24 hr trend......30 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Dispersion Index....41.
Vent Rate...........Fair (40800 knot-ft).
ADI.................37.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......50 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.06 inches.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the
                    evening, then slight chance of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....Around 45.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........Around 98 percent.
   24 hr trend......26 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................7.
LVORI...............7.
Prob of precip......50 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.07 inches.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny.
Max Temperature.....Around 64.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........52-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....24.
Vent Rate...........Poor (23600 knot-ft).
ADI.................17 increasing to 28 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.


$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-180930-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-
Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Martin-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, and Inez
349 PM EST Fri Feb 17 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min Temperature.....Around 44.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........71-81 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................8.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the
                    afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 62.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........45-55 percent.
   24 hr trend......24 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Dispersion Index....84.
Vent Rate...........Good (83600 knot-ft).
ADI.................26 increasing to 64 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
Prob of precip......40 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.03 inches.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the evening,
                    then slight chance of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....Around 45.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........94-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......26 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................9.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......50 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.07 inches.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny.
Max Temperature.....Around 65.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........47-55 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....49.
Vent Rate...........Fair (48600 knot-ft).
ADI.................27 increasing to 48 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......20 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.


$$

KYZ069-080-085>088-110>118-120-180930-
Jackson-Laurel-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-
Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of McKee, Annville, London, Corbin,
Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland,
Harlan, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Beattyville, Jackson, Hindman,
Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins,
Whitesburg, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville,
and South Williamson
349 PM EST Fri Feb 17 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min Temperature.....Around 43.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........69-79 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
ADI.................6.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers in
                    the morning, then chance of rain showers in the
                    afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 61.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........46-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......29 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....63.
Vent Rate...........Good (62700 knot-ft).
ADI.................23 increasing to 47 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......50 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.06 inches.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Chance of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....Around 44.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......26 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................8.
LVORI...............7.
Prob of precip......50 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.07 - 0.20 inches.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers in
                    the morning.
Max Temperature.....Around 63.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........47-57 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....39.
Vent Rate...........Fair (38700 knot-ft).
ADI.................24 increasing to 43 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......20 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Light winds.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers in the
afternoon. Highs in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 40s. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers in the morning, then
slight chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 60s.
South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with slight chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with slight chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 60s. South winds around 5 mph shifting to the north in
the afternoon.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows
in the upper 40s. East winds around 5 mph in the evening.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with chance of showers. Highs in the mid
60s. Light winds.

$$
JP



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